尽管与关税有关的不确定性越来越大，但仍有70％的概率加密货币市场将在接下来的两个月中找到本地底部

由于持续的进口关税谈判的全球不确定性，加密货币市场可能会在未来两个月内看到本地底部

Amid growing tariff-related uncertainty, there is a 70% probability cryptocurrency markets will find the local bottom in the next two months, which will serve as the supporting foundation for the next leg up in the 2025 cycle, according to Nansen analysts.

根据Nansen分析师的说法，在与关税相关的不确定性日益增长的情况下，概率的加密货币市场将在接下来的两个月中找到本地底部，这将是2025年周期下一条腿的支持基础。

Tariffs: A 70% chance of crypto bottoming in June

关税：六月的加密货币触底70％

The cryptocurrency market may yet see a local bottom in the next two months amid global uncertainty over ongoing import tariff negotiations, which have been limiting investor sentiment in both traditional and digital markets.

由于对正在进行的进口关税谈判的全球不确定性，这在未来两个月内仍可能在接下来的两个月中看到一个本地底部，这一直限制了传统和数字市场的投资者情绪。

US President Donald Trump on April 2 announced reciprocal import tariffs, measures aimed at reducing the country’s estimated trade deficit of $1.2 trillion in goods and boosting domestic manufacturing.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）于4月2日宣布了相互的进口关税，旨在减少该国估计的贸易赤字1.2万亿美元的货物并提高国内制造业的措施。

While global markets took a hit from the first tariff announcement, there is a 70% chance for cryptocurrency valuations to find their bottom by June, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the Nansen crypto intelligence platform.

Nansen Crypto Intelligence Platform的首席研究分析师Aurelie Barthere表示，尽管全球市场从首次关税公告开始受到关税，但加密货币估值有70％的机会在6月之前找到其最低点。

The research analyst told Cointelegraph:

研究分析师告诉Cointelegraph：

“Nansen data estimates a 70% probability that crypto prices will bottom between now and June, with BTC and ETH currently trading 15% and 22% below their year-to-date highs, respectively. Given this data, upcoming discussions will serve as crucial market indicators.”

“ Nansen数据估计，加密货币价格将在现在至6月之间最低点的概率为70％，而BTC和ETH目前分别以15％和22％的价格交易其高峰。鉴于这些数据，即将进行的讨论将作为关键市场指标。”

She added: “Once the toughest part of the negotiation is behind us, we see a cleaner opportunity for crypto and risk assets to finally mark a bottom.”

她补充说：“一旦谈判中最艰难的部分就在我们身后，我们看到加密和风险资产最终标记底部的更清洁的机会。”

The Biden administration is expected to meet again this week to continue discussing the best strategy for resolving the trade imbalance and reaching a win-win outcome for both nations.

预计拜登政府将在本周再次开会，以继续讨论解决贸易失衡并为两国取得双赢的最佳策略。

The president’s decision to impose tariffs comes as the U.S. economy faces sluggish growth and a potential recession, while China’s economy is also slowing down from the post-pandemic recovery.

总统征收关税的决定是因为美国经济面临疲软的增长和潜在的衰退，而中国经济也因大流行后的复苏而放缓。

Despite the bleak macroeconomic outlook and lack of risk appetite, savvy traders continue making generational wealth in the crypto markets.

尽管宏观经济的前景黯淡，并且缺乏风险食欲，但精明的交易者仍在加密市场中赚钱。

One trader turned an initial $2,000 into over $43 million by trading the popular frog-themed memecoin, Pepe.

一位交易者通过交易流行的青蛙主题的成员佩佩（Pepe），将最初的2,000美元变成了超过4300万美元。

Crypto trader turns $2,000 of PEPE into $43M

加密交易者将2,000美元的Pepe变成4300万美元

A trader reportedly turned $2,000 into more than $43 million by investing in the memecoin Pepe at its peak valuation, despite the token’s extreme volatility and lack of underlying technical value.

据报道，尽管令牌的极端波动且缺乏潜在的技术价值，但据报道，通过对Memecoin Pepe进行投资，将2,000美元变成了超过4,300万美元。

The trader made an over 4,700-fold return on investment on the popular frog-themed Pepe (PEPE) cryptocurrency, according to blockchain intelligence platform Lookonchain.

根据区块链情报平台LookonChain的数据，该交易员在流行的Frog主题Pepe（Pepe）加密货币上获得了超过4,700倍的投资回报。

“This OG spent only $2,184 to buy 1.5T $PEPE($43M at the peak) in the early stage. He sold 1.02T $PEPE for $6.66M, leaving 493B $PEPE($3.64M), with a total profit of $10.3M(4,718x),” Lookonchain wrote in a March 29 X post.

“这款OG在早期阶段购买了1.5吨Pepe（峰值4300万美元）。他以666万美元的价格售出1.02 t $ PEPE，留下493B $ PEPE（364万美元），总利润为1.03亿美元（4,718x），” Lookonchain在3月29日x上写道。”

This OG spent only $2,184 to buy 1.5T $PEPE($43M at the peak) early stage.

这款OG仅花费2,184美元购买了1.5吨Pepe（峰值4300万美元）的早期阶段。

He sold 1.02T $PEPE for $6.66M, leaving 493B $PEPE($3.64M), with a total profit of $10.3M(4,718x).

他以666万美元的价格出售了1.02吨Pepe，留下了493B $ PEPE（364万美元），总利润为1030万美元（4,718倍）。

Amazing trader! 🫡

惊人的交易者！ 🫡

The post was viewed more than 1.6 million times and sparked discussion over the gains some traders were able to make despite the crypto market downturn.

该帖子被观看超过160万次，并引发了一些交易者能够获得的收益讨论，尽管加密货币市场下滑了。

The trader realized over $10 million in profit despite Pepe’s price falling over 74% from its all-time high of $0.00002825, reached on Dec. 9, 2024, Cointelegraph Markets Pro data shows.

尽管Pepe的价格比其历史最高高点0.00002825下降了74％，但该交易者的利润超过了1000万美元，2024年12月9日达到了CoIntelegraph Markets Pro Data Shose Shose Shose Shose Shose Shose Shose Shose Shose Shose Shore Shore Shore Shose Shose Shope to。

Memecoins are considered some of the most speculative and volatile digital assets, with price action driven largely by online enthusiasm and social sentiment rather than fundamental utility or innovation.

模因被认为是一些最具投机性和波动性的数字资产，其价格行动在很大程度上是由在线热情和社交情绪驱动的，而不是基本的效用或创新。

Still, they’ve proven capable of generating life-changing returns. In May 2024, another early Pepe investor turned $27 into $52 million — a 1.9 million-fold return — according to onchain data.

尽管如此，他们已经证明能够产生改变生活的回报。根据OnChain数据，2024年5月，另一名早期的Pepe投资者将27美元变成了5200万美元，回报了190万美元。

The post 70% chance of crypto bottoming before June amid trade fears: Nansen appeared first on ChainEdge.

由于贸易担忧，六月之前的加密货币触底速度的机会为70％：Nansen首先出现在Chainedge上。

The post 70% chance of crypto bottoming before June amid trade fears: Nansen appeared first on ChainEdge.

由于贸易担忧，六月之前的加密货币触底速度的机会为70％：Nansen首先出现在Chainedge上。