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Planb在一项新的战略会议上说,尽管链链数据表明比特币仍处于公牛周期中,但自1月以来,缺乏新的历史高潮,这表明熊市开始形成。
Quant analyst PlanB says the latest correction in Bitcoin (BTC) is now raising questions as to whether its bull cycle is on the verge of ending.
Quant Analyst Planb说,比特币(BTC)的最新校正正在提出问题,即其牛周期是否处于结束状态。
In a new strategy session, PlanB says that while on-chain data suggests Bitcoin remains in a bull cycle, a lack of new all-time highs since January may indicate a bear market is starting to form.
Planb在一项新的战略会议上说,尽管链链数据表明比特币仍处于公牛周期中,但自1月以来,缺乏新的历史高潮,这表明熊市开始形成。
“Some questions about the Bitcoin market cycle chart. It is still measuring ‘bull market’ (red) in on-chain data. But as I explain in today’s video, we are at a crossroads.”
“有关比特币市场周期图表的一些问题。它仍在测量链上数据中的“牛市”(红色)。但是,正如我在今天的视频中所解释的那样,我们正处于十字路口。”
The analyst says there remains the potential of a V-shaped recovery after Bitcoin’s correction that tapped about $78,000 last week.
这位分析师说,在比特币的校正上周挖掘了约78,000美元之后,V形恢复仍然存在。
“In bull markets, we can have multiple dips that are 20% or even 30% minus. However, it was still an unexpected dip. I expected more all-time highs after January’s all-time high and I expected February to be all-time high as well, above $102,000. So we’re really at the crossroads now.
“在牛市中,我们可以有多个跌幅为20%甚至30%。但是,这仍然是一个意想不到的下降。我预计在一月份的历史最高水平之后,我预计将有更多的高潮,我预计2月也将有史以来高高,超过102,000美元。因此,我们现在真的在十字路口。
Either we’ll have a red hot bull market, a continuation of the bull market, or we enter the distribution phase into a bear phase. So what will it be? I don’t know. That’s a big question. Was this the top and is this the start of the bear market, or will we see a V-shape recovery and more bull market action?”
要么我们要有一个红热的牛市,牛市的延续,要么我们进入分配阶段进入熊阶段。那将是什么?我不知道。这是一个大问题。这是最高的,这是熊市的开始,还是我们会看到V形恢复和更多的牛市行动?”
Based on historic precedence, the analyst says Bitcoin is likely to rally from current prices and print new all-time highs.
根据历史优先,分析师说,比特币可能会从当前价格中加油并打印出新的历史高潮。
“Yes, it has been at this crossroads each and every halving cycle. In all cycles the market has chosen bull/FOMO (fear of missing out) from here, but we have had only four cycles, not really enough to say something statistically sound. Fingers crossed for this fifth cycle.”
“是的,它一直处于每个减半周期的十字路口。在所有周期中,市场都从这里选择了公牛/FOMO(害怕错过),但是我们只有四个周期,还不足以说出统计学上的声音。手指在这个第五周期中交叉。”
Bitcoin is trading for $84,377 at time of writing, down 6.5% in the last 24 hours.
比特币在写作时的交易价格为84,377美元,在过去24小时内下跌6.5%。
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