行业先驱 Matt Hougan 规划了比特币的未来，预测比特币将飙升至 250,000 美元

随着比特币挖矿世界适应减半后的现实，Bitwise 的 Matt Hougan 对该资产的未来做出了乐观的预测。 Hougan 预计下一次减半将在 2028 年发生，他预测，由于机构通过 ETF 参与增加，波动性将会降低。他还预测，目标日期投资组合中的比特币配置将激增，各国央行寻求地缘政治风险分散的需求也会增加。 Hougan 最大胆的预测是，在主流采用和机构支持的推动下，到 2028 年，比特币价格将大幅上涨，每枚比特币将超过 25 万美元。这些预测与其他行业领导者的看涨情绪一致，凸显了机构兴趣的增长以及比特币在全球金融格局中不断扩大的作用。

Bitcoin's Future Unfolds: A Forecast by Industry Pioneer Matt Hougan

比特币的未来展开：行业先驱 Matt Hougan 的预测

The Bitcoin mining landscape has undergone a transformative shift with the halving event reducing block rewards. Amidst this transition, industry luminary Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, offers a compelling vision for Bitcoin's trajectory, forecasting five pivotal developments that will shape its future.

随着减半事件减少区块奖励，比特币挖矿格局发生了变革。在这一转变中，Bitwise 首席投资官、行业名人 Matt Hougan 对比特币的发展轨迹提出了令人信服的愿景，预测了将塑造其未来的五个关键发展。

1. Diminishing Volatility: Institutional Investors Steer the Course

1. 波动性减小：机构投资者引导方向

Hougan predicts a significant reduction in Bitcoin's infamous price volatility, anticipating a 50% decrease. This profound change is attributed to the growing participation of institutional investors through Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). These institutional players, known for their long-term investment strategies and portfolio diversification, introduce a stabilizing force into the market, mitigating the price swings that have characterized Bitcoin's past.

Hougan 预测比特币臭名昭著的价格波动将大幅减少，预计下降 50%。这一深刻的变化归因于机构投资者通过交易所交易基金（ETF）越来越多地参与。这些机构参与者以其长期投资策略和投资组合多元化而闻名，为市场引入了稳定力量，缓解了比特币过去特有的价格波动。

2. Bitcoin's Embrace by Target-Date Portfolios

2. 目标日期投资组合对比特币的拥抱

Hougan envisions a widespread adoption of Bitcoin within target-date portfolios, automated investment vehicles that adjust asset allocation based on an investor's age and retirement goals. He anticipates that Bitcoin's share could reach 5% or more, a testament to its maturing status as a viable investment option. This inclusion in established retirement platforms will bolster its credibility and expand its reach to a broader audience.

Hougan 设想在目标日期投资组合中广泛采用比特币，这是根据投资者的年龄和退休目标调整资产配置的自动化投资工具。他预计比特币的份额可能达到 5% 或更多，这证明了其作为可行投资选择的成熟地位。纳入现有的退休平台将增强其可信度，并将其影响范围扩大到更广泛的受众。

3. ETF Boom and Unprecedented Investment Surge

3. ETF热潮和前所未有的投资热潮

The recent launch of Bitcoin ETFs has ignited unprecedented excitement, generating record-breaking net flows. Hougan attributes this surge to the convenience and accessibility provided by ETFs, paving the way for a broader investment audience. He predicts that ETF inflows will continue to accelerate, fueling long-term demand for Bitcoin and propelling its growth trajectory.

最近推出的比特币 ETF 引发了前所未有的兴奋，产生了创纪录的净流量。 Hougan 将这种激增归因于 ETF 提供的便利性和可及性，为更广泛的投资受众铺平了道路。他预测 ETF 流入将继续加速，刺激对比特币的长期需求并推动其增长轨迹。

4. Central Banks' Embrace of Bitcoin Amidst Global Uncertainty

4. 全球不确定性下各国央行拥抱比特币

Hougan's predictions take a surprising turn when he suggests that central banks, traditionally risk-averse institutions, may be drawn to Bitcoin's unique attributes. Bitcoin's status as a debt-free currency and its potential role as a hedge against geopolitical risks could entice central banks to allocate a portion of their reserves to this digital asset. Such a shift would mark a significant departure from traditional asset management strategies and underscore Bitcoin's growing acceptance within the global financial landscape.

当霍根表示央行（传统上规避风险的机构）可能会被比特币的独特属性所吸引时，他的预测出现了令人惊讶的转变。比特币作为无债务货币的地位及其对冲地缘政治风险的潜在作用可能会吸引央行将部分储备分配给这种数字资产。这种转变将标志着与传统资产管理策略的重大背离，并突显比特币在全球金融格局中越来越被接受。

5. Bitcoin's Price Surge: A Meteoric Ascent to $250,000

5. 比特币价格飙升：飙升至 25 万美元

Perhaps Hougan's most audacious prediction centers around Bitcoin's price. Driven by the aforementioned factors, especially the growing support from institutional investors, Hougan envisions a dramatic price surge that could exceed $250,000 per Bitcoin by 2028. He highlights the mainstream adoption, fueled by ETF aggregation and the endorsement of major Wall Street firms, as key drivers behind this anticipated price surge.

也许侯根最大胆的预测集中在比特币的价格上。在上述因素的推动下，尤其是机构投资者日益增长的支持，Hougan 预计到 2028 年，每比特币的价格可能会大幅上涨，超过 25 万美元。他强调，在 ETF 聚合和华尔街主要公司的认可的推动下，比特币的主流采用是关键预期价格飙升背后的驱动因素。

Hougan's bullish outlook is echoed by other industry experts, who share his confidence in Bitcoin's future. Pav Hundal anticipates a 100% price increase, while Henrik Andersson projects a $200,000 price tag before 2028. This collective optimism underscores the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin and its increasing prominence within the global financial arena.

霍根的乐观前景得到了其他行业专家的响应，他们与他一样对比特币的未来充满信心。 Pav Hundal 预计价格将上涨 100%，而 Henrik Andersson 预计 2028 年之前价格将达到 20 万美元。这种集体乐观情绪凸显了机构对比特币日益增长的兴趣及其在全球金融领域日益突出的地位。

As the Bitcoin mining industry adapts to the post-halving landscape, Matt Hougan's predictions provide a compelling roadmap for the future of Bitcoin. From reduced volatility to widespread adoption, Hougan's analysis highlights the transformative potential of Bitcoin as it continues to reshape the financial world.

随着比特币挖矿业适应减半后的形势，马特·霍根的预测为比特币的未来提供了令人信服的路线图。从减少波动性到广泛采用，Hougan 的分析强调了比特币在继续重塑金融世界的过程中所具有的变革潜力。