标准包机预测到2028年2万亿美元的Stablecoin市场

总部位于伦敦的标准银行周二发布了一份研究报告，预计，如果今年晚些时候批准了《天才法》，到2028年底，史泰布尔币供应的前所未有。

London-based Standard Chartered bank published a research report on Tuesday, projecting an almost ten-fold increase in the supply of stablecoins by the end of 2028 if the U.S. Congress passes the pending legislation later this year to create a legal framework for the asset class.

总部位于伦敦的标准特许银行周二发布了一份研究报告，预计，如果美国国会在今年晚些时候通过悬而未决的立法来为资产类别创建法律框架，那么到2028年底，Stablecoins的供应将近十倍。

There are currently two bills focused on stablecoins that are being reviewed by Congress: the Senate’s Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act and the House’s Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy (STABLE) Act. According to recent reports, President Donald Trump is planning on signing both bills into law "sometime before Congress goes on recess in August."

目前，有两项针对稳定的法案，这些法案正在审查国会：参议院的指导和建立国家创新为美国的稳定法（GENIUS）法案以及众议院的Stablecoin透明度以及对更好的Ledger经济（稳定）法案的责任感。根据最近的报道，唐纳德·特朗普总统正计划“在国会在八月进行休会之前的某个时候签署这两个法案”。

If the pending bills are indeed enacted by August, Standard Chartered projects a doubling in the growth rate of non-trade-related stablecoin transactions from 50% to 100% per year, which would send the asset category on a trajectory to top $2 trillion in market capitalization, a ten-fold increase from today’s market size of roughly $230 billion.

如果确实到8月制定了待处理的账单，则标准特许项目的非与贸易相关的稳定交易的增长率从每年的50％到100％增加了一倍，这将使资产类别的轨迹上的资产类别达到最高2万美元的市值，从当今的市值增长了十倍，从当今的市场尺寸大约230美元的账单。

“U.S. stablecoin legislation is expected soon, with the GENIUS Act likely to be passed by the summer,” the report explains. “We think this will help total stablecoin supply [to] increase from $230 billion today to $2 trillion by end-2028.”

该报告解释说：“预计美国稳定立法很快就会在夏天通过。” “我们认为，这将有助于总稳定供应（从今天的2,300亿美元增加到2028年的230亿美元）。”

If the pending bills are indeed enacted by August, Standard Chartered projects a doubling in the growth rate of non-trade-related stablecoin transactions from 50% to 100% per year, which would send the asset category on a trajectory to top $2 trillion in market capitalization, a ten-fold increase from today’s market size of roughly $230 billion.

如果确实到8月制定了待处理的账单，则标准特许项目的非与贸易相关的稳定交易的增长率从每年的50％到100％增加了一倍，这将使资产类别的轨迹上的资产类别达到最高2万美元的市值，从当今的市值增长了十倍，从当今的市场尺寸大约230美元的账单。

There are currently two bills focused on stablecoins that are being reviewed by Congress: the Senate’s Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act and the House’s Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy (STABLE) Act. According to recent reports, President Donald Trump is planning on signing both bills into law "sometime before Congress goes on August.

目前，有两项针对稳定的法案，这些法案正在审查国会：参议院的指导和建立国家创新为美国的稳定法（GENIUS）法案以及众议院的Stablecoin透明度以及对更好的Ledger经济（稳定）法案的责任感。根据最近的报道，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统正计划签署这两项法案，以“国会在八月份去之前的某个时候。

Interestingly, the report also makes a case for stablecoins augmenting U.S. hegemony. Trump’s tariff policies have weakened the U.S. dollar and reduced demand for U.S. assets. But if stablecoins, most of which are USD-denominated, do indeed surge to a $2 trillion market cap, the greenback would likely increase its global dominance extensively.

有趣的是，该报告还提出了加强美国霸权的稳定性的理由。特朗普的关税政策削弱了美元，减少了对美国资产的需求。但是，如果大多数以USD计数为主导的Stablecoins确实确实提高到了2万亿美元的市值，那么绿卫很可能会大大提高其全球优势。

“As stablecoin usage increases, this additional source of USD demand should support USD hegemony,” the report explains. Adding that such dominance will act as a “medium-term offset against the current threat to USD hegemony on the back of tariff concerns.”

该报告解释说：“随着稳定使用的使用增加，这种额外的美元需求来源应支持USD霸权。”并补充说，这种主导地位将成为“反对当前对关税关注的霸权威胁的中期抵消”。