莱特币 (LTC) 市场趋势和分析师对长期可行性的怀疑

过去一个月，莱特币 (LTC) 的价格大幅上涨超过 50%，与更广泛的山寨币市场趋势一致。

Litecoin (LTC) has seen a significant price increase of over 50% in the past month, aligning with broader altcoin market trends. However, some analysts, like Ali Martinez, express skepticism about Litecoin’s long-term viability, pointing to its current price levels being similar to those in 2017 and a lack of strong fundamentals to support sustained growth.

过去一个月，莱特币 (LTC) 的价格大幅上涨超过 50%，与更广泛的山寨币市场趋势一致。然而，阿里·马丁内斯等一些分析师对莱特币的长期生存能力表示怀疑，指出其目前的价格水平与 2017 年相似，并且缺乏支持持续增长的强劲基本面。

Some key statistics provide further insights into Litecoin's recent performance and market behavior:

一些关键统计数据提供了有关莱特币近期表现和市场行为的进一步见解：

- 78% of Litecoin wallets are currently profitable, the highest since 2021, with 6.33 million addresses in the black.

- 目前 78% 的莱特币钱包实现盈利，这是 2021 年以来的最高水平，有 633 万个地址实现盈利。

- Conversely, the percentage of wallets at a loss has decreased dramatically from 46% to 16% in just one month.

- 相反，钱包亏损的比例在短短一个月内从 46% 急剧下降至 16%。

- Despite the positive profitability statistics, the number of active addresses for Litecoin has declined from over one million at the start of the year to 364,000.

- 尽管盈利统计数据良好，但莱特币的活跃地址数量已从年初的 100 万以上下降至 364,000 个。

These statistics indicate a strong recovery for Litecoin holders, with a majority now experiencing profits from their holdings. However, the decreasing number of active addresses might be concerning for traders who rely on high levels of activity for optimal price movements.

这些统计数据表明莱特币持有者的强劲复苏，大多数人现在都从其持有的资产中获利。然而，对于依赖高活动水平来实现最佳价格变动的交易者来说，活跃地址数量的减少可能会令人担忧。

As Litecoin continues to trade within a consolidation range, short-term gains may still be possible. However, some traders are speculating on a potential downtrend, especially with an inverse cup and handle pattern forming on its four-hour chart. Traders are advised to monitor the neckline at $100.65, as a drop below this level could trigger further losses.

由于莱特币继续在盘整区间内交易，短期仍有可能上涨。然而，一些交易者正在猜测潜在的下跌趋势，特别是在四小时图表上形成反向杯柄形态的情况下。建议交易者关注 100.65 美元的颈线，因为跌破该水平可能会引发进一步的损失。

Additionally, the Chaikin Money Flow has indicated weakening buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows mixed signals, hinting at a slight bullish momentum despite overall bearish signs.

此外，柴金资金流向表明买盘压力减弱，而移动平均线收敛分歧（MACD）显示出混合信号，暗示尽管整体看跌迹象，但仍存在轻微看涨势头。

Furthermore, speculative interest in Litecoin has waned, with open interest dropping from a peak of $706 million earlier this month to $531 million. This decline suggests that traders are becoming more cautious, potentially leading to bearish sentiment in the market.

此外，莱特币的投机兴趣已经减弱，未平仓合约从本月早些时候的峰值 7.06 亿美元降至 5.31 亿美元。这种下跌表明交易员变得更加谨慎，可能导致市场看跌情绪。

In summary, while Litecoin has seen a notable price increase and improved wallet profitability, analysts remain divided on its long-term prospects due to declining active addresses and potential bearish trends. Investors should stay informed about market developments as they may impact Litecoin’s stability and growth.

总而言之，虽然莱特币的价格显着上涨，钱包盈利能力有所提高，但由于活跃地址下降和潜在的看跌趋势，分析师对其长期前景仍存在分歧。投资者应随时了解市场发展，因为它们可能会影响莱特币的稳定性和增长。