PEPE硬币（PEPE）价格预测：减半事件会引发新的动力吗？

Pepe Coin是最受欢迎的基于MEME的加密货币之一，目睹了惊人的下降，自2024年12月的历史最高高点以来，其价值的80％降低了其价值的80％。

PEPE Coin, a popular meme-based cryptocurrency, has experienced a drastic decline, losing 80% of its value since its peak price of $0.00002825 in December 2024. The steep sell-off is largely attributed to the Trump Tariffs and whale activity, which has seen massive token deposits into exchanges, increasing selling pressure.

Pepe Coin是一种受欢迎的基于模因的加密货币，自2024年12月的高峰价格0.00002825美元以来，其价值的80％损失了，其价值的80％。陡峭的抛售在很大程度上归因于特朗普的关税和鲸鱼活动，这具有看到大量令牌沉积物进入交易所，增加了销售压力。

Pepe Coin has recently undergone a 60% price correction. Source: BowTiedIguana via X

Pepe Coin最近进行了60％的价格校正。资料来源：通过x bowtiediguana

According to on-chain data, over 1.1 trillion PEPE tokens have been liquidated in recent days. One crypto analytics firm reported that a single wallet deposited 430 billion PEPE, valued at $6.39 million, into Binance over a nine-hour span. Another whale offloaded 325.5 billion PEPE, worth $4.9 million, while additional large holders also transferred millions more to exchanges. This influx of supply greatly weakened PEPE’s price momentum, leading to a sharp decline.

根据链上的数据，最近几天已清算了超过1.1万亿的Pepe令牌。一家加密分析公司报道说，一个单一的钱包在9小时的时间内存放了4300亿佩佩，价值639万美元。另一条鲸鱼卸载了3255亿pepe，价值490万美元，而额外的大型持有人也将数百万转移到了交流中。供应的涌入大大削弱了Pepe的价格势头，导致急剧下降。

Signs of a Potential Recovery

潜在恢复的迹象

Despite the recent sell-off, some indicators suggest that PEPE may be poised for a recovery when the market rebounds. One key metric that traders follow closely is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. Historically, when PEPE’s MVRV enters certain levels, the price has seen strong rebounds. Previous similar occurrences have resulted in price increases of 51% to 72%. If this trend holds, PEPE could see a substantial bounce in the coming weeks.

尽管最近有抛售，但一些指标表明，当市场反弹时，PEPE可能有望恢复。交易者紧密遵循的一个关键指标是实现价值（MVRV）比率的市场价值。从历史上看，当Pepe的MVRV进入某些水平时，价格就会有强大的篮板。以前的类似事件导致价格上涨51％至72％。如果这种趋势的存在，Pepe在接下来的几周内可能会看到大量反弹。

PEPE whale “0xc25” resurfaces, depositing 500B PEPE after turning $3K into $51.25M. Source: SpotOnChain via X

Pepe Whale“ 0xc25”重新浮出水面，将500B PEPE存放在3K $ 5125万美元之后。资料来源：通过X点链链

Another encouraging sign is the decline in PEPE’s exchange reserves. On-chain data shows that more PEPE tokens are being moved from exchanges to private wallets. This often indicates that investors are choosing to hold rather than sell, which can reduce selling pressure and stabilize prices. Crypto trader ChandlerCharts noted, “For the first time since January 18, PEPE actually seems to be pushing up with conviction.” If buyers regain confidence, the coin could see a reversal.

另一个令人鼓舞的迹象是Pepe交换储量的下降。链上数据表明，更多的Pepe令牌正在从交易所转移到私人钱包。这通常表明投资者选择持有而不是卖出，这可以降低销售压力并稳定价格。加密交易员钱德勒查特（Chandlercharts）指出：“自1月18日以来，佩佩（Pepe）实际上似乎是在被定罪。”如果买家恢复了信心，硬币可能会看到逆转。

Watch – Pepe Price Analysis

观看 - PEPE价格分析

Halving Event Could Spark New Momentum

一半的事件可能会引发新的势头

One upcoming major event that will influence PEPE’s price is its impending halving, which is slated for February 4, 2025. The block rewards currently stand at 62,500 PEPE and will be reduced to 31,250 PEPE per block, slowing down the rate at which new tokens flow into circulation. In the past, when other cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, have undergone halvings, they have tended to increase in price due to supply shock. If PEPE follows the same pattern, demand could increase as investors speculate on a potential price hike.

即将发生的一项将影响Pepe价格的重大事件即将减半，该活动定于2025年2月4日。目前的块奖励为62,500 Pepe，将减少到每块Pepe 31,250 Pepe，从而降低了新的代币流量的速度进入循环。过去，当其他加密货币（例如比特币）经历了一半的时间时，由于供应冲击，它们倾向于上涨。如果Pepe遵循相同的模式，则随着投资者推测潜在的价格上涨，需求可能会增加。

Pepe (PEPE) price chart. Source:Brave New Coin

PEPE（PEPE）价格图。资料来源：勇敢的新硬币

Analysts have varying opinions on the potential impact of this halving. Some believe it could propel PEPE back toward its previous highs, while others caution that market conditions and investor sentiment will ultimately determine the outcome. With the coin currently hovering near crucial support levels, the halving could serve as a catalyst for renewed interest.

分析师对这一减半的潜在影响有不同的看法。有些人认为它可以推动Pepe回到以前的高潮，而另一些人则警告市场状况和投资者的情绪最终将决定结果。由于硬币目前徘徊在接近关键的支撑水平上，减半可以作为新兴趣的催化剂。

Market Outlook and Investor Considerations

市场前景和投资者的考虑

PEPE’s future trajectory is highly dependent on broader market trends. If the overall cryptocurrency sector stabilizes and meme coin enthusiasm returns, PEPE could regain its momentum. However, competition from emerging meme coins, such as Yeti Ouro, and regulatory uncertainties in the U.S. could impact its performance.

Pepe的未来轨迹高度取决于更广泛的市场趋势。如果整个加密货币部门稳定并恢复了模因硬币的热情，Pepe可以恢复其势头。但是，来自Yeti Uero等新兴模因硬币的竞争以及美国的监管不确定性可能会影响其性能。

Pepe was rejected at $0.00001450 (Fib level 0.5) and is now moving toward a retest of $0.00001130–$0.00001120. Source: Wizzardo on TradingView

佩佩以0.00001450美元（FIB水平0.5）的价格被拒绝，现在正朝着$ 0.00001130– $ 0.00001120的重新测试。资料来源：Wizzardo在TradingView上

Meme coins are known for their inherent volatility, and while PEPE has a strong community, it remains a high-risk asset. Investors are advised to closely monitor whale activity, exchange reserves, and key support levels before making any trading decisions. For those willing to take the risk, the potential rewards could be high—but so could the losses.

模因硬币以其固有的波动而闻名，尽管Pepe拥有强大的社区，但它仍然是高风险的资产。建议投资者在做出任何交易决策之前密切监视鲸鱼活动，交换储备和关键支持水平。对于那些愿意冒险的人来说，潜在的奖励可能很高，但是损失也可能很高。

As the market anticipates PEPE’s halving event, traders are keeping a close eye on the meme coin to see if it can defy expectations and stage a comeback. Whether PEPE rebounds or continues its downward slide will depend on investor confidence, broader crypto trends, and its ability to hold critical price levels in the days ahead.

正如市场预计佩佩（Pepe）的减半活动一样，交易者正在密切关注模因硬币，以查看它是否可以违背期望并卷土重来。 Pepe反弹还是继续其下降幻灯片将取决于投资者的信心，更广泛的加密趋势以及在未来几天保持关键价格水平的能力。