长期持有人的焦虑症上升正在驱动狗狗（Doge）的社交情绪，这表明价格波动提高

具体而言，长期门廊持有者的未实现的未实现的盈利/损失（NUPL）已从信念和否认状态转变为乐观和焦虑

Rising anxiety among long-term holders is fueling social sentiment, which in turn contributes to increased price volatility for Dogecoin (DOGE).

长期持有人的焦虑症上升正在加剧社交情绪，这反过来促进了Dogecoin（Doge）的价格波动。

Specifically, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric for long-term DOGE holders has transitioned from a state of belief and denial to optimism and anxiety, according to on-chain data from Glassnode shared by prominent cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez on March 30.

具体而言，根据著名的加密货币分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）在3月30日共享的GlassNode中，长期门槛持有人的净净盈利/损失（NUPL）已从信仰和否认状态转变为乐观和焦虑。

According to the analyst, such transitions in sentiment tend to be followed by heightened volatility.

根据分析师的说法，情绪中的这种转变往往会增加波动率。

As the data from Glassnode shows, the NUPL for long-term holders has been decreasing. This suggests that many investors who held DOGE for the long term are now approaching break-even or even realizing losses.

如玻璃节数据所示，长期持有人的NUPL正在减少。这表明，许多长期持有Doge的投资者现在正在接近分裂甚至意识到损失。

This change in sentiment coincides with a significant drop in DOGE’s price, which has seen a substantial decline in March, aligning with the broader cryptocurrency market trend.

这种情绪的这种变化恰好与总督的价格大幅下降相吻合，三月份的价格大幅下降，与更广泛的加密货币市场趋势保持一致。

Historical observations suggest that shifts in NUPL tend to precede noticeable swings in price. This implication is that Dogecoin could be poised for further turbulence in the coming weeks as the bears push lower.

历史观察结果表明，NUPL的转变往往是价格明显的波动。这种暗示是，随着熊的推动，狗狗币可以在接下来的几周内得到进一步的湍流。

In this case, the fear of additional losses may prompt some investors to close their positions, potentially accelerating selling pressure.

在这种情况下，人们担心额外的损失可能会促使一些投资者关闭其头寸，从而加速销售压力。

However, Dogecoin’s technical setup could potentially invalidate the current bearish outlook. In fact, an analysis shared by Martinez suggested that the meme cryptocurrency is likely to rebound, as it is currently positioned just above the lower boundary of the long-term ascending channel that has guided its price trajectory since 2015.

但是，Dogecoin的技术设置可能会使当前的看跌前景无效。实际上，马丁内斯（Martinez）的一项分析表明，模因加密货币可能反弹，因为它目前位于自2015年以来一直指导其价格轨迹的长期上升渠道的下边界上方。

The coin is also being supported by the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, around $0.15, a zone often associated with bullish reversals. This technical alignment suggests that the current range, which is acting as a floor, could launch a rally if buying pressure intensifies.

硬币也得到了0.5斐波那契反回的支撑，约为0.15美元，这是一个通常与看涨逆转有关的区域。这种技术一致性表明，如果购买压力加剧，目前的范围可能会发起集会。

Should Dogecoin attract renewed interest, an analysis suggests that the coin could rally towards the channel’s midline, which is located at $0.4, and then test higher resistance levels around $0.50 and $1.30, aligning with the 1 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions.

如果Dogecoin吸引了新的兴趣，则一项分析表明，硬币可以朝向该频道的中线，该中线为0.4美元，然后测试较高的阻力水平约为0.50美元和1.30美元，与1和1.618 fibonacci扩展一致。

Meanwhile, although Dogecoin has been largely impacted by broader market sentiment, there is still a chance for the coin to embark on a parabolic rally based on select fundamentals. For instance, an analysis by Benzinga earlier this year highlighted that a move toward mainstream adoption could trigger massive buying pressure.

同时，尽管Dogecoin在很大程度上受到了更广泛的市场情绪的影响，但硬币仍然有机会基于精选的基础知识进行抛物线集会。例如，本辛加今年早些时候的一项分析强调，朝主流采用的转变可能会引发巨大的购买压力。

This could be especially significant if the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approves applications for spot DOGE exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

如果证券交易委员会（SEC）批准了现场交易所交易所交易基金（ETF）的申请，这可能尤其重要。