Solana（Sol）：10％浪涌还是30％？

在撰写本文时，Solana（Sol）的交易约为107.50美元，在24小时内从97美元中飙升了10％以上。

Solana (SOL) price witnessed a 10% surge in the past 24 hours, reaching $107.50 at the time of writing.

在过去的24小时内，Solana（Sol）Price目睹了10％的涨幅，在写作时达到了107.50美元。

However, technical analysis and on-chain data highlight the possibility of a 30% drop for SOL in the short term.

但是，技术分析和链上数据突出了短期内SOL下降30％的可能性。

Solana failed to break its crucial horizontal support of $114 on April 6, a level that had previously acted as a price reversal or bounce point.

索拉纳（Solana）未能在4月6日打破对114美元的关键水平支撑，这一水平以前是价格逆转或弹跳点。

Solana broke its crucial horizontal support of $114 on April 6, 2025. Historically, this level had acted as a price reversal or bounce point. However, this time, the pattern failed, paving the way for further decline.

索拉纳（Solana）在2025年4月6日打破了对114美元的关键水平支持。从历史上看，这一水平是价格逆转或弹跳点。但是，这次模式失败了，为进一步的下降铺平了道路。

Indeed, if SOL remains below $114, historical trends indicate a potential drop of 30%, which could bring it back to its next support level at $77.

实际上，如果SOL保持在114美元以下，历史趋势表明30％的潜在下降，这可能会使其下一个支持水平为77美元。

Currently, SOL is trading below the 200-day moving average on the daily chart, signaling a strong downtrend with continuous downward momentum.

目前，SOL在每日图表上的交易平均值低于200天移动平均线，这表明持续向下势头的下降趋势强劲。

If Solana fails to reach $135, it will continue its drop to $80-77.

如果Solana未能达到135美元，它将继续下降至80-77美元。

On-chain metrics also confirm the bearish sentiment among traders.

链上指标还证实了交易者的看跌感。

Coinglass data shows that traders hold more short positions than long positions in the market, with $85 million in short positions built at the $113.10 resistance level. This suggests that bears currently dominate this asset.

COINGLASS数据显示，交易者在市场上的职位比长期头寸要多，其短头位为113.10美元的阻力水平为8500万美元。这表明熊当前在该资产中占主导地位。

In summary, Solana could see an increase in the coming days up to $120 to liquidate shorts and then trend back downwards.

总而言之，索拉纳（Solana）可能会看到未来几天的增长，最高120美元，以清理短裤，然后向下趋势。

However, these short and long positions are likely to be liquidated once the price significantly moves in either direction. Hence, the support level of $77 becomes a crucial point to monitor for Solana investors, as a fallback to this level would indicate a major shift in project dynamics.More on this topic:

但是，一旦价格明显朝任何方向移动，这些短职位和长位置可能会被清算。因此，77美元的支持水平成为监控索拉纳投资者的关键点，因为该水平的后备将表明项目动态的重大转变。