Solana（Sol）认为FTX/Alameda的大量令牌解锁，尽管价格上涨最近提高了市场绩效的怀疑

Solana（Sol）最近看到了从FTX/Alameda解锁了大量令牌，尽管最近价格上涨，但仍对市场业绩提高了怀疑。

Solana (SOL) has recently seen the unlocking of a massive amount of tokens from FTX/Alameda, raising doubt about the market performance despite recent price hike.

Solana（Sol）最近看到了从FTX/Alameda解锁了大量令牌，尽管最近价格上涨，但仍对市场业绩产生了怀疑。

Solana’s price has gone up by 10.25% in the last 24 hours, pushing its price to $131.03.

在过去的24小时内，Solana的价格上涨了10.25％，将其价格提高到131.03美元。

However, this surge may not be a leap forward in a bullish trend in the long run. General market optimism, which has, to an extent, benefited Solana, isn’t worth ignoring the lingering impact of institutional token unlocks.

但是，从长远来看，这种激增可能不是看涨趋势的飞跃。一般的市场乐观情绪在一定程度上使索拉纳受益，不值得忽略机构代币解锁的挥之不去的影响。

In particular, FTX/Alameda unlocked 186,326 SOL tokens, or about $21,500,000.

特别是，FTX/Alameda解锁了186,326 SOL令牌，约为21,500,000美元。

This could cause some investors to think about selling their holdings as the market reacts. The price could now be turning volatile and continuing to head down.

这可能会导致一些投资者考虑在市场反应时出售其持股。现在，价格可能会变得波动并继续下降。

This is one in a series of unlocks that have been ticking along since Solana’s earlier days with FTX.

这是自索拉纳（Solana）与FTX早期以来一直在滴答作响的一系列解锁中。

Given that Bitcoin dissidents FTX and Alameda have owned a large chunk of Solana in their portfolios.

鉴于比特币异议人士FTX和Alameda在其投资组合中拥有了大部分索拉纳。

This sizeable release represents 186,326 SOL tokens to Sam Bankman Fried and Alameda.

该大量发行版代表了Sam Bankman Fried和Alameda的186,326 SOL令牌。

Most of the time, unlocking tokens signifies a time when the supply is higher than the demand for the tokens.

在大多数情况下，解锁令牌表示供应高于对令牌需求的时间。

This naturally ensures downward price pressure. FTX/Alameda institutions may seek to make hay while the sun shines, which may lead to selling pressure as they release tokens.

这自然会确保下降价格压力。 FTX/Alameda机构可能会寻求制作干草，而阳光明媚，这可能会在释放令牌时导致销售压力。

Solana can quickly become a negative market sentiment. Still, Solana has proven resilient in the market.

Solana可以很快成为负面的市场情绪。尽管如此，Solana仍在市场上证明了弹性。

The Solana price has risen by 10.25% over the last 24 hours, bringing its price to $131.03.

在过去的24小时内，索拉纳的价格上涨了10.25％，其价格达到131.03美元。

Yet, this surge may not be a leap forward in a bullish trend in the long run. General market optimism, which has, to an extent, benefited Solana, isn’t worth ignoring the lingering impact of institutional token unlocks.

但是，从长远来看，这种激增可能并不是看涨趋势的飞跃。一般的市场乐观情绪在一定程度上使索拉纳受益，不值得忽略机构代币解锁的挥之不去的影响。

The Rising Wedge Pattern and Market Predictions

上升的楔形模式和市场预测

In the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that Solana’s price is more or less following a rising wedge pattern.

在4小时的时间范围内，我们可以看到Solana的价格或多或少是按照上升的楔形模式。

Generally, rising wedges suggest that the price will break down. It occurs when the price retraces between two converging trendlines with higher highs and higher lows.

通常，上升的楔形表明价格将分解。当价格在两个收敛的趋势线之间回溯具有较高高和较高低点的趋势趋势线之间的价格。

This could initially be considered a bullish formation. However, in most cases, it reverses as buyers get tired and sellers seize control.

