特朗普的加密货币友好政策可能会帮助比特币很快达到 13 万美元甚至更高

参议员 Lummis 的《比特币法案》提议美国财政部在五年内收购 100 万枚比特币。国家比特币储备辩论激起了人们对稳定的希望

As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take office on 20th Jan, the spotlight is on Bitcoin. Many believe his pro-crypto policies could lead to a significant price surge for Bitcoin, while debates about adopting a national Bitcoin reserve are gaining momentum. Could this be the beginning of a new financial chapter for the U.S.?

随着当选总统唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 准备于 1 月 20 日就职，比特币成为人们关注的焦点。许多人认为他的支持加密货币的政策可能会导致比特币价格大幅上涨，而关于采用国家比特币储备的争论正在升温。这是否会成为美国金融新篇章的开始？

Trump’s Administration Sparks Bitcoin Optimism

特朗普政府激发了比特币乐观情绪

With Trump’s inauguration just around the corner, speculation is growing about how his administration might support cryptocurrencies. Some analysts predict that Bitcoin’s price could rise to $130,000 or even $150,000 if Trump announces crypto-friendly policies.

随着特朗普就职典礼在即，人们越来越多地猜测他的政府可能会如何支持加密货币。一些分析师预测，如果特朗普宣布对加密货币友好的政策，比特币的价格可能会上涨至 13 万美元甚至 15 万美元。

One of the most talked-about ideas is Senator Cynthia Lummis’s BITCOIN Act of 2024, which proposes the Treasury buy 1 million BTC over the next five years. Supporters believe this move could strengthen the U.S. economy and reduce reliance on traditional monetary systems.

最受关注的想法之一是参议员 Cynthia Lummis 的 2024 年比特币法案，该法案建议财政部在未来五年内购买 100 万比特币。支持者认为此举可以增强美国经济并减少对传统货币体系的依赖。

Bitcoin Reserve Debate Continues

比特币储备争论仍在继续

The idea of a national Bitcoin reserve has sparked a mix of hope and concern. Supporters, like Suriname’s presidential candidate Maya Parbhoe, argue that Bitcoin could help countries escape the problems of inflation and reckless fiscal policies.

国家比特币储备的想法引发了人们的希望和担忧。苏里南总统候选人玛雅·帕尔博等支持者认为，比特币可以帮助各国摆脱通货膨胀和鲁莽财政政策的问题。

She believes adopting Bitcoin would bring stability and protect citizens’ wealth, comparing its importance to the internet in the 1990s.

她认为采用比特币将带来稳定并保护公民的财富，并将其重要性与 20 世纪 90 年代的互联网进行比较。

However, critics warn of potential risks. Nic Carter, a Bitcoin expert, said that while Bitcoin works well for smaller countries like El Salvador, it could destabilize the U.S. financial system.

然而，批评者警告说存在潜在风险。比特币专家尼克卡特表示，虽然比特币对于萨尔瓦多这样的小国家来说效果很好，但它可能会破坏美国金融体系的稳定。

Others, like former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, worry that funding a Bitcoin reserve could increase national debt or cause inflation.

其他人，如前纽约联储主席比尔·达德利（Bill Dudley），则担心为比特币储备提供资金可能会增加国家债务或导致通货膨胀。

Meanwhile, Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, raised a key question calling it a “chicken-and-egg” question.

与此同时，CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 提出了一个关键问题，称之为“先有鸡还是先有蛋”的问题。

Strategic #Bitcoin reserves debate has become a chicken-and-egg dilemma:

战略#比特币储备辩论已成为先有鸡还是先有蛋的困境：

Proponents: As the dollar dominance weakens, Bitcoin will become the inevitable alternative—adopt it early.

支持者：随着美元主导地位的削弱，比特币将成为不可避免的替代品——尽早采用。

Opponents: Bitcoin threatens dollar dominance—don't disrupt the status quo. pic.twitter.com/ML37q0UPbh

反对者：比特币威胁美元主导地位——不要破坏现状。 pic.twitter.com/ML37q0UPbh

Should Bitcoin adoption happen because the dollar is losing strength, or will adopting Bitcoin trigger the dollar’s decline?

比特币的采用是否会因为美元的走强而发生，或者采用比特币会引发美元的下跌吗？

On-Chain Metrics Offer Hope

链上指标带来希望

mid the debates, on-chain data is giving Bitcoin fans more reasons to be hopeful. The Coinbase premium, a metric that shows U.S. demand for Bitcoin, turned positive recently, signaling renewed interest from American investors.

在争论中，链上数据让比特币粉丝有更多理由充满希望。 Coinbase 溢价（衡量美国对比特币需求的指标）最近转正，表明美国投资者重新燃起了兴趣。

As Bitcoin’s price edges closer to its ATH of $108K, this renewed demand could push it even higher.

随着比特币的价格逼近 10.8 万美元，这种新的需求可能会推高比特币的价格。