Toncoin 价格飙升 28%，突破 5.5 美元——接下来会发生什么？

• The TON divergence did not see a deep retracement due to heavy demand.
• There was a chance of a short-term reset for Toncoin prices.

Toncoin [TON] is on a stellar run, gaining 28% in just over a day. In doing so, it also broke a key resistance level at $5.5 and established a bullish continuation on the price chart.

由于需求旺盛，TON 背离并未出现深度回撤。Toncoin 价格有短期重置的机会。Toncoin [TON] 表现出色，在一天多的时间里上涨了 28%。在此过程中，它还突破了 5.5 美元的关键阻力位，并在价格图表上建立了看涨的延续。

AMBCrypto’s technical analysis showed that while the long-term outlook was bullish for Toncoin, the futures market was overheated. There could be a flush of overleveraged futures speculators shortly.

AMBCrypto 的技术分析显示，虽然 Toncoin 的长期前景看涨，但期货市场过热。短期内可能会出现大量过度杠杆化的期货投机者。

The breakout occurred on high trading volume, bolstering bullish confidence

Source: TON/USDT on TradingView

突破发生在高交易量的情况下，增强了看涨信心来源：TradingView 上的 TON/USDT

Toncoin has a strongly bullish bias on the one-day chart. It also saw a surge in trading volume when it broke out past the $5.68 level. In the past two weeks, the $5.55 level has been a local resistance for TON.

Toncoin 在一日图表上具有强烈的看涨倾向。当它突破 5.68 美元的水平时，交易量也激增。过去两周，5.55 美元水平一直是 TON 的局部阻力位。

The RSI had also formed lower lows throughout the past month (orange) while the price tried to push higher. This bearish divergence did not see prices dip below the $4.77 level, which was only the 38.6% Fibonacci retracement level (pale yellow).

RSI 在过去一个月也形成了较低的低点（橙色），而价格试图推高。这种看跌背离并没有导致价格跌破 4.77 美元的水平，这只是 38.6% 斐波那契回撤水平（浅黄色）。

Usually, a retracement reaches the 61.8% or the 78.6% levels. In this instance, the strength of the buyers did not allow for a deeper retracement. This was evident from the rising OBV. The next targets for the bulls are at $7.15 and $8.05.

通常，回撤会达到 61.8% 或 78.6% 的水平。在这种情况下，买家的力量不允许出现更深的回调。这从不断上升的 OBV 中可以明显看出。多头的下一个目标是 7.15 美元和 8.05 美元。

There were signs of overextension

Source: Hyblock

有过度扩张的迹象来源：Hyblock

The strong bullish momentum that swept across the crypto market on the 8th of April saw TON burst past the $5.55 resistance and reach $6.4. AMBCrypto noted that the cumulative liquidation levels delta was enormously positive.

4 月 8 日席卷加密货币市场的强劲看涨势头使 TON 突破了 5.55 美元的阻力位，达到 6.4 美元。 AMBCrypto 指出，累积清算水平 Delta 非常大。

This meant that long positions far outweighed the short ones. In turn, this implied that a move downward would lead to much more liquidations, and cause more pain in the market.

这意味着多头头寸远远超过空头头寸。反过来，这意味着下跌将导致更多的清算，并给市场带来更多的痛苦。

Is your portfolio green? Check the Toncoin [TON] Profit Calculator

您的投资组合是绿色的吗？查看 Toncoin [TON] 利润计算器

This could also be a healthy reset of the excess speculative interest behind TON. The liquidation levels chart showed that $7.43 was a level of interest that could be swept before a downturn.

这也可能是 TON 背后过度投机兴趣的健康重置。清算水平图表显示，7.43 美元是经济低迷之前可以扫除的利息水平。

The $6.41 and $6.27 levels could be visited before a bullish reaction.

在看涨反应之前，可能会触及 6.41 美元和 6.27 美元的水平。

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