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近日,金融教育平台 Real Vision 联合创始人兼首席执行官 Raoul Pal 分享了他对人工智能和区块链日益融合如何重塑社会和经济的看法。
Co-Founder and CEO of financial education platform Real Vision, Raoul Pal, recently shared his thoughts on the growing convergence of AI and blockchain and how it could reshape society and the economy.
金融教育平台 Real Vision 联合创始人兼首席执行官 Raoul Pal 最近分享了他对人工智能和区块链日益融合及其如何重塑社会和经济的看法。
In an X post on October 19, Pal suggested that as AI takes over traditional tasks, people may turn to speculating on cultural communities and memes as a primary source of engagement and purpose. While this may initially seem troubling, Pal argues that this shift could spark the creation of an entirely new economic model.
在 10 月 19 日的 X 帖子中,Pal 表示,随着人工智能接管传统任务,人们可能会转向对文化社区和模因的推测,作为参与和目的的主要来源。虽然这最初看起来可能令人不安,但帕尔认为,这种转变可能会引发全新经济模式的创建。
Pal draws parallels between the current “meme madness” and previous speculative booms, such as the NFT frenzy and initial coin offerings (ICOs), pointing out that while some investors achieved significant gains, many others faced substantial losses. He warns that this speculative environment can lead to confusion and financial risks, especially for those pursuing the next big trend. However, within this volatility, Pal identifies a move toward technology that will shape the attention economy in an increasingly decentralized world.
帕尔将当前的“meme 疯狂”与之前的投机热潮(例如 NFT 狂潮和首次代币发行(ICO))进行了比较,并指出,虽然一些投资者获得了显着收益,但许多其他投资者却面临着巨大损失。他警告说,这种投机环境可能会导致混乱和金融风险,特别是对于那些追求下一个大趋势的人来说。然而,在这种波动中,帕尔确定了一项技术的发展,该技术将在日益去中心化的世界中塑造注意力经济。
Pal also highlighted NFTs (non-fungible tokens), which he says are far from dead despite the current downturn in the market. While many see them as just a fad, Pal argues that the technology powering NFTs remains powerful and will reemerge in various applications beyond art, including over-the-counter derivatives, private loans, and ticketing. He sees this boom-bust cycle as part of the normal evolution of new technology, and he predicts that NFT use cases will continue to expand over time, becoming a fundamental part of the future digital economy.
Pal 还强调了 NFT(不可替代代币),他表示尽管目前市场低迷,但 NFT 还远未消亡。尽管许多人认为它们只是一种时尚,但帕尔认为,支持 NFT 的技术仍然强大,并将在艺术以外的各种应用中重新出现,包括场外衍生品、私人贷款和票务。他将这种繁荣-萧条周期视为新技术正常演变的一部分,并预测 NFT 用例将随着时间的推移继续扩大,成为未来数字经济的基本组成部分。
He likens this phenomenon to the earlier boom cycles of ICOs and decentralized finance (DeFi), noting that both have undergone similar phases of intense speculation followed by more stable development. Pal also highlights the role of stablecoins as the first major “product-market fit” (PMF) in the DeFi space, pointing out that these trends will likely continue to evolve as technology matures.
他将这种现象比作早期 ICO 和去中心化金融(DeFi)的繁荣周期,并指出两者都经历了类似的激烈投机阶段,随后是更稳定的发展。 Pal 还强调了稳定币作为 DeFi 领域第一个主要“产品市场契合度”(PMF)的作用,并指出随着技术的成熟,这些趋势可能会继续发展。
Pal warns those hoping to become “meme trading gods,” pointing out that frequent trading can lead to unnecessary tax complexities. He recommends that only a small portion of your portfolio (under 10% in his case) should be allocated to speculative investments.
帕尔警告那些希望成为“模因交易之神”的人,指出频繁的交易可能会导致不必要的税务复杂性。他建议只将投资组合的一小部分(在他的例子中低于 10%)分配给投机性投资。
Looking ahead, Pal predicts that AI will play a key role in these new digital ecosystems, with AI agents using tokens to incentivize each other and humans, as well as manage payments for computational costs. He sees this as the early stages of a move toward an economy driven by blockchain technology, with token incentives helping to push up asset prices.
展望未来,帕尔预测人工智能将在这些新的数字生态系统中发挥关键作用,人工智能代理使用代币来激励彼此和人类,并管理计算成本的支付。他认为这是向区块链技术驱动的经济迈进的早期阶段,代币激励有助于推高资产价格。
While Pal acknowledges the difficulty of predicting the future, he sees these trends as part of a much larger societal and economic transformation. Blockchain technology, he argues, will be the key driver, with the total crypto market growing from its current valuation of $2.5 trillion to $100 trillion within the next decade. This shift, according to Pal, represents the fastest accumulation of wealth in human history, making it an incredible opportunity for investors to take advantage of.
虽然帕尔承认预测未来很困难,但他将这些趋势视为更大的社会和经济转型的一部分。他认为,区块链技术将成为关键驱动力,未来十年内整个加密市场的估值将从目前的 2.5 万亿美元增长到 100 万亿美元。帕尔认为,这种转变代表了人类历史上最快的财富积累,为投资者提供了一个难以置信的机会。
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