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Peter Schiff 预测比特币将出现灾难性崩盘,并将其归因于投机性 ETF 买家在大规模流动性危机期间抛售。他认为这将引发多米诺骨牌效应,牵涉 ETF 发行人并导致 MicroStrategy 可能破产。由于 Tether 涉嫌价格操纵和 MicroStrategy 的财务操纵,希夫将比特币和区块链视为“数字庞氏骗局”,并强调了比特币价格在减半事件后下跌的历史趋势。
Peter Schiff Predicts Bitcoin's "Biggest Crash Ever" and MicroStrategy Bankruptcy
Peter Schiff 预测比特币将出现“有史以来最严重的崩盘”和 MicroStrategy 破产
Renowned cryptocurrency critic Peter Schiff has issued a dire warning for Bitcoin and its major corporate proponent, MicroStrategy, forecasting a catastrophic price collapse and potential bankruptcy for the latter.
著名加密货币评论家 Peter Schiff 对比特币及其主要企业支持者 MicroStrategy 发出了可怕的警告,预测后者将出现灾难性的价格暴跌并可能破产。
Schiff's Dire Predictions for Bitcoin
希夫对比特币的可怕预测
In a recent appearance on Patrick Bet David's "Valuetainment" podcast, Schiff outlined his rationale for Bitcoin's impending downfall:
在最近出现在 Patrick Bet David 的“Valuetainment”播客中,希夫概述了他对比特币即将崩溃的理由:
- Mass ETF Selling: As speculative buyers withdraw from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the resulting sell orders will flood the spot market.
- Liquidity Crunch: The surge in selling will overwhelm the market's liquidity, causing prices to plummet.
- ETF Issuers Forced to Sell: ETF issuers like BlackRock will be compelled to offload their Bitcoin holdings to meet sell orders, further exacerbating the price decline.
Schiff also highlighted a historical pattern: during Bitcoin price dips, the supply of Tether (USDT) tends to increase, suggesting that it is used to artificially inflate Bitcoin's value.
大量 ETF 抛售:随着投机性买家从比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 撤资,由此产生的卖单将充斥现货市场。 流动性紧缩:抛售激增将压垮市场流动性,导致价格暴跌。 ETF 发行人被迫卖出:贝莱德等 ETF 发行人将被迫抛售其持有的比特币以满足卖出指令,从而进一步加剧价格下跌。Schiff 还强调了一个历史模式:在比特币价格下跌期间,Tether (USDT) 的供应量往往会增加,这表明它被用来人为地抬高比特币的价值。
MicroStrategy's Vulnerabilities
MicroStrategy 的漏洞
Schiff raised concerns about MicroStrategy's financial maneuvers, including leveraged balance sheets and the sale of company shares. He believes that these actions increase the company's vulnerability to a Bitcoin price crash, potentially leading to bankruptcy.
Schiff 对 MicroStrategy 的财务操作(包括杠杆资产负债表和出售公司股票)表示担忧。他认为这些行为增加了公司遭受比特币价格暴跌的脆弱性,可能导致破产。
Bitcoin's "Digital Ponzi Scheme"
比特币的“数字庞氏骗局”
Schiff disparagingly refers to Bitcoin and blockchain as a "Digital Ponzi" or "pyramid scheme," arguing that they are based on speculative value rather than fundamental economic principles.
希夫轻蔑地将比特币和区块链称为“数字庞氏骗局”或“金字塔计划”,认为它们基于投机价值而不是基本经济原理。
Historical Halving Trends
历史减半趋势
While the cryptocurrency community eagerly anticipates the impact of Bitcoin's upcoming halving event, Schiff cites historical data showing that Bitcoin prices have typically declined in the two months following the halving.
尽管加密货币社区热切期待比特币即将到来的减半事件的影响,但希夫引用的历史数据显示,比特币价格通常在减半后的两个月内下跌。
Bitcoin's Current Market Position
比特币当前的市场地位
Currently, Bitcoin hovers around the $70,000 mark, but has experienced a 2.2% loss over the past month. In mid-March, it reached an all-time high of $73,750.
目前,比特币徘徊在 70,000 美元大关附近,但过去一个月已下跌 2.2%。 3月中旬,达到历史新高73,750美元。
Analyst Projections for MicroStrategy
MicroStrategy 分析师预测
Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer estimates that MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings will rise to 298,246 by the end of 2025, from 214,246 as of March 19.
Benchmark 分析师 Mark Palmer 估计,到 2025 年底,MicroStrategy 的比特币持有量将从截至 3 月 19 日的 214,246 增至 298,246。
Bitcoin's Institutional Acceptance and Future
比特币的机构接受度和未来
Despite Schiff's bearish predictions, Bitcoin's influence as an institutional asset class is expected to be a key topic of discussion at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on November 19.
尽管 Schiff 做出了悲观预测,但比特币作为机构资产类别的影响力预计将成为 Benzinga 即将于 11 月 19 日举行的数字资产未来活动上讨论的关键话题。
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