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由于高流动性,Polygon (MATIC) 面临 0.73 美元的阻力,短期内价格不太可能进一步上涨。如果多头能够克服这一阻力位,MATIC 的下一个目标可能是 0.85 美元。不过,技术分析表明,MATIC的价格短期内可能会在0.62美元至0.67美元之间横盘波动。
Polygon (MATIC): Technical and On-Chain Analysis Reveals Bullish Potential, High Liquidity at $0.73 Poses Resistance Barrier
Polygon (MATIC):技术和链上分析显示看涨潜力,0.73 美元的高流动性构成阻力位
Polygon (MATIC), the Layer 2 scaling solution for Ethereum, has exhibited signs of seller exhaustion, but a breakout above the critical $0.73 price point appears unlikely in the immediate future. This assessment stems from a comprehensive analysis of the token's liquidation heat map, market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, and technical indicators.
Polygon (MATIC) 是以太坊的第 2 层扩容解决方案,已经表现出卖家疲惫的迹象,但短期内不太可能突破关键的 0.73 美元价格点。该评估源于对代币清算热图、市值与变现价值(MVRV)比率以及技术指标的综合分析。
Liquidation Heat Map Highlights Resistance at $0.73
清算热图凸显阻力位 0.73 美元
According to data analyzed by Coinglass, there is a substantial level of liquidity concentrated around the $0.73 price point. At this level, open positions worth approximately $235,280 face liquidation risk. This liquidity buildup serves as a formidable barrier for MATIC's upward momentum, as traders may opt to close their positions and secure profits, thereby preventing the token from breaching the $0.73 resistance zone.
根据 Coinglass 分析的数据,大量流动性集中在 0.73 美元的价格点附近。在此水平上,价值约 235,280 美元的未平仓头寸面临清算风险。这种流动性的积累对 MATIC 的上升势头构成了巨大的障碍,因为交易者可能会选择平仓并确保利润,从而阻止该代币突破 0.73 美元的阻力区。
MVRV Ratio Suggests Undervaluation and Potential Recovery
MVRV 比率表明估值被低估且存在复苏潜力
Despite the high liquidity concentration at $0.73, the MVRV ratio, which measures the average profit or loss of token holders, indicates that MATIC may be undervalued. The 30-day MVRV index stands at -18.37%, implying that most holders would incur a loss if they sold at the current price. Historically, when MATIC has reached this undervaluation zone, it has often triggered a rebound. If buying pressure emerges at this juncture, the token could potentially rally above $0.70 in the near term.
尽管流动性集中度很高,为 0.73 美元,但衡量代币持有者平均利润或损失的 MVRV 比率表明 MATIC 可能被低估。 30天MVRV指数为-18.37%,这意味着大多数持有者如果按当前价格出售将会遭受损失。从历史上看,当MATIC达到这个低估区域时,往往会引发反弹。如果此时出现购买压力,该代币可能会在短期内反弹至 0.70 美元以上。
Technical Analysis Confirms Resistance at $0.73, Short-Term Targets Identified
技术分析确认阻力位为 0.73 美元,已确定短期目标
From a technical standpoint, the 4-hour chart reveals that MATIC has repeatedly attempted to break through the $0.73 resistance level on April 13 and 15, but these efforts have been met with strong selling pressure. As a result, the token has been confined within a sideways trading range, with immediate support at $0.67.
从技术角度来看,4小时图显示MATIC在4月13日和15日多次试图突破0.73美元的阻力位,但这些努力都遇到了强大的抛售压力。因此,该代币被限制在横盘交易区间内,直接支撑位为 0.67 美元。
The relative strength index (RSI), an indicator of momentum, currently resides below the 50 neutral level, suggesting that bearish sentiment prevails in the market. This trend indicates that a sustained rally above $0.70 is unlikely in the immediate future.
动能指标相对强弱指数(RSI)目前位于 50 中性水平下方,表明市场普遍看跌情绪。这一趋势表明近期不太可能持续上涨至 0.70 美元以上。
However, if the RSI ventures into oversold territory, it could signal a potential reversal and a subsequent rise in price. The Fibonacci retracement tool suggests that MATIC could find short-term support and resistance levels within the range of $0.62 to $0.67, respectively.
然而,如果 RSI 进入超卖区域,则可能预示着潜在的逆转以及随后的价格上涨。斐波那契回撤工具表明 MATIC 可能会分别在 0.62 美元至 0.67 美元范围内找到短期支撑位和阻力位。
Fibonacci Levels and Oscillator Indicators Provide Further Insights
斐波那契水平和振荡指标提供进一步的见解
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator, which measures market momentum, is currently displaying green histogram bars, indicating that the downward momentum is fading. This observation suggests that a reversal could be imminent, with MATIC potentially heading towards $0.71, where the 0.236 Fibonacci level is situated.
衡量市场动能的动量震荡指标 (AO) 目前显示绿色直方图,表明下行动能正在消退。这一观察结果表明,逆转可能即将到来,MATIC 可能会升至 0.71 美元,即 0.236 斐波那契水平所在的位置。
In conclusion, while Polygon (MATIC) has shown signs of seller exhaustion, the high liquidity concentration at $0.73 poses a significant resistance barrier. The MVRV ratio suggests that the token may be undervalued, creating the potential for a recovery. However, technical indicators indicate that the price is likely to remain within a sideways range in the near term, with resistance at $0.73 and support at $0.67. Fibonacci levels and oscillator indicators provide additional insights into potential trading targets and momentum shifts.
总之,虽然 Polygon (MATIC) 已显示出卖方耗尽的迹象,但 0.73 美元的高流动性集中度构成了重大阻力障碍。 MVRV 比率表明该代币可能被低估,从而创造了复苏的潜力。不过,技术指标显示,短期内价格可能会维持横盘整理,阻力位为0.73美元,支撑位为0.67美元。斐波那契水平和震荡指标为潜在交易目标和动量变化提供了更多见解。
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