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加密货币新闻

Polymarket Bettors预计,唐纳德·特朗普总统将在夏季之前删除加拿大的关税有更大的机会

2025/03/05 12:34

有利于题为“特朗普在五月之前删除加拿大关税的博彩合同?”的赔率。过去24小时内从30%飙升至52%

Polymarket Bettors预计,唐纳德·特朗普总统将在夏季之前删除加拿大的关税有更大的机会

Bettors on the cryptocurrency-based prediction market Polymarket now anticipate a higher chance that President Donald Trump will remove tariffs on Canada before the summer, especially after Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at the possibility of relief.

现在,基于加密货币的预测市场Polymarket上的投注者预计,唐纳德·特朗普总统将在夏季之前删除加拿大的关税,尤其是在商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克(Howard Lutnick)暗示救济的可能性之后。

What Happened: The odds in favor of a betting contract titled "Will Trump remove tariffs on Canada before May?" soared from 30% to 52% in the last 24 hours on the Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based platform.

发生了什么:有利于题为“特朗普会在五月之前删除加拿大的关税的博彩合同的几率?”在过去24小时内,在多边形(加密:POL)的平台上从30%飙升至52%。

The market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that removes the 25% tariff on Canada by April 30, the contract stated.

该合同说,如果特朗普签署任何联邦立法或执行任何行政诉讼,将在4月30日之前删除加拿大的25%关税,则市场将决心“是”。

Note that Polymarket is not available to U.S. residents due to regulatory hurdles.

请注意,由于监管障碍,美国居民无法使用多聚市场。

A similar wager on the federally regulated betting platform Kalshi predicted a 75% chance of the current tariffs ending or getting reduced before March 6.

联邦监管的博彩平台卡尔西(Kalshi)的类似下注预测,目前关税的机会有75%,或者在3月6日之前减少了。

See Also: Whale Leveraged 50x Short Sees $81 Million In Paper Gains As Ethereum Plummets After Trump’s Tariff Confirmation

另请参阅:鲸鱼利用50倍的短距离,在特朗普的关税确认后,纸张收益为8100万美元,作为以太坊的下降

Why It Matters: The dramatic surge came after Trudeau imposed retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. In response, Trump warned of increased tariffs equal to Canada’s retaliatory measures.

这是如此重要的是:特鲁多对美国进口商品征收报复性关税之后发生了巨大的激增。作为回应,特朗普警告说,增加的关税等于加拿大的报复措施。

However, Lutnick’s statements helped defuse the situation somewhat as he assured that a middle ground would be found, adding that Trump is very "fair" and "reasonable" on the subject.

但是,卢特尼克的言论有助于削弱这种情况,因为他保证会发现中间立场,并补充说,特朗普在这个问题上是非常“公平的”和“合理的”。

The fears of a full-blown trade war have sent risk-on markets like equities and cryptocurrencies tumbling in recent weeks.

对成熟贸易战的担忧使股票和加密货币等近几周都散发出了风险市场。

The S&P 500 has lost 4.30% in the last month, while the world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), fell over 7%.

上个月,标准普尔500指数损失了4.30%,而世界上最大的加密货币(加密货币:BTC)下降了7%以上。

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