随着英国央行决策临近，英镑/美元暴跌，目前跌至 1.2790

过去一小时内，英镑/美元跌幅迅速扩大，当天英镑/美元从 1.2845 跌至低点 1.2790。这一举措主要与英镑挂钩

GBP/USD dropped sharply lower in the last hour of trading on Thursday as traders positioned themselves ahead of the BOE rate decision. The pair fell from a high of 1.2845 to a low of 1.2790. This was a total decline of 55 pips.

由于交易员在英国央行利率决定之前做好准备，英镑/美元在周四交易的最后一个小时大幅下跌。该货币对从高点1.2845跌至低点1.2790。总共下跌了 55 点。

The pound’s losses were mainly driven by strength in the euro, with EUR/GBP rising by 0.4% to reach 0.8450. This pair is now at its highest level since early February.

英镑下跌主要受欧元走强推动，欧元/英镑上涨0.4%至0.8450。该货币对目前处于二月初以来的最高水平。

The BOE decision is the main event for the pound on Thursday and it will be closely watched by traders. The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but there is some uncertainty about the vote. Some traders believe that the decision could be split, with a majority voting in favour of a rate cut.

英国央行的决定是周四英镑的主要事件，交易员将密切关注。市场普遍预计央行将降息25个基点，但此次投票存在一定的不确定性。一些交易员认为，这一决定可能会出现分歧，多数人投票支持降息。

The odds of a 25 bps rate cut are priced in at around 62% at the start of the session, up from 58% earlier.

盘初时，降息 25 个基点的可能性约为 62%，高于早些时候的 58%。

I had earlier shared some comments on the BOE decision and the potential impact on the pound:

我早些时候曾分享过一些关于英国央行决定及其对英镑潜在影响的评论：

“The central bank is likely to cut the bank rate at the balance, but expectations are for the votes to be either 5-4 or 6-3 in favour of a rate cut. The likely dissenters are Pill, Haskel, Mann, and possibly Greene.

“央行可能会在平衡时降低银行利率，但预计投票结果将是 5 比 4 或 6 比 3 赞成降息。可能的反对者是皮尔、哈斯克尔、曼，可能还有格林。

“Naturally, if the BOE doesn’t move with a rate cut today, the decision will be a dovish hold surely. But how will markets take to that?

“当然，如果英国央行今天不采取降息行动，那么这一决定肯定会是鸽派的。但市场将如何应对？

“Currently, traders are pricing in a ~58% probability of a rate cut. So, therein lies the risk for the pound. It’s pretty much a 50-50 call based on the odds. As such, any decision will result in quite decent price movement as markets readjust their rates pricing.”

“目前，交易员预计降息的可能性约为 58%。因此，英镑存在风险。根据赔率，这几乎是 50-50 的跟注。因此，随着市场重新调整利率定价，任何决定都将导致相当不错的价格变动。”