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Valhil Capital 董事总经理 Jimmy Vallee 和 Valhil Capital 区块链业务首席营销官 Molly Elmore 进行的这项研究提出了六种独特的估值
A recent study has valued XRP, the native cryptocurrency of Ripple, at a range of $3,500 to $22,000. The study, conducted by Jimmy Vallee, MD at Valhil Capital, and Molly Elmore, Valhil Capital’s Blockchain Businesses CMO, used six unique valuation models to assess XRP’s potential value as a widely adopted layer-1 asset for global value transfer.
最近的一项研究将 Ripple 的原生加密货币 XRP 估值在 3,500 美元至 22,000 美元之间。这项研究由 Valhil Capital 董事总经理 Jimmy Vallee 和 Valhil Capital 区块链业务首席营销官 Molly Elmore 进行,使用六种独特的估值模型来评估 XRP 作为全球价值转移广泛采用的第一层资产的潜在价值。
The study’s valuations vary significantly depending on the assumptions and focus of each model, with most results clustering between $3,500 and $22,000 per XRP when excluding extreme outliers. The median value across all models is approximately $12,822, while the mean value reaches $61,231.
该研究的估值根据每个模型的假设和重点而有很大差异,排除极端异常值后,大多数结果集中在每个 XRP 3,500 美元到 22,000 美元之间。所有模型的中值约为 12,822 美元,而平均值则达到 61,231 美元。
The study’s findings are particularly noteworthy in the context of XRP’s role in facilitating global transactions. According to the report, if the XRP Ledger were to be broadly utilized for this purpose, the token’s value could soar to staggering heights.
考虑到瑞波币在促进全球交易方面的作用,该研究的结果尤其值得注意。根据该报告,如果 XRP Ledger 被广泛用于此目的,该代币的价值可能会飙升至惊人的高度。
This valuation is especially relevant considering XRP’s potential to serve as a layer-1 protocol for global value transfer. If such a scenario were to come to fruition, XRP’s market valuation could indeed reach astronomical levels.
考虑到 XRP 作为全球价值转移第一层协议的潜力,这一估值尤其重要。如果这种情况成为现实,XRP 的市场估值确实可能达到天文数字。
The valuations obtained through the Athey & Mitchnick Models, for instance, are based on different tiers of global liquidity, estimating XRP’s value at $9,000, $908, and $4,800 for scenarios of $1 quadrillion (Q), $100 trillion (T), and $530 billion, respectively.
例如,通过 Athey & Mitchnick 模型获得的估值基于不同级别的全球流动性,在 1 万亿美元 (Q)、100 万亿美元 (T) 和 5,300 亿美元的场景下,XRP 的价值估计为 9,000 美元、908 美元和 4,800 美元, 分别。
Another model, the Bakkes Pipeline Flow, places XRP’s value at $3,500, considering the token’s role in facilitating global cash flow and transactions.
另一种模型 Bakkes Pipeline Flow 将 XRP 的价值定为 3,500 美元,考虑到该代币在促进全球现金流和交易方面的作用。
The study also evaluated XRP’s potential as collateral, with 100% and 10% collateralization scenarios. In the case of 100% collateralization, XRP’s value reaches $12,200, while 10% collateralization estimates it at $1,220, reflecting XRP’s function in securing value across various financial networks.
该研究还评估了 XRP 作为抵押品的潜力,包括 100% 和 10% 抵押方案。在 100% 抵押的情况下,XRP 的价值达到 12,200 美元,而 10% 抵押的情况下,XRP 的价值估计为 1,220 美元,反映了 XRP 在确保各种金融网络价值方面的功能。
Furthermore, several models based on discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis were included. These models value assets based on projected cash flows and utility over time. The DCF models at 1%, 2%, and 3% discount rates provided XRP valuations of $15,000, $18,000, and $21,900, respectively, indicating a progressive increase in XRP’s value as the discount rate decreases.
此外,还包括一些基于贴现现金流(DCF)分析的模型。这些模型根据预测的现金流量和随时间的效用来评估资产。贴现率为 1%、2% 和 3% 的 DCF 模型提供的 XRP 估值分别为 15,000 美元、18,000 美元和 21,900 美元,表明随着贴现率降低,XRP 的价值逐渐增加。
The Golden Eagle Models assessed XRP over extended time frames, focusing on store-of-value potential. For the 99-year scenario, XRP’s estimated value is $13,300, while the 2030 projection places XRP at a more modest $9,810.
金鹰模型在较长的时间范围内评估了 XRP,重点关注价值存储潜力。对于 99 年的情况,XRP 的估计价值为 13,300 美元,而 2030 年的预测则将 XRP 的价格定为较为温和的 9,810 美元。
The Quantum Liquidity Model, exploring XRP’s potential in high-value liquidity applications, gave a valuation of $513,000, the highest in the study. This model considers an extreme case where XRP’s store-of-value utility is maximized, creating a theoretically high valuation.
量子流动性模型探索了 XRP 在高价值流动性应用中的潜力,给出的估值为 513,000 美元,是该研究中的最高估值。该模型考虑了一种极端情况,即 XRP 的价值存储效用最大化,从而创造了理论上的高估值。
These valuations are part of a broader analysis of XRP's potential value in different scenarios, and they highlight the token’s promising outlook in the evolving global financial landscape.
这些估值是对 XRP 在不同场景下的潜在价值进行更广泛分析的一部分,它们凸显了该代币在不断变化的全球金融格局中的光明前景。
However, it is essential to note that these valuations are theoretical and may not directly reflect the actual market price of XRP. Numerous factors, including regulatory acceptance, technological adoption, and competition from other digital assets, will ultimately influence the token’s market value.
但需要注意的是,这些估值只是理论上的,可能并不直接反映 XRP 的实际市场价格。许多因素,包括监管接受度、技术采用以及来自其他数字资产的竞争,最终将影响代币的市场价值。
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