标题：前高盛主管拉乌尔·帕尔（Raoul Pal）认为，比特币（BTC）几乎是时候点燃其上下阶段的上下阶段了。

帕尔在社交媒体平台上告诉他的110万追随者，比特币往往遵循全球流动性周期，但有10周的滞后。

Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal believes that it’s almost time for Bitcoin (BTC) to ignite the next phase of its uptrend.

前高盛（Goldman Sachs）前执行官拉尔·帕尔（Raoul Pal）认为，比特币（BTC）几乎是时候点燃其上下阶段的上下阶段了。

Pal tells his 1.1 million followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin tends to follow the global liquidity cycle but with a 10-week lag.

帕尔在社交媒体平台上告诉他的110万追随者，比特币往往遵循全球流动性周期，但有10周的滞后。

The macro guru shares a chart suggesting that global M2, or the total money supply across the world, has sharply risen after carving a bottom in late 2024. Based on the data, Pal predicts that Bitcoin will soon end its correction and begin sparking fresh rallies.

宏观上的大师分享了一张图表，表明全球M2或全球的总货币供应在2024年末雕刻出底部后已经急剧上升。根据数据，PAL预测，比特币将很快结束其更正并开始引发新鲜的集会。

"The waiting game is almost over…the 10-week lead is my preferred."

“等待游戏快结束了……10周的领先优势是我的首选。”

The waiting game is almost over...the 10-week lead is my preferred. 😉

等待游戏快结束了...我的首选是10周的领先优势。 😉

GLobal M2 has shot up out of its bottom in late 2024.

Global M2在2024年末已从其底部射出。

This is the 10-week lead for Bitcoin.

这是比特币的10周领先。

We discussed the 12-week lag in a recent GMI article: https://t.co/XEhbTBuB8v

我们在最近的GMI文章中讨论了为期12周的滞后：https：//t.co/xehbtbub8v

Get ready for Bitcoin to (finally) start the next phase of its…

为比特币做好准备（最终）开始其下一阶段…

— Raoul Pal (@raoulpal) September 7, 2024

- 拉乌尔·帕尔（@@raoulpal）2024年9月7日

While Pal thinks that BTC rallies are imminent, he points out that Global Macro Investor’s (GMI) head of macro research, Julien Bittel, believes that Bitcoin trails the global M2 metric by 12 weeks.

尽管PAL认为BTC集会即将到来，但他指出，全球宏观投资者（GMI）宏观研究负责人Julien Bittel认为，比特币在12周之前将全球M2指标落后。

According to Bittel, Bitcoin will carve a local bottom this week before moving “higher again.”

根据比特尔的说法，比特币将在本周雕刻一个本地底部，然后“再次更高”。

Earlier this month, Pal predicted that global M2 will continue to rise while Bitcoin and crypto witness a “regular correction.”

本月早些时候，PAL预测，全球M2将继续上升，而比特币和加密货币的“定期更正”。

"This too shall pass…

“这也将通过……

Crypto is still feeling the tightening in liquidity from the stronger dollar and higher rates in Q4 2024. That is almost done and financial conditions are easing fast and M2 is headed back to new highs."

Crypto仍感觉到第四季度2024年第4季度的美元和更高的价格的流动性收紧。这几乎完成了，财务状况正在快速缓解，M2恢复了新的高点。”

He also predicted that Bitcoin would hit a market cycle top of at least $210,000, but he also notes that it is within the realm of possibility for BTC to climb to $412,000 or $805,000.

他还预测，比特币将达到至少210,000美元的市场周期，但他还指出，BTC攀升至412,000美元或805,000美元的可能性。

"Over time, we just keep climbing the log regression channel. Whether we stay at the man (red) or climb above it by another standard deviation or two remains to be seen as the cycle develops."

“随着时间的流逝，我们只是继续爬上对数回归渠道。无论我们留在男人（红色）还是通过另一个标准偏差或两个爬升，随着周期的发展，我们仍然有待看到。”

The logarithmic regression channel is a technical tool that helps traders visualize long-term price trends on a logarithmic scale.

对数回归渠道是一种技术工具，可帮助交易者以对数规模可视化长期价格趋势。

At time of writing, BTC is trading for $82,500, down 2.25% in the past day.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为82,500美元，在过去一天下跌了2.25％。

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