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在市场普遍低迷的情况下,莱特币 (LTC) 成为 100 种加密货币中表现第二好的加密货币,在过去 24 小时内价格飙升 11%。这一看涨表现是在美国商品期货交易委员会 (CFTC) 最近将 LTC 指定为商品之后出现的,这可能为认可和整合带来机会。
Litecoin Soars as Commodity Status Fuels Optimism
莱特币飙升,商品地位激发乐观情绪
New York, March 10, 2023 - Litecoin (LTC), the seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has emerged as the second-best performing asset among the top 100 digital coins in the past 24 hours. The surge, which saw Litecoin's value spike nearly 11%, comes amid a period of relative market stagnation for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
纽约,2023 年 3 月 10 日 - 按市值计算的第七大加密货币莱特币 (LTC) 已成为过去 24 小时内排名前 100 的数字货币中表现第二好的资产。在比特币和以太坊市场相对停滞时期,莱特币的价值飙升了近 11%。
CFTC Classification as a Commodity
CFTC 商品分类
A key factor contributing to Litecoin's surge is a recent statement by the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in a lawsuit against crypto exchange KuCoin. The CFTC declared Litecoin a commodity, effectively placing it outside the regulatory scope of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
促成莱特币飙升的一个关键因素是美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)最近在针对加密货币交易所 KuCoin 的诉讼中发表的声明。美国商品期货交易委员会 (CFTC) 宣布莱特币为商品,实际上将其置于美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 的监管范围之外。
This distinction is significant as it relaxes the regulatory burden on Litecoin issuers, potentially opening doors for broader endorsements and integrations. KuCoin's complaint alleges that the exchange "solicited and accepted orders, accepted property to margin, and operated a facility for the trading of futures, swaps, and leveraged, margined, or financed retail transactions involving digital assets that are commodities including Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Litecoin (LTC)."
这种区别意义重大,因为它减轻了莱特币发行人的监管负担,有可能为更广泛的认可和整合打开大门。 KuCoin 的投诉称,该交易所“征求并接受订单,接受保证金财产,并运营期货、掉期交易以及涉及数字资产(包括比特币(BTC)等商品)的杠杆、保证金或融资零售交易的设施,以太币 (ETH) 和莱特币 (LTC)。”
Technical Analysis
技术分析
Litecoin's technical indicators indicate a bullish outlook. The coin began trading sideways on March 9 at $94.80 and maintained that range until 6am UTC, when a surge pushed it to a daily high of $106. It has since corrected slightly to its current price of $104.99. Over the past 24 hours, LTC has gained 11.56% and 21.71% in the past week. In the last month, the cryptocurrency has appreciated by 27.5%.
莱特币的技术指标显示看涨前景。该代币于 3 月 9 日开始横盘交易,价格为 94.80 美元,并一直维持在该区间,直到世界标准时间早上 6 点,随后飙升至 106 美元的日高点。此后,它已小幅调整至当前价格 104.99 美元。过去24小时内,LTC上周涨幅为11.56%和21.71%。上个月,加密货币升值了 27.5%。
Prior to this surge, Litecoin traded sideways in a horizontal channel between $63 and $77 from January through February. On February 29, the coin broke out of this range and initiated a bullish trend on March 1. The majority of Litecoin's positive performance in 2024 can be attributed to March's rally. Since the channel breakout, the cryptocurrency has risen approximately 63%.
在这次飙升之前,莱特币从 1 月到 2 月在 63 美元至 77 美元之间的水平通道中横盘交易。 2 月 29 日,该币突破了该区间,并于 3 月 1 日开启了看涨趋势。莱特币 2024 年的积极表现大部分可归因于 3 月份的反弹。自通道突破以来,加密货币已上涨约 63%。
Historical Trends and Market Outlook
历史趋势和市场展望
Historical data suggests that large price spikes in Litecoin are often followed by periods of correction. In the past, the cryptocurrency has failed to break through resistance levels set by previous spikes, indicating the possibility of a cup-and-handle pattern. This pattern typically entails a substantial surge, followed by a symmetrical correction period and a recovery that cancels out the losses, resembling a semi-circle shape. If this pattern holds true, Litecoin could experience a minor correction before another recovery wave leading to a bullish breakout.
历史数据表明,莱特币价格大幅上涨之后往往会出现调整期。过去,加密货币未能突破之前峰值设定的阻力位,这表明可能出现杯柄模式。这种模式通常会带来大幅飙升,随后是对称修正期和抵消损失的复苏,类似于半圆形。如果这种模式成立,莱特币可能会经历小幅调整,然后再出现另一波复苏浪潮,导致看涨突破。
Overall, Litecoin's long-term prospects remain positive. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a slightly overbought condition, with a 66% dominance of bulls over bears. Litecoin's bullishness is further demonstrated by its ability to bounce off its 55-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and continue trading above the 10-day EMA.
总体而言,莱特币的长期前景仍然乐观。其相对强度指数(RSI)显示出轻微超买状况,多头比空头占主导地位 66%。莱特币从 55 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 反弹并继续在 10 日指数移动平均线上方交易的能力进一步证明了其看涨情绪。
Given Litecoin's bullishness in both daily and weekly charts, its immediate resistance level could be around $115, representing a 10% gain. If the bullish momentum continues, the next potential resistance level is near $135, a potential gain of nearly 29%. However, if Litecoin fails to meet expectations and corrects downwards, it may drop to around $80, a loss of approximately -22.5%.
鉴于莱特币在日线图和周线图上都看涨,其直接阻力位可能在 115 美元左右,即上涨 10%。如果看涨势头持续,下一个潜在阻力位在 135 美元附近,潜在涨幅接近 29%。但如果莱特币未能达到预期而向下修正,则可能会跌至80美元左右,损失约为-22.5%。
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