第五大比特币鲸鱼在减半预期中转移 60.5 亿美元

第五大比特币（BTC）鲸鱼最近于 3 月 23 日通过三笔不同交易转移了价值 60.5 亿美元的 BTC。休眠的比特币地址“37X”几乎移动了其全部 94.5K BTC 余额，仅留下 1.4 BTC。这一活动发生在预期的比特币减半事件之前，比特币网络的区块奖励将减半，专家认为这可能会进一步推动需求并推高价格。

Fifth-Largest Bitcoin Whale Transacts $6.05 Billion in Major Transfer

第五大比特币鲸鱼大额转账交易金额达 60.5 亿美元

March 25, 2024 – A dormant Bitcoin address labeled "37X" has recently revived its activity, transferring $6.05 billion worth of BTC to three new addresses. Arkham Intelligence reports the transactions occurred on March 23.

2024 年 3 月 25 日——一个标记为“37X”的休眠比特币地址最近恢复了活动，将价值 60.5 亿美元的 BTC 转移到三个新地址。 Arkham Intelligence 报告称，这些交易发生在 3 月 23 日。

The "37X" address had been inactive since 2019, holding an estimated 94.5K BTC. The transfer effectively liquidated the account, leaving a mere 1.4 BTC.

“37X”地址自 2019 年以来一直处于闲置状态，估计持有 9.45 万个 BTC。这次转账实际上清算了账户，只剩下 1.4 BTC。

Transaction Context: Halving Anticipation

交易背景：预期减半

This significant movement coincides with growing anticipation surrounding the upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 20. During the halving, the block rewards for Bitcoin miners will be reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

这一重大变动恰逢人们对即将于 4 月 20 日举行的比特币减半的预期不断增长。减半期间，比特币矿工的区块奖励将从 6.25 BTC 减少至 3.125 BTC。

Experts speculate that this supply reduction, coupled with increasing institutional adoption, could trigger an enhanced scarcity for Bitcoin, potentially boosting its price in the aftermath.

专家推测，供应量的减少，加上机构采用率的提高，可能会引发比特币的稀缺性加剧，从而可能会推高其价格。

BTC Price Projections and Catalysts

比特币价格预测和催化剂

Many analysts anticipate that Bitcoin's all-time high of $73,750.07 may not represent its peak. Consensus estimates suggest a potential surge towards $100k by the end of 2024, following a period of profit-taking and correction around the halving event.

许多分析师预计，比特币的历史高点 73,750.07 美元可能并不代表其峰值。共识估计表明，在减半事件发生一段时间的获利回吐和调整之后，到 2024 年底，比特币价格可能飙升至 10 万美元。

Basile Maire, Co-Founder of D8X, emphasizes that the impact of reduced BTC issuance has not yet been fully reflected in market valuations, based on the fundamental principles of supply and demand.

D8X 联合创始人 Basile Maire 强调，根据供需基本原理，BTC 发行量减少的影响尚未完全反映在市场估值中。

Maire forecasts a bolder $100k target for Bitcoin by May, just a month after the halving, citing increased open interest at that price point.

Maire 预测，到 5 月份，即减半后一个月，比特币的目标将达到 10 万美元，理由是该价格点的未平仓合约有所增加。

He also underscores the potential influence of the upcoming US presidential election on the crypto market. Policymakers may prioritize market stability to avoid undermining their positions, which could benefit the crypto industry and Bitcoin in particular, due to its growing correlation to traditional finance through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

他还强调了即将到来的美国总统大选对加密货币市场的潜在影响。政策制定者可能会优先考虑市场稳定，以避免损害其地位，这可能有利于加密货币行业，尤其​​是比特币，因为它通过现货交易所交易基金（ETF）与传统金融的相关性日益增强。

ETF Influence and Bitcoin Supply Dynamics

ETF 影响和比特币供应动态

Maire further notes that ETF issuers have been purchasing approximately 10 times more Bitcoin daily than miners produce. This demand, coupled with the halving's supply reduction, will likely exert significant buying pressure on the market, propelling Bitcoin prices upwards.

Maire 进一步指出，ETF 发行人每天购买的比特币大约是矿工生产的比特币的 10 倍。这种需求，加上减半的供应减少，可能会给市场带来巨大的购买压力，推动比特币价格上涨。

The current daily production of Bitcoin stands at 900 BTC, which will be halved to 450 BTC post-halving, exacerbating the demand-supply imbalance and further bolstering the bullish case for Bitcoin.

目前比特币日产量为900 BTC，减半后将减半至450 BTC，加剧供需失衡，进一步支撑比特币看涨。