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在 2021 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日之间的 12 个月中,Shiba Inu (SHIB) 的回报率为 45,278,000%,这可以将仅 3 美元的完美时机投资变成超过 100 万美元。
Shiba Inu (CRYPTO:SHIB) had an interesting 2022. The meme-token started the year trading at $0.000033 and closed out the year down 75% at $0.000008. It hit a record high of $0.000086 in October 2021, but that was short-lived as the token fell victim to the crypto winter and a wave of selling pressure.
Shiba Inu (CRYPTO:SHIB) 度过了有趣的 2022 年。这款 Meme 代币年初的交易价格为 0.000033 美元,最终下跌 75%,收于 0.000008 美元。它在 2021 年 10 月创下了 0.000086 美元的历史新高,但这只是短暂的,因为该代币成为了加密货币冬天和一波抛售压力的受害者。
Despite the downturn, Shiba Inu still managed to deliver a return of 45,278,000% in the 12 months between Jan. 1, 2021, and Dec. 31, 2021. A perfectly timed investment of just $3 at the beginning of 2021 would have turned into more than $1 million by the end of the year. That trounces the return of just about every stock in history — including Nvidia, which is up 476,000% since its initial public offering (IPO) in 1999.
尽管经济低迷,柴犬仍然在 2021 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日的 12 个月内实现了 45,278,000% 的回报率。在 2021 年初,只要投资 3 美元,时机恰到好处,就可以变成更多到年底将超过 100 万美元。这超过了历史上几乎所有股票的回报率——包括英伟达,该公司自 1999 年首次公开募股 (IPO) 以来已上涨 476,000%。
But Shiba Inu's fate is often determined by speculators, which makes its trajectory hard to predict. On the flip side, there's no telling when (or if) the token will embark on another historic bull run as it did in 2021. Should investors buy it while it's trading below $0.0001?
但柴犬的命运往往由投机者决定,这使得它的轨迹难以预测。另一方面,尚不清楚该代币何时(或是否)会像 2021 年那样迎来另一场历史性牛市。投资者是否应该在其交易价格低于 0.0001 美元时购买它?
Shiba Inu faces a critical hurdle — adoption
柴犬面临一个关键障碍——领养
Crypto enthusiasts have often touted cryptocurrency as a viable replacement for traditional money because it's decentralized and can't be controlled by any one person or government. However, consumers and businesses don't appear convinced. Even the industry leader Bitcoin has failed to gain traction as a currency. Just 9,524 merchants around the world accept it as payment for goods and services.
加密货币爱好者经常将加密货币吹捧为传统货币的可行替代品,因为它是去中心化的,并且不能由任何个人或政府控制。然而,消费者和企业似乎并不相信。即使是行业领导者比特币也未能成为一种货币。全球只有 9,524 家商家接受它作为商品和服务的付款方式。
Shiba Inu has fared even worse, with just 981 merchants in its ecosystem right now. If consumers can't spend their tokens at their favorite stores, they don't have an incentive to hold them, and it's very difficult to create value without that organic demand.
柴犬的情况更糟,目前其生态系统中仅有 981 家商家。如果消费者不能在他们最喜欢的商店消费他们的代币,他们就没有动力持有它们,并且如果没有这种有机需求,就很难创造价值。
Developers have tried to create new use cases to encourage the adoption of the Shiba Inu token, but none seem to be sticking. They've been working on a metaverse since 2022, where users can spend tokens to add logos, photos, and even custom names to their virtual parcels of land, but it has yet to officially launch and there's no firm release date.
开发人员试图创建新的用例来鼓励采用柴犬代币,但似乎没有一个能够坚持下去。自 2022 年以来,他们一直在开发虚拟宇宙,用户可以使用代币在其虚拟土地上添加徽标、照片,甚至自定义名称,但该虚拟宇宙尚未正式启动,也没有确定的发布日期。
Developers introduced a Layer-2 blockchain solution called Shibarium last year, which removes some of the inefficiencies associated with the legacy Ethereum network upon which Shiba Inu was built. It's now cheaper and faster to transact with the Shiba Inu token, but it doesn't appear to have boosted adoption or its price.
开发人员去年推出了名为 Shibarium 的 Layer-2 区块链解决方案,该解决方案消除了与构建 Shiba Inu 的传统以太坊网络相关的一些低效率问题。现在使用柴犬代币进行交易更便宜、更快,但它似乎并没有提高采用率或其价格。
A Layer-3 blockchain solution might also be on the way, which will enhance privacy and offer customizations to facilitate a higher volume of transactions. But that simply puts the cart even further ahead of the horse — without widespread adoption, a more efficient network isn't useful or even needed.
第三层区块链解决方案也可能即将推出,这将增强隐私并提供定制以促进更高交易量。但这只是本末倒置——如果没有广泛采用,更高效的网络就没用,甚至不需要。
Shiba Inu's substantial supply might limit further upside
柴犬的大量供应可能会限制进一步的上涨
Even if Shiba Inu cracks the adoption problem, the enormous supply of tokens could limit further upside. There are 589.3 trillion tokens in circulation, so even at the minuscule price of $0.000013, Shiba Inu has a market capitalization of $8.1 billion. Simple math dictates that if the price rose to $1 per token, Shiba Inu's market cap would hit $589.3 trillion.
即使柴犬解决了采用问题,代币的巨大供应也可能会限制进一步的上涨。流通中的代币数量为 589.3 万亿,因此即使价格仅为 0.000013 美元,Shiba Inu 的市值也高达 81 亿美元。简单的数学计算表明,如果每个代币的价格上涨至 1 美元,Shiba Inu 的市值将达到 589.3 万亿美元。
That would make the meme-token 21 times more valuable than the entire U.S. economy, which generates about $28 trillion in gross domestic product (GDP) each year. In other words, we're unlikely to ever see Shiba Inu trading at $1 per token.
这将使 meme 代币的价值比整个美国经济的价值高 21 倍,而美国每年的国内生产总值 (GDP) 约为 28 万亿美元。换句话说,我们不太可能看到 Shiba Inu 的交易价格为每个代币 1 美元。
It could, however, reach a price of $0.0001. It would require a gain of 670% from here and would take Shiba Inu's market cap to $58.9 billion, which is a little less stratospheric. The move would have to be driven entirely by speculation unless developers somehow conjure up a way to drive adoption. But it would only represent a small gain beyond Shiba Inu's previous all-time high of $0.000086, so it wouldn't be entirely uncharted territory.
然而,它的价格可能会达到 0.0001 美元。这将需要从这里获得 670% 的收益,并且将使 Shiba Inu 的市值达到 589 亿美元,这个数字稍微不那么高。这一举措必须完全由投机推动,除非开发人员想出一种方法来推动采用。但这仅代表柴犬之前的历史高点 0.000086 美元的小幅涨幅,因此这并不是完全未知的领域。
It's impossible to predict speculation fever, so I wouldn't buy Shiba Inu now, even if there is a tiny, tiny chance of another historic run in the future. There are so many high-quality stocks that investors could buy, instead, with much more predictable returns.
预测投机热度是不可能的,所以我现在不会购买柴犬,即使未来有极小的机会再次出现历史性的上涨。相反,投资者可以购买许多优质股票,并获得更可预测的回报。
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