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根据最近的一份报告,预计到 2025 年,Solana (SOL) 将引领加密货币市场的增长,超过以太坊 (ETH) 和比特币 (BTC)
Standard Chartered has predicted that Solana (SOL) will lead the cryptocurrency market in growth by 2025, outpacing both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). In a recent report, the British multinational bank stated that Solana could rise five-fold in value, especially if Donald Trump wins the forthcoming US presidential election.
渣打银行预测,到 2025 年,Solana (SOL) 将引领加密货币市场的增长,超过比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH)。英国跨国银行在最近的一份报告中表示,Solana 的价值可能会上涨五倍,特别是如果唐纳德·特朗普赢得即将到来的美国总统大选。
The bank's Global Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoffrey Kendrick, unveiled new valuation metrics for layer-1 blockchains, focusing on Solana and Ethereum. He compared Solana’s current market capitalization to Ethereum when it comes to several historical indicators. For instance, Solana’s market cap to fees ratio is 250x compared to Ethereum which is at 121x.
该银行数字资产研究全球主管 Geoffrey Kendrick 公布了第一层区块链的新估值指标,重点关注 Solana 和以太坊。他在几个历史指标方面将 Solana 目前的市值与以太坊进行了比较。例如,Solana 的市值与费用比率为 250 倍,而以太坊的市值与费用比率为 121 倍。
This high valuation is driven by market expectations of Solana’s future growth potential, which Kendrick anticipates will be in the range of 100 to 400 times the current throughput of Solana in the coming years. He believes that this growth potential is more likely to be realized under a Trump administration, given the president’s friendly disposition towards digital assets.
这一高估值是由市场对 Solana 未来增长潜力的预期推动的,Kendrick 预计未来几年该增长潜力将是 Solana 目前吞吐量的 100 至 400 倍。他认为,鉴于特朗普对数字资产的友好态度,这种增长潜力更有可能在特朗普政府的领导下实现。
The report also highlights the contrasting token supply and staking yields of Solana and Ethereum. While Ethereum has maintained its position as the leading layer-1 blockchain network, Solana’s increased activity and token price appreciation have raised the question of whether the network might dethrone Ethereum soon. However, Standard Chartered suggests that SOL might be overvalued at the moment in comparison to ETH.
该报告还强调了 Solana 和以太坊的代币供应和质押收益率的对比。虽然以太坊保持了其作为领先的第一层区块链网络的地位,但 Solana 的活动增加和代币价格升值引发了该网络是否可能很快取代以太坊的问题。然而,渣打银行表示,与 ETH 相比,SOL 目前可能被高估。
Solana’s token supply is increased at a rate of 5.5% per annum, compared to Ethereum’s 0.5% per annum. This directly affects real staking returns, with Solana having a yield of 1% and Ethereum having a yield of 2.3%. Another advantage that tips in favor of Ethereum is the presence of developers - 38% of blockchain developers work on the Ethereum ecosystem, compared to only 9% on Solana.
Solana 的代币供应量以每年 5.5% 的速度增加,而以太坊的年增长率为 0.5%。这直接影响实际的质押回报,Solana 的收益率为 1%,以太坊的收益率为 2.3%。支持以太坊的另一个优势是开发人员的存在 - 38% 的区块链开发人员在以太坊生态系统上工作,而在 Solana 上这一比例仅为 9%。
The report also analyzes how the U.S. regulatory policies may change in the aftermath of the elections. If the former president Donald Trump were to win, then the analysts predict a more positive environment for the cryptocurrency market, and increased possibilities of the approval of spot-based Solana exchange traded funds (ETFs).
报告还分析了选举后美国监管政策可能发生的变化。如果前总统唐纳德·特朗普获胜,那么分析师预计加密货币市场的环境将更加积极,并且基于现货的 Solana 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 获得批准的可能性也会增加。
Based on this assumption, SOL could do better than ETH and BTC. On the other hand, if the new government is led by Kamala Harris, then the regulation could be tighter, with bitcoin likely to lead, ethereum and solana to follow.
基于这个假设,SOL 可以比 ETH 和 BTC 做得更好。另一方面,如果新政府由卡马拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)领导,那么监管可能会更加严格,比特币可能会领先,以太坊和索拉纳紧随其后。
However, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about cryptocurrency in general, which is in contrast with the two previous forecasts. The bank believes that Ethereum will trade at $7,000 by the end of 2025 if Harris is the president and up to $10,000 if Trump is still in power. At the same time, Bitcoin is expected to jump to $200,000 by the same year-end, regardless of the election results.
不过,渣打银行总体上对加密货币仍持乐观态度,这与之前的两次预测形成鲜明对比。该银行认为,如果哈里斯担任总统,到 2025 年底,以太坊的交易价格将达到 7,000 美元,如果特朗普仍然掌权,以太坊的交易价格将达到 10,000 美元。与此同时,无论选举结果如何,比特币预计到年底将跃升至 20 万美元。
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