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散户比特币投资者正在慢慢卷土重来,尽管与历史标准相比,他们的需求增长仍然缓慢。
Retail bitcoin investors are gradually returning to the market, but their demand growth lags behind historical standards, according to data from Cryptoquant. Small-scale investors are falling behind their larger counterparts as 2024 progresses.
Cryptoquant 的数据显示,散户比特币投资者正在逐渐重返市场,但他们的需求增长落后于历史标准。随着 2024 年的进展,小规模投资者正在落后于规模较大的投资者。
As bitcoin (BTC) approaches its previous peak, retail investors are cautiously increasing their holdings. According to Cryptoquant, the collective holdings of retail investors have increased by 18,000 bitcoin (BTC) since July 3, 2024, reaching 1.753 million BTC. However, this growth has been sluggish, with only 1,000 BTC being added in the last 30 days—a pace that is significantly slower than in previous years, according to Cryptoquant's analysis.
随着比特币(BTC)接近之前的峰值,散户投资者正在谨慎地增持比特币。据 Cryptoquant 统计,自 2024 年 7 月 3 日以来,散户投资者集体持有比特币(BTC)已增加 18,000 个,达到 175.3 万个 BTC。然而,这种增长一直很缓慢,根据 Cryptoquant 的分析,过去 30 天内仅增加了 1,000 个 BTC,这一速度明显慢于前几年。
“Retail holdings have increased only 1K bitcoin in the last thirty days, a historically slow pace,” the report reads. “Indeed, the growth rate of retail holdings has been in a clear downtrend since May 2023, when it increased by 27K bitcoin.”
报告中写道:“过去 30 天内,散户持有的比特币仅增加了 1000 比特币,这是历史上缓慢的增长速度。” “事实上,自 2023 年 5 月增加 2.7 万比特币以来,零售持有量的增长率一直处于明显的下降趋势。”
In contrast, large bitcoin holders, also known as whales and defined as those with 1,000 to 10,000 BTC, are increasing their stashes at a much faster rate than retail investors in 2024. While retail investors have added 30,000 BTC to their wallets this year, according to Cryptoquant, bigger players have scooped up a substantial 173,000 BTC during the same period. This disparity highlights how institutional and high-net-worth investors continue to lead the charge, leaving smaller investors behind.
相比之下,大型比特币持有者(也称为鲸鱼,定义为拥有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的人)在 2024 年以比散户投资者快得多的速度增加其储备。据统计,散户投资者今年已向钱包中添加了 30,000 BTC Cryptoquant 表示,同期较大的参与者已经获得了 173,000 枚 BTC。这种差异凸显了机构投资者和高净值投资者如何继续引领潮流,而将规模较小的投资者抛在后面。
“Since the start of 2024, the holdings of other larger investors (those holding between 1 and 10K bitcoin) have grown faster than the holdings of retail investors annually,” the Cryptoquant analysis found. “As of today, retail holdings have grown by 30K bitcoin, compared to 173K bitcoin for larger investors.”
Cryptoquant 分析发现,“自 2024 年初以来,其他较大投资者(持有 1 至 1 万比特币的投资者)的持有量增长速度每年都快于散户投资者的持有量。” “截至今天,散户持有的比特币数量增加了 3 万比特币,而大投资者持有的比特币数量为 17.3 万比特币。”
Moreover, retail bitcoin transfer activity remains low. According to Cryptoquant, on September 21, 2024, retail investors moved only $326 million in BTC – the lowest daily transfer volume since 2020. Historically, when retail investor activity drops this low, it often precedes significant movements in the bitcoin price, suggesting that a shift in market sentiment may be imminent.
此外,零售比特币转账活动仍然很低。据 Cryptoquant 称,2024 年 9 月 21 日,散户投资者仅转移了 3.26 亿美元的 BTC,这是 2020 年以来的最低日转移量。从历史上看,当散户投资者活动降至如此低水平时,通常会先于比特币价格出现大幅波动,这表明市场情绪的转变可能迫在眉睫。
This trend, highlighted in the cryptoquant.com report, reflects the growing influence of institutional and high-net-worth investors in shaping the bitcoin market, potentially signaling a shift in market dynamics. Retail investors, while re-entering the space, appear to be approaching the market more cautiously, possibly reflecting broader economic uncertainties or a wait-and-see attitude as they navigate these unpredictable waters.
cryptoquant.com 报告中强调的这一趋势反映了机构投资者和高净值投资者在塑造比特币市场方面的影响力日益增强,这可能预示着市场动态的转变。散户投资者在重新进入该领域的同时,似乎更加谨慎地进入市场,这可能反映出更广泛的经济不确定性或他们在不可预测的水域中航行时的观望态度。
As we look ahead, the continued dominance of larger players may drive further volatility in BTC's price, as their movements can have a significant impact on market sentiment. Retail investors could find themselves reacting to these larger shifts, rather than driving them. Whether this dynamic will persist or balance out remains to be seen as 2024 progresses.
展望未来,大型参与者的持续主导地位可能会导致比特币价格进一步波动,因为他们的走势可能对市场情绪产生重大影响。散户投资者可能会发现自己对这些更大的变化做出反应,而不是推动它们。随着 2024 年的进展,这种动态是否会持续或平衡仍有待观察。
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