最初，这可能被认为是看涨的形成。但是，在大多数情况下，随着买家感到疲倦，卖家抓住控制权，它会逆转。

Solana’s price is currently at the upper boundary of this wedge, and it would be worth paying close attention to a breakdown below the lower trendline.

Solana的价格目前处于此楔形的上限，值得关注以下趋势线以下的故障。

This can subject the price to significant downward pressure. It would likely send it to a target close to the $96 price mark.

这可以使价格承受重大的下降压力。它可能会将其发送到接近96美元的目标的目标。

Solana’s Volume Oscillator Enters Negative Zone as Buying Interest Weakens

Solana的音量振荡器进入负区域，因为购买利息会减弱

Analyzing price movements in combination with volume, we can see a price decline simultaneously.

分析价格变动与数量的结合，我们可以同时看到价格下跌。

This is because buying interest (volume) is seen weakening (via volume oscillator). Since the trading volume has reduced by 12.45%, Solana’s volume oscillator is in he negative zone.

这是因为看到购买兴趣（数量）正在减弱（通过音量振荡器）。由于交易量减少了12.45％，因此Solana的量振荡器处于负区域。

The decrease shows that traders and investors could be less willing to open new positions as they worry that when institutional holders sell off, the seller may not buy.

减少表明，交易者和投资者可能不太愿意开放新职位，因为他们担心当机构持有人出售时，卖方可能不会购买。

With the current drop in volume and rising wedge formation on the chart, the price surge might not be sustainable should institutional selling move to the front seat.

随着图表上目前的数量下降和楔形楔形的下降，如果机构销售转移到前排座位，价格上涨可能是不可持续的。

Solana Price Prediction and Market Outlook

索拉娜的价格预测和市场前景

The outlook for Solana looks uncertain for the future. The rising price in recent times is a good event, and it may not be enough to counterbalance the upcoming bearish pressures arising from token unlock events.

Solana的前景似乎不确定未来。最近的价格上涨是一个不错的事件，这可能不足以抵消即将到来的代币解锁事件所产生的看跌压力。

With each release of FTX/Alameda’s holdings, Solana’s supply is increasing in the market, leading to downward price pressure.

随着FTX/Alameda持有的每次发布，Solana的供应在市场上都在增加，导致价格压力下降。

According to the current chart configuration, the price could fall to the $96 area if Solana broke down from the rising wedge pattern.

根据当前的图表配置，如果索拉纳（Solana）从上升的楔形图案中崩溃，价格可能会降至96美元。

Moreover, remaining over $120 would be possible for Solana only if it manages to avert breakdown from support levels.

此外，只有在Solana设法避免从支持级别上崩溃的情况下，才有可能剩余的120美元。

If the price cannot hold above these levels, we might see more declines in a short period of time.

如果价格不能超过这些水平，我们可能会在短时间内看到更多下降。

If the price fails to stay above the present support, Solana may discover a new base at greater levels before it reverses.

如果价格无法保持在当前的支持之上，Solana可能会在逆转之前发现一个新的基础。

The released Solana tokens by FTX/Alameda, and the rising wedge formation on the chart indicate that the risk comes with caution.

FTX/Alameda释放的Solana代币，图表上的楔形形成表明风险谨慎。

If these tokens get sold into the market, Solana may see a huge dip if the volume also decreases.

如果这些代币被出售到市场上，如果量也减少，索拉纳可能会看到巨大的下降。

If Solana is able to keep its position, and the market can digest the increasing supply, Solana (SOL) price may keep trading in the same price range. This is from $120 to $124, in the short term.

如果Solana能够保持自己的位置，并且市场可以消化供应量的增加，那么Solana（Sol）价格可能会保持在相同价格范围内的交易。在短期内，这是从$ 120到$ 124。