SEC诉讼结束后的Ripple（XRP）价格预测

本文探讨了SEC与Ripple案已经结束的期望。

The price of XRP has remained in a tight range as the recent momentum faded. It was trading at $2.4175 on Friday morning, down from this week’s high of $2.60.

随着最近的势头逐渐消失，XRP的价格保持在狭窄的范围内。周五早上，它的交易价格比本周高点2.60美元低于2.4175美元。

The cryptocurrency reacted mildly to the recent decision by the SEC to end its litigation against Ripple Labs. The litigation started in December 2020 when the agency accused Ripple Labs of raising money illegally through selling unregistered securities.

加密货币对SEC最近决定结束针对Ripple Labs的诉讼的最新决定对此表示了温和的反应。该诉讼始于2020年12月，当时该机构指控Ripple Labs通过出售未注册的证券非法筹集资金。

Later, Ripple Labs secured a partial victory against the SEC when the judge overruling the case ruled that XRP was not a security. It was, however, forced to pay a $250 million fine after the court determined that some of the tokens sold to institutions violated the law. The SEC then appealed that ruling, seeking to overturn the judge’s interpretation of the law.

后来，Ripple Labs在法官驳回此案时裁定XRP不是安全性时，对SEC取得了部分胜利。但是，在法院确定某些代币出售给机构违反法律的令牌后，这是被迫支付2.5亿美元的罚款。 SEC随后对这一裁决提出上诉，试图推翻法官对法律的解释。

The price of XRP showed little reaction to the conclusion of this case because most market participants were expecting that to happen. Besides, during Donald Trump’s administration, the agency hinted that it would do away with some of the cases brought by the previous administration. It ended cases against other companies like Coinbase, Kraken, Binance, and Uniswap, meaning that it was just a matter of time for Ripple.

XRP的价格对此案的结论几乎没有反应，因为大多数市场参与者都期望这种情况发生。此外，该机构在唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的政府期间暗示，它将消除上一个政府提出的一些案件。它结束了针对Coinbase，Kraken，Binance和Uniswap等其他公司的案件，这意味着这只是Ripple的时间问题。

The XRP price has also wavered as investors anticipate the next big thing. In this case, the next big news will be an XRP ETF approval. Moreover, most analysts predict this will occur, given the court’s ruling that XRP is not a security.

正如投资者预期下一件大事一样，XRP价格也动摇了。在这种情况下，下一个重大新闻将是XRP ETF批准。此外，鉴于法院对XRP不是安全性的裁决，大多数分析师预测这将会发生这种情况。

The XRP ETF news will likely be a positive thing for the coin because it will lead to higher inflows. What remains unclear, however, is whether Wall Street investors will be willing to buy XRP and other altcoins. Recent data shows they have avoided Ethereum ETFs. As such, an ETF approval may become a “sell the news” situation.

XRP ETF新闻对硬币来说可能是一件积极的事情，因为它会导致更高的流入。但是，尚不清楚的是华尔街投资者是否愿意购买XRP和其他山寨币。最近的数据表明，它们已经避免了以太坊ETF。因此，ETF批准可能成为“新闻”的情况。

XRP Price Technical Analysis

XRP价格技术分析

The daily chart above shows that the XRP price is at risk of further downside because it has formed a head and shoulders pattern. Its head section is at $3.4, while the shoulders and neckline are at $3 and $2. A H&S pattern is one of the most bearish signs in the market.

上面的每日图表显示，XRP价格有进一步的下跌风险，因为它已经形成了头部和肩膀的模式。它的头部为3.4美元，而肩膀和领口的价格为3美元和2美元。 H＆S模式是市场上最看跌的标志之一。

XRP price has also remained between the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement levels. Therefore, the coin’s outlook is bearish unless it moves above the shoulders side at $3. A bearish breakdown will be confirmed if the XRP price drops below the neckline at $2. Such a move will see it move below the psychological point at $1.

XRP价格也保持在23.6％和38.2％的斐波那契回缩水平之间。因此，硬币的前景是看跌，除非它以3美元的价格移至肩膀上方。如果XRP价格下降到领口低于2美元，将确认看跌的崩溃。这样的举动将使它以1美元的价格在心理点以下移动。