标题：比特币（BTC）继续无视全球经济不确定性，更接近$ 86,000

比特币（BTC）继续抗拒全球经济不确定性，更接近回收$ 86,000。现在，它距离其“解放日”高3％。

Crypto markets are beginning the second quarter on a mixed note, with U.S. macroeconomic data and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's interview highlighting key trends.

加密市场（Crypto Markets）在第二季度开始以美国宏观经济数据和财政部长Scott Bessent的采访，突出了关键趋势。

As of 4 p.m. ET (8 p.m. UT), Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $85,877.18 and is less than 3% away from reclaiming the $86,000 level. It is now less than 3% away from its "Liberation Day" high. To put the move into perspective, bitcoin dominance — which measures BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market cap — is approaching 64%, a level not seen since January 2021.

截至美国东部时间下午4点（UT），比特币（BTC）的交易价格为85,877.18美元，距离收回$ 86,000的水平不到3％。现在，它距离其“解放日”高3％。为了迈向透视，比特币优势（衡量BTC在总加密货币市值中的份额）接近64％，这是自2021年1月以来未见的水平。

In contrast, the Nasdaq 100 is still 5% away from its own Liberation Day high, underscoring bitcoin's relative strength versus U.S. equities.

相比之下，纳斯达克100号距离自己的解放日仍然有5％的距离，强调了比特币的相对实力与美国股票的相对实力。

According to X account Cheddar Flow , the S&P 500 has just formed a "death cross" — a traditionally bearish signal that occurs when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. The last time this happened was March 15, 2022, when S&P 500 initially rose by 11% in the following week, only to be followed by a 20% decline. Bearish sentiment is also reflected in the options market, where investors are reportedly buying large volumes of NVDA puts , signaling expectations of lower prices.

根据X帐户CHEDDAR流量，标准普尔500指数刚刚形成了“死亡十字”，这是一个传统的看跌信号，当50天移动平均线降至200天移动平均线以下时，发生了这种看跌信号。最后一次发生是2022年3月15日，当时标准普尔500指数最初在接下来的一周中增长了11％，随后又下降了20％。看跌的情绪也反映在期权市场上，据报道，投资者正在购买大量NVDA投票，这表明了对价格较低的预期。

In a Bloomberg interview on Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed confidence in the U.S. bond market, dismissing concerns that foreign nations are dumping Treasuries.

在周一的彭博社采访中，财政部长斯科特·贝斯特（Scott Bessent）重申了对美国债券市场的信心，驳斥了对外国国家正在倾倒财政部的担忧。

"I am not seeing a dumping of U.S. Treasuries ,” Bessent said. "The Treasury has lots of tools , but we're a long way from needing them." He also emphasized the enduring status of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, despite the DXY index — which measures the dollar's value against a basket of major trading partners — falling below 100 and dropping over 10% in recent weeks.

贝森特说：“我没有看到美国国债的倾销。” “财政部有很多工具，但是我们需要它们很长的路要走。”他还强调了美元的持久状态作为全球储备货币，尽管DXY指数衡量了美元对一篮子主要贸易伙伴的价值 - 近几周内下降到100％以下，跌至10％以上。

Bessent also confirmed that the Trump administration is seeking a new Federal Reserve Chair to replace Jerome Powell, with interviews set to begin later in the year. He concluded the interview by suggesting that the VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) may have peaked after the largest one-day percentage drop in its history last week. Stay alert!

Bessent还确认，特朗普政府正在寻求新的美联储主席来取代杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell），访谈将于今年晚些时候开始。他通过建议VIX（标准普尔500指数）可能在上周历史上最大的一日百分比下降之后达到顶峰，得出了访谈的结论。保持警觉！

What to Watch

看什么

Crypto:

加密：

April 15: The first SmarDEX (SDEX) halving means the SDEX token's distribution will be cut by 50% for the next 12 months.

4月15日：第一个Smardex（SDEX）减半意味着SDEX令牌的分配将在接下来的12个月内降低50％。

April 16: HashKey Chain (HSK) mainnet upgrade enhances network stability and fee control capabilities.

4月16日：Hashkey Chain（HSK）Mainnet升级增强了网络稳定性和收费控制功能。

April 17: EigenLayer (EIGEN) activates slashing on Ethereum mainnet, enforcing penalties for operator misconduct.

4月17日：Eigenlayer（Eigen）激活对以太坊主网上的削减，对操作员不当行为执行处罚。

April 18: Pepecoin (PEP), a layer-1, proof-of-work blockchain, undergoes its second halving , reducing block rewards to 15,625 PEP per block.

4月18日：Pepecoin（PEP）是工作证明区块链，将其第二次减少到每块PEP 15,625 PEP。

April 20, 11 p.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — opBNB mainnet hardfork .

4月20日，晚上11点：BNB链（BNB） - Opbnb Mainnet Hardfork。

April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

4月21日：Coinbase衍生产品将列出商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）批准的XRP期货。

Macro

宏

April 15, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases March consumer price inflation data.

4月15日上午8:30：加拿大统计局发布了3月份消费者价格通货膨胀数据。

Core Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.7%

核心通货膨胀率妈妈上一条。 0.7％

Core Inflation Rate YoY Prev. 2.7%

核心通货膨胀率yoy上一条。 2.7％

Inflation Rate MoM Est. 0.6% vs. Prev. 1.1%

通货膨胀率妈妈est。 0.6％与上一篇。 1.1％

Inflation Rate YoY Est. 2.6% vs. Prev. 2.6%

通货膨胀率yoy est。 2.6％vs.上一条。 2.6％

April 16, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Census Bureau releases March retail sales data.

4月16日上午8:30：美国人口普查局发布了3月零售数据。

Retail Sales MoM Est. 1.4% vs. Prev. 0.2%

零售业妈妈EST。 1.4％与上一篇。 0.2％

Retail Sales YoY Prev. 3.1%

零售销售约比。 3.1％

April 16, 9:45 a.m.: Bank of Canada releases its latest interest rate decision, followed by a press conference 45 minutes later.

4月16日，上午9:45：加拿大银行发布了最新的利率决定，然后在45分钟后举行新闻发布会。

Policy Interest Rate Est. 2.75% vs. Prev. 2.75%

政策利率EST。 2.75％与上一篇。 2.75％

April 16, 1:30 p.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will deliver an “Economic Outlook” speech. Livestream link .

4月16日，下午1:30：美联储主席Jerome H. Powell将发表“经济前景”演讲。直播链接。

April 17, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Census Bureau releases March new residential construction data.

4月17日上午8:30：美国人口普查局发布了三月新的住宅建筑数据。

Housing Starts Est. 1.42M

住房开始。 142m