Pepe加密硬币分析：它会找到支持，还是更深的下降来了？

Memecoin的价格行动表明销售压力很大，而技术指标则指出了进一步的下行风险。市场情绪仍然是看跌

Despite experiencing brief moments of recovery, Pepe (PEPE) still hasn't been able to break free from its bearish trend. The price is currently hovering near $0.000010, having lost about 50% of its value in the past month. Although it experienced minor gains recently, the token remains trapped below key resistance levels, making a push toward $0.000020 unlikely in the short term.

尽管经历了短暂的康复时刻，但Pepe（Pepe）仍然无法摆脱其看跌趋势。目前，价格徘徊在0.000010美元接近$ 0.000010，过去一个月损失了其价值的50％。尽管最近经历了较小的收益，但令牌仍然被困在关键阻力水平以下，在短期内推向了0.000020美元。

The $0.000016 level serves as a critical resistance to PEPE’s price. Source: Richtv_Official on TradingView

$ 0.000016的水平是对Pepe价格的关键阻力。资料来源：richtv_official on TradingView

According to on-chain data, one major hurdle is the presence of massive holdings at a loss, indicating that around 75 trillion PEPE tokens are held within a narrow price range, specifically between $0.000016 and $0.000021. If PEPE approaches this level, it could face increased selling pressure from traders aiming to break even, making it harder for the price to move higher.

根据链上的数据，一个主要的障碍是亏损的大量持有量，这表明约有75万亿个Pepe代币的价格在狭窄的价格范围内，特别是在0.000016美元至0.000021美元之间。如果佩佩（Pepe）达到这一水平，它可能会面临贸易商的销售压力增加，目的是打破平均值，这使得价格更高。

Adding to the bearish outlook, PEPE's daily chart also formed a head and shoulders pattern, which is a classic technical formation that signals a trend reversal. If this pattern plays out and PEPE fails to establish new demand at higher levels, it could lead to even more downside for the memecoin.

佩佩（Pepe）的《每日图表》（Daily Chart）加上看跌前景，还形成了一个头和肩膀的模式，这是一种经典的技术形成，标志着趋势逆转。如果这种模式发挥作用，而Pepe未能在更高级别上建立新需求，则可能会导致Memecoin的更不利因素。

Furthermore, PEPE has been experiencing declining smart money interest, which is impacting its price action. The number of high-profile PEPE holders has dropped significantly, indicating a lack of confidence in the token’s long-term potential. This decline in smart money interest aligns with the broader trend among Ethereum-based meme coins, which have lost momentum to Solana's rapidly growing meme coin ecosystem.

此外，佩佩（Pepe）一直在经历智能货币利息的下降，这会影响其价格行动。备受瞩目的Pepe持有人的数量已大大减少，表明对令牌长期潜力缺乏信心。智能货币利益的这种下降与以太坊基于以太坊的模因硬币的趋势相吻合，这些硬币已经失去了索拉纳快速增长的模因硬币生态系统的动力。

The PEPE price has the potential to retest the $0.000008 support and decline further following the formation of the ‘death cross’ pattern. Source: Lingrid on TradingView

PEPE价格有可能重新测试0.000008美元的支持，并在形成“死亡交叉”模式后进一步下降。资料来源：Lingrid在TradingView上

This weakening sentiment is also evident in the futures market, where open interest in PEPE derivatives has plunged from a year-to-date high of $556 million, reaching as low as $282 million. This reduction in futures interest signals waning speculative activity, with traders shifting their attention elsewhere.

这种减弱的情绪在期货市场上也很明显，在这种情况下，对Pepe衍生品的开放兴趣从年龄到60万美元的5.56亿美元跌落，达到2.82亿美元。期货利息的减少信号逐渐减弱投机活动，交易者将注意力转移到其他地方。

Moreover, the formation of a death cross on PEPE's chart is raising concerns among traders. This technical pattern, which occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, is widely considered one of the strongest bearish signals in financial markets. If confirmed, this pattern could put additional pressure on PEPE's price, potentially accelerating its downward trajectory.

此外，佩佩图表上死亡十字架的形成是引起交易者的关注。这种技术模式发生在50天移动平均线以低于200天移动平均线的情况下发生，被广泛认为是金融市场上最强大的看跌信号之一。如果确认，这种模式可能会对Pepe的价格施加额外的压力，从而可能加速其向下轨迹。

Watch: Pepe Crypto Coin Analysis

观看：Pepe加密硬币分析

While PEPE remains under pressure, it is currently testing a crucial psychological support level at $0.000010. If this support fails to hold, we could see another sell-off, with analysts identifying $0.000008 as the next major support level.

尽管PEPE保持压力，但目前正在测试至关重要的心理支持水平，为0.000010美元。如果这种支持无法持有，我们可以看到另一个抛售，分析师将$ 0.000008确定为下一个主要支持水平。

However, there are some signs that a reversal could be possible. The funding rate for PEPE has recently turned positive, indicating that long positions are gradually returning. Additionally, some indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest that PEPE is approaching oversold territory, which could lead to a temporary rebound.

但是，有一些迹象表明可能会有逆转。 PEPE的资金率最近变成了积极的态度，表明长位置正在逐渐返回。此外，某些指标（例如相对强度指数（RSI））表明，Pepe正在接近超卖领土，这可能导致暂时的反弹。

Even if the PEPE price sees a relief bounce, the road to $0.000020 seems difficult. With strong resistance overhead and a lack of fresh buying momentum, the token will need a significant shift in sentiment to regain its upward trajectory. Until then, PEPE holders may need to brace for continued volatility.

即使Pepe Price看到了救济弹跳，达到0.000020美元的道路似乎也很困难。由于有强大的阻力开销和缺乏新鲜的购买动力，代币将需要重大的情感转变才能恢复其向上的轨迹。在此之前，Pepe持有人可能需要支撑持续的波动。