Solana（Sol）从最近的低点反弹30％，但仍要谨慎

索拉纳（Solana）从最近的低点获得了强劲的反弹，从4月7日低至95美元的低点攀升至30％，达到125美元。

Solana (SOL) has experienced a strong rebound from recent lows, with prices rising approximately 30% from an April 7 low of $95 to reach highs of $125.

Solana（Sol）与最近的低点相比经历了强劲的反弹，价格从4月7日低至95美元的价格上涨了约30％，达到125美元的高点。

This recovery comes amid mixed signals from both on-chain data and ecosystem activity. The current rally has brought renewed optimism to SOL holders. However, several indicators suggest that the crypto could face resistance in the $140 zone, where many holders might be enticed to sell.

从链数据和生态系统活动中的混合信号中，这种恢复出现。目前的集会使索尔持有人的新乐观情绪。但是，几个指标表明，加密货币可能会在140美元的区域中面临阻力，许多持有人可能被诱使出售。

On-chain data reveals concerning behavior from a major holder that could impact SOL’s continued upward momentum. The holder liquidated 274,188 SOL at an average price of $108, realizing an $11 million loss based on their initial cost basis of $148.

链上数据揭示了主要持有人的行为，这可能会影响SOL的持续向上势头。持有人以108美元的平均价格清算了274,188元的SOL，并根据其初始成本基础148美元实现了1100万美元的损失。

Key Resistance Levels

关键阻力水平

The UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) identifies three major supply clusters for Solana – around $100, $120, and $140. The $140 zone appears particularly critical, with over 27.8 million SOL concentrated at this level, representing approximately 4.75% of the total circulating supply.

UTXO实现了价格分配（URPD），确定了Solana的三个主要供应簇 - 约100美元，120美元和140美元。 140美元的区域似乎特别关键，超过2780万辆溶胶集中在此水平上，约占循环总供应量的4.75％。

This concentration creates a substantial resistance barrier, as many holders at this level are either near breakeven or facing unrealized losses. Should SOL approach this threshold, increased selling pressure could emerge as investors seek to exit positions.

这种浓度会产生强大的阻力障碍，因为此级别的许多持有人要么接近盈亏平衡，要么面对未实现的损失。如果SOL达到这个门槛，则随着投资者寻求退出职位，可能会增加销售压力。

Between $117 and $120, another 38 million SOL sits clustered, creating a potential area for profit-taking as prices move through this range. These supply zones suggest that price volatility may continue until SOL tests and potentially breaks through the $140 level.

在117美元至120美元之间，另外3800万索尔（Sol）坐着聚集，随着价格贯穿该范围，营造了一个潜在的利润领域。这些供应区表明，价格波动可能会持续到SOL测试并有可能突破140美元的水平。

Derivatives Market Activity

衍生品市场活动

The recent 7.07% daily upswing positions Solana as the leading top-tier asset in recovery velocity. This rally shows strength in both spot and derivatives markets, with Open Interest jumping 13.89% to $5.23 billion.

最近，每天7.07％的上升职位索拉纳（Solana）是恢复速度领先的顶级资产。这次集会在现场和衍生品市场上都显示出实力，开放兴趣跃升了13.89％，达到52.3亿美元。

This influx indicates that fresh leveraged exposure is entering the market, which could amplify price swings. However, it also contributes to increased market fragility.

这种涌入表明，新的杠杆风险正在进入市场，这可能会扩大价格波动。但是，这也有助于增加市场脆弱性。

The combination of active whale distribution and Short-Term Holders (3–6 months) remaining in capitulation territory creates conditions for potential liquidation cascades. Should Solana fail to maintain its upward momentum, a long squeeze could trigger sharp downside movements.

在压制区域中剩余的活跃鲸鱼分布和短期持有人（3-6个月）的组合创造了潜在的清算级联反应的条件。如果Solana无法保持其向上的动力，那么长时间的挤压会触发急剧的下行运动。

This risk is heightened by funding rates beginning to skew positive, which might encourage more traders to open long positions. The recent breach of the $117-$120 supply zone further compounds this risk, as it could attract technical traders and generate additional buying pressure.

资金率开始偏向正偏向，这可能会增加这种风险，这可能会鼓励更多的交易者开设长期职位。最近违反了$ 117- $ 120的供应区域，进一步加剧了这种风险，因为它可能会吸引技术交易者并造成额外的购买压力。

Ecosystem Strength

生态系统力量

Despite price concerns, Solana’s network activity shows positive trends. The blockchain processed over 350 million transactions in the past week, representing a 4.8% increase from the previous period.

尽管有价格问题，但Solana的网络活动仍显示出积极的趋势。在过去一周中，区块链处理了超过3.5亿件交易，比上一个时期增加了4.8％。

Active addresses have jumped by 15% to over 28.13 million, showcasing growing user engagement. Decentralized exchanges on Solana have handled over $14 billion in transaction volume over the past week and $46 billion in the last month.

积极的地址增长了15％，达到2813万以上，展示了不断增长的用户参与度。在过去一周中，对Solana的分散交易所的交易量超过140亿美元，在上个月处理了460亿美元。

Major platforms like Orca, Raydium, and Pump have driven much of this activity. Transaction volume on these exchanges peaked at $9.9 billion on April 6.

Orca，Raydium和Pump等主要平台驱动了大部分活动。这些交易所的交易量在4月6日达到99亿美元的峰值。

The Solana meme coin sector has shown particular strength. Tokens like Fartcoin (+81% weekly), Popcat (+57% weekly), Gigachat, Goatseus Maximus, Fartboy, and Vine have all posted strong gains.

Solana Meme硬币部门已显示出特殊的强度。像Fartcoin（每周+81％），Popcat（每周+57％），Gigachat，Goatseus Maximus，Fartboy和Vine这样的令牌都取得了很大的收益。

Their combined recovery has pushed the total market capitalization of Solana meme coins above $7.02 billion. From a technical perspective, Solana has formed a falling wedge pattern, which often signals a bullish reversal.

他们的综合恢复已将Solana Meme硬币的总市值推向了70.2亿美元以上。从技术的角度来看，索拉纳（Solana）形成了一种掉落的楔形模式，这通常标志着看涨的逆转。

Both the Relative Strength Index and MACD indicators have been rising this week, further supporting the case for continued upward movement.

本周相对强度指数和MACD指标都在上升，进一步支持了继续向上运动的情况。

If this bullish scenario plays out, the next key level to watch is $150, representing a potential 20% gain from current prices. However, a drop below $110 would invalidate this outlook and potentially signal renewed bearish momentum.

如果这种看涨的情况呈现出来，那么要观看的下一个关键水平为150美元，这是当前价格的潜在收益20％。但是，低于$ 110的跌幅会使这种前景无效，并有可能引起看跌的势头。