恒星（XLM）价格预测：XLM可能崩溃15％

Stellar的本地令牌XLM在市场不确定性的价格下降，最近的技术分析表明可能发生了可能的崩溃。

Stellar’s native token, XLM, has encountered a decline in price amid market uncertainty, with recent technical analysis pointing to a potential crash.

Stellar的本地令牌XLM在市场不确定性的价格下降，最近的技术分析表明可能发生了崩溃。

After an impressive rise in early March 2025, XLM has since formed a bearish pattern known as a rising wedge. This has left investors and traders concerned about the token’s future movement. According to experts at Benzinga, XLM’s price could decline by as much as 15%, potentially reaching the $0.23 level if certain support levels fail to hold.

在2025年3月上旬的令人印象深刻的上升之后，XLM从那以后形成了一种看跌的模式，称为上升的楔子。这使投资者和贸易商担心令牌的未来运动。根据Benzinga的专家的说法，XLM的价格可能会下跌多达15％，如果某些支持水平无法持有，则可能达到0.23美元。

XLM Technical Analysis and Key Levels to Watch

XLM技术分析和关键水平要观看

The technical outlook for XLM suggests that the asset is at a critical juncture. Currently trading near the $0.288 support, any failure to hold this level could signal a steep decline, with the price possibly falling to $0.23 in the near future. This drop would represent a 15% decrease from its current position.

XLM的技术前景表明该资产处于关键时刻。目前的交易接近$ 0.288的支持，任何未能保持此水平的交易都可能标志着大幅下降，而价格可能在不久的将来下降到0.23美元。该下降将比目前的位置下降15％。

In recent days, XLM’s price action has formed a bearish rising wedge pattern on the four-hour timeframe. This pattern is often seen as a sign of a potential breakdown. XLM initially showed strong upside momentum at the beginning of March but has since reversed course, creating this bearish formation.

最近几天，XLM的价格动作在四个小时的时间范围内形成了看跌的楔形图案。这种模式通常被视为潜在崩溃的迹象。 XLM最初在3月初表现出强大的上空动量，但此后扭转了过程，从而创造了这种看跌的形成。

Moreover, the token is now facing a descending trendline, which has historically marked price reversals, adding further concerns about a potential downturn. Another concerning factor is the appearance of a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, which typically signals a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. This pattern has pressured XLM’s price lower, reinforcing the negative outlook for the asset.

此外，该令牌现在面临着降落的趋势线，该趋势线历史上标志着价格逆转，并增加了人们对潜在衰退的担忧。另一个有关因素是看跌吞噬烛台图案的外观，这通常表明动量从看涨到看跌。这种模式使XLM的价格降低了，从而增强了资产的负面外观。

Current Price Momentum and Market Activity

当前的价格动力和市场活动

As of press time, XLM is trading at approximately $0.288, marking a 2% drop in the past 24 hours. While the price has dipped, the trading volume has surged by 25%, indicating that there is an increase in market participation. This heightened activity suggests that traders are actively responding to the current price action.

截至发稿时，XLM的交易价格约为0.288美元，在过去24小时内下降了2％。尽管价格下跌，但交易量飙升了25％，这表明市场参与有所增加。这项增加的活动表明，交易者正在积极回应当前的价格行动。

Bearish On-Chain Metrics and Whale Activity

看跌链指标和鲸鱼活动

The bearish sentiment surrounding XLM has been reinforced by several key on-chain metrics. Data from Coinglass shows that over $1.40 million worth of XLM tokens have flowed into exchanges in the past 24 hours. This inflow indicates that long-term holders might be preparing for a sell-off, which could lead to further downward pressure on the token’s price.

XLM周围的看跌情绪已被几个关键的链界指标加强。来自Coinglass的数据表明，在过去的24小时内，价值超过140万美元的XLM令牌已流向交易所。这种流入表明，长期持有人可能正在为抛售做准备，这可能会导致令牌价格的进一步下降压力。

In addition to the large inflow of XLM, there is a significant amount of bearish betting activity. Traders have built up positions betting against XLM’s price, with $3.30 million worth of short positions at the $0.305 resistance level and $611K worth of long positions at the $0.286 support level. These over-leveraged positions suggest that a liquidation could be imminent, depending on how the price moves in the coming hours.

除了XLM的大量流入外，还有大量的看跌投注活动。贸易商已经建立了针对XLM价格的押注，其价格为0.305美元的电阻水平，价值330万美元的短职位和价值6.11万美元的长头寸，以0.286美元的支持水平。这些过度验证的职位表明，根据价格在接下来的几个小时内的价格，清算可能是即将进行的。

If XLM fails to hold the $0.288 support, these positions could be liquidated, adding more selling pressure to the market.

如果XLM无法持有0.288美元的支持，则可以清算这些职位，从而增加市场销售压力。

What’s Next for XLM?

XLM的下一步是什么？

With bearish technical patterns and concerning on-chain metrics, the outlook for XLM remains uncertain. The price is at a critical support level, and any further decline could send the token to the $0.23 range. However, if XLM manages to hold the $0.288 level and find support, it could avoid a major crash and possibly set the stage for a rebound.

凭借看跌的技术模式和有关链界指标，XLM的前景仍然不确定。价格为关键支持水平，任何进一步的下降都可以使代币达到0.23美元的范围。但是，如果XLM设法持有0.288美元的水平并找到支持，则可以避免发生重大崩溃，并可能为反弹奠定基础。

In the coming days, traders will closely monitor XLM’s price action to see whether it can hold the key support or if the bearish patterns will continue to dominate. Whale activity and over-leveraged positions could also play a role in determining the token’s immediate fate.

在接下来的几天里，交易者将密切监视XLM的价格行动，以查看它是否可以持有关键支持，或者看跌模式是否会继续占主导地位。鲸鱼活动和过度杠杆作用也可能在确定令牌的直接命运方面发挥作用。

As always, traders should proceed with caution and be prepared for volatility, especially with the current uncertainty in the broader crypto market.

与往常一样，交易者应谨慎行事并为波动做好准备，尤其是在广泛的加密市场中当前的不确定性。