经过最近几天的挣扎之后，今天的加密货币市场似乎出现了一波乐观情绪，尽管不能排除这只是昙花一现。
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices rebound strongly today in the bull and bear crypto markets. After struggling over the last few days, there seems to be a wave of optimism in the crypto markets today, although it cannot be ruled out that it is just a passing thing.Bitcoin price trendAfter reaching the all-time high on December 17 above $108,000, the Bitcoin price failed to hold the psychological threshold of $100,000. To tell the truth, it had tried on January 6, but within a day it had immediately fallen back below.The problem is that starting from December 18, the US dollar began to strengthen, and this weakened Bitcoin, given that the price trend of BTC in the medium/long term tends to be inversely correlated to the Dollar Index.On December 18, suddenly the Dollar Index broke through the resistance of 108 points, and since then it has risen further, reaching for a brief moment 110 points yesterday.Just yesterday, in fact, it was the worst day for Bitcoin since it recorded new all-time highs shortly after mid-December.If already on January 7 the price of BTC had fallen below $97,000, until yesterday it had remained substantially around $93,000, even though with a brief excursion below $92,000 on January 9.Yesterday, however, it not only fell below $91,000, but for a brief moment it even fell below $90,000.Yesterday’s point is the lowest reached by the Bitcoin price since December 17 onwards.Ethereum price trendThe price of Ethereum has done even worse.Taking as a reference the ratio between the market capitalization of Bitcoin and that of Ethereum, a month ago it was less than 4.3 times, but it was already on the rise.On January 5, however, it was just above 4.4 times, so quite in line with that of a month ago.Starting from January 6, however, the trend of Ethereum’s price began to underperform significantly compared to Bitcoin, so much so that the ratio between the two market capitalizations rose to 4.7 times already on January 8, when Bitcoin was below $97,000 and Ethereum below $3,400.Things then from this point of view have worsened even further, up to the maximum peak of this period reached just yesterday at over 5 times, with Bitcoin dropping to $92,000 but Ethereum dropping even below $3,000.Compared to a month ago, the price of Bitcoin is losing 4%, but that of Ethereum is losing 11%.It should be remembered, however, that often during the difficult phases of the crypto markets, altcoins, including Ethereum, underperform Bitcoin. Just consider that in the last thirty days the overall market capitalization of all altcoins combined has dropped from 1,600 to 1,400 billion dollars.Bitcoin and Ethereum prices reboundToday, however, a wave of optimism seems to have arrived in the bull and bear crypto markets. The price of Bitcoin has returned to $97,000, while that of Ethereum has returned to $3,200.The ratio between market capitalizations, however, is still high (4.9), and this suggests that in the event of a bullrun recovery, Ethereum could even outperform Bitcoin for a certain period, although this has not yet occurred.The rebound today seems to be explained only by an advance of optimism regarding what might happen in the crypto markets in the coming days, or in the coming weeks.In fact, in the coming days, a decline in the Dollar Index is expected, which could favor a rise in the price of Bitcoin, which in turn could bring along Ethereum and the altcoins.Furthermore, often in phases like this at the end of January, a bullrun has started, and there seem to be many who hope that this can happen.There are, however, also those who argue that today’s rebound could be just a bull-trap, meaning a trap for those who are opening long positions, perhaps on leverage.All eyes on tomorrowTomorrow, Wednesday, January 15, 2025, the data regarding inflation in the USA for December will be released.The key data, which could have consequences on the Fed’s monetary policies, is the one concerning core inflation.The markets are pricing in that the data to be released tomorrow will be in line with that of December: 3.3%.On the other hand, since September, the annual core inflation in the USA has been stuck at 3.3%, therefore it is even too easy to predict that it may have remained the same in December.However, it is not certain that the data to be released tomorrow will be exactly 3.3%.If it were to be higher, even
今天，比特币和以太坊价格在加密货币牛市和熊市中强劲反弹。经过过去几天的挣扎，今天加密货币市场似乎出现了一波乐观情绪，尽管不能排除这只是昙花一现。 比特币价格走势在 12 月 17 日触及 108,000 美元上方的历史高点后之后，比特币价格未能守住10万美元的心理门槛。说实话，1月6日就曾尝试过，但一天之内就立即回落到下方。问题是，从12月18日开始，美元开始走强，这使得比特币走弱，考虑到价格走势中长期来看，BTC往往与美元指数呈负相关。 12月18日，美元指数突然突破108点阻力，此后进一步上涨，昨日曾短暂触及110点。只是事实上，昨天是比特币自 12 月中旬后不久创下历史新高以来最糟糕的一天。如果 1 月 7 日比特币的价格已经跌破 97,000 美元，那么直到昨天它仍大幅保持在 93,000 美元左右，甚至尽管在1月9日曾短暂跌破92,000美元。但昨天，它不仅跌破了91,000美元，而且还一度跌破了91,000美元。 9万美元。昨天的点位是比特币价格自12月17日以来的最低点。以太坊价格走势以太坊的价格表现更差。以比特币和以太坊市值的比率作为参考，一个月前是不到4.3倍，但已经在上升。而1月5日，刚刚超过4.4倍，与一个月前相当一致。从1月份开始然而，从 1 月 6 日起，以太坊价格走势开始明显逊于比特币，以至于 1 月 8 日，两者市值之比已升至 4.7 倍，当时比特币低于 97,000 美元，以太坊低于 3,400 美元。这种观点进一步恶化，直到昨天才达到这一时期的最高峰值超过 5 倍，比特币跌至 92,000 美元，但以太坊甚至跌破了 92,000 美元3,000 美元。与一个月前相比，比特币的价格下跌了 4%，但以太坊的价格下跌了 11%。然而，应该记住的是，在加密货币市场的困难阶段，包括以太坊在内的山寨币往往表现不佳比特币。想想看，在过去的 30 天里，所有山寨币的总市值从 1,600 美元下降到 14,000 亿美元。比特币和以太坊价格反弹，然而，今天，牛市和熊市加密货币市场似乎都出现了一波乐观情绪。比特币的价格已经回到97,000美元，而以太坊的价格也回到了3,200美元。然而，两者的市值比率仍然很高（4.9），这表明在牛市复苏的情况下，以太坊甚至可能跑赢比特币在一段时间内，尽管这种情况尚未发生。今天的反弹似乎只能通过对未来几天或未来几周加密市场可能发生的情况的乐观情绪来解释。事实上，未来几天，预计美元指数将下跌，这可能有利于比特币价格上涨，进而带动以太坊和山寨币上涨。此外，通常在一月底这样的阶段，牛市已经开始，似乎有很多人希望这种情况能够发生。然而，也有人认为，今天的反弹可能只是一个牛市陷阱，这对那些正在开多头头寸的人来说意味着一个陷阱，也许是在杠杆作用。万众瞩目明天，2025 年 1 月 15 日星期三，美国 12 月通胀数据将公布。可能对美联储货币政策产生影响的关键数据是核心通胀数据。市场正在定价明天公布的数据将与12月份一致：3.3%。另一方面，自9月份以来，美国年度核心通胀一直徘徊在3.3%，因此甚至不难预测，有12月持平。不过，明天公布的数据不一定是3.3%，如果更高的话，甚至
