Solana (SOL) 价格预测：SOLUSDT 多头避开空头，关注 325 美元

11 月 23 日，Solana (SOL) 价格创下历史新高，引发了对该山寨币可能上涨至 300 美元的猜测。

Solana’s (CRYPTO: SOL) price hit a new all-time high of $260 on November 23, sparking speculation that the altcoin could rally as high as $300.

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) 的价格于 11 月 23 日创下 260 美元的历史新高，引发了对该山寨币可能上涨至 300 美元的猜测。

While that did not happen, recent data shows that Solana traders are betting on a rebound. An analysis of these positions reveals whether they could deliver gains or put many at risk of liquidation.

虽然这种情况并未发生，但最近的数据显示 Solana 交易员押注于反弹。对这些头寸的分析揭示了它们是否可以带来收益或使许多人面临清算的风险。

Solana Longs Keep Shorts Out of the Way

Solana 长款让短裤不再碍事

Data from Coinglass shows that Solana’s Long/Short ratio on the 1-hour timeframe has climbed to 1.17. This ratio gauges market expectations, indicating whether most traders hold bearish or bullish positions.

Coinglass 的数据显示，Solana 在 1 小时时间范围内的多头/空头比率已攀升至 1.17。该比率衡量市场预期，表明大多数交易者持有看跌还是看涨头寸。

When the ratio falls below 1, it indicates more shorts (sellers) than longs (buyers). Conversely, a ratio above 1 suggests a higher number of traders betting on a price increase compared to those anticipating a decline.

当该比率低于 1 时，表明空头（卖方）多于多头（买方）。相反，比率高于 1 表明押注价格上涨的交易者数量多于预期价格下跌的交易者数量。

Currently, 54% of Solana traders hold long positions, while 46.17% expect a drop below $255. This indicates a bullish leaning among traders, with more optimism about the token’s price rising than falling.

目前，54% 的 Solana 交易者持有多头头寸，而 46.17% 的人预计价格会跌破 255 美元。这表明交易者存在看涨倾向，对代币价格上涨的乐观情绪多于对价格下跌的乐观情绪。

Moreover, it appears that these traders’ positions could prove profitable, thanks to an uptick in Solana’s Transaction Rate, which is the number of successful transactions processed per second on its blockchain.

此外，由于 Solana 交易率（即其区块链上每秒处理的成功交易数量）的上升，这些交易者的头寸似乎可以盈利。

An increasing Transaction Rate signals heightened user activity and engagement with the cryptocurrency, while a decline indicates reduced interest. According to Glassnode, Solana’s Transaction Rate has been climbing. If this trend continues, it could propel SOL’s price past its all-time high.

交易率上升表明用户活动和对加密货币的参与度增加，而交易率下降则表明兴趣下降。据 Glassnode 称，Solana 的交易率一直在攀升。如果这种趋势持续下去，可能会推动 SOL 的价格突破历史新高。

SOL Price Prediction: Upside Potential Remains

SOL 价格预测：仍有上涨潜力

On the weekly chart, Solana’s price has surged above the 20 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), key indicators that measure trends. When the price sits above the EMAs, it signals a bullish trend, while a drop below them typically signals bearish momentum.

在周线图上，Solana 的价格已飙升至衡量趋势的关键指标 20 和 50 指数移动平均线 (EMA) 上方。当价格高于均线时，表明看涨趋势，而跌破均线则通常表明看跌势头。

With SOL currently priced at $255, above both EMAs, the altcoin seems poised to continue its upward direction. The formation of a bull flag further supports this bullish outlook.

由于 SOL 目前的价格为 255 美元，高于两个均线，该山寨币似乎准备继续上涨。牛市旗形的形成进一步支持了这种看涨前景。

A bull flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that once the price breaks out, it’s likely to maintain the prior upward momentum. As seen below, SOL has already broken out of the consolidation pattern and is heading higher.

牛旗是一种延续形态，表明价格一旦突破，很可能会维持之前的上涨势头。如下所示，SOL 已经突破盘整格局，并正在走高。

As long as the price remains above the upper trendline of the consolidation phase, it could rise toward $325. However, if selling pressure takes hold, this bullish scenario could shift. In that case, SOL might fall below $200.

只要价格保持在盘整阶段的上趋势线之上，它就可能上涨至 325 美元。然而，如果抛售压力持续存在，这种看涨局面可能会发生变化。在这种情况下，SOL 可能会跌破 200 美元。