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类似于2018年BNB的公牛奔跑的分形

2025/03/22 21:22

当前的图表分析表明,当前炒作的价格结构及其校正阶段在2018年与BNB的公牛运行非常相似。

类似于2018年BNB的公牛奔跑的分形

A recent analysis on X, formerly Twitter, has pointed out a striking fractal similarity between Binance Coin’s (BNB) bull run in 2018 and the current price structure of Hype (HYPE).

最近对X(以前为Twitter)的分析指出,2018年Binance Coin(BNB)牛(BNB)牛的分形相似性与当前炒作价格结构(HYPE)之间的分形相似性。

Both assets have displayed an interesting pattern. Commencing at a higher timeframe, both BNB in 2018 and HYPE in 2025 have been enchained in an ascending wedge. This wedge was followed by a sharp decline that took both assets into a key accumulation zone.

两种资产都显示出有趣的模式。从较高的时间范围开始,2018年的BNB和2025年的炒作都陷入了上升的楔子中。紧随其后的是急剧下降,这两个资产都进入了一个关键的积累区。

In the case of BNB, this zone was just above the 50-week moving average, where a bullish MACD crossover eventually triggered a massive surge, propelling BNB’s price by more than 470%.

就BNB而言,该区域刚好超过50周的移动平均线,在那里看涨的MACD交叉最终引发了巨大的激增,促使BNB的价格提高了470%以上。

Now, HYPE seems to be unfolding the same narrative. It broke down from a similar ascending wedge and tested its support range at $12 to $16. This is the same range from which BNB initiated its reversal.

现在,炒作似乎正在展开同样的叙述。它从类似的上升楔子中崩溃,并测试了其支撑范围为$ 12到$ 16。这是BNB引发其逆转的相同范围。

Currently, HYPE trades slightly above this range, at $16, and like BNB back then, it is approaching its 50-day moving average (at $20), which could act as a major trigger point for bullish momentum.

目前,Hype的交易略高于此范围,价格为16美元,就像BNB一样,它正接近50天的移动平均线(20美元),这可能是看涨势头的主要触发点。

If the fractal continues to play out, HYPE could be on the verge of a significant breakthrough to the upside. Once price action clearly surpasses the 50-day moving average, it could trigger a parabolic move towards the $30 to $45 range, further echoing BNB’s meteoric rise post-reversal.

如果分形继续发挥作用,那么炒作可能会取得重大突破。一旦价格行动清楚地超过了50天的移动平均线,它可能会触发抛物线转移到30美元到45美元的范围内,进一步与BNB的逆转后逆转相呼应。

However, in the short term, on the 1 and 3-hour charts, a divergence in the RSI can be observed, which could lead to a retracement to $14.5. It also forms a bullish channel, with $14.5 marking the channel’s lower boundary.

但是,在短期内,在1和3小时的图表上,可以观察到RSI的差异,这可能会导致回撤至14.5美元。它还形成了一个看涨的频道,标记了频道的下边界14.5美元。

Momentum indicators and market sentiment seem to be aligning for a strong move in the coming months. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but fractals like this often play a crucial role in forecasting major movements, especially when combined with key technical indicators.

在接下来的几个月中,动量指标和市场情绪似乎在强劲的举动都保持一致。当然,没有什么可以保证的,但是像这样的分形通常在预测主要运动中起着至关重要的作用,尤其是在与关键技术指标结合使用时。

For now, as long as the key resistance at $26 remains unbroken, the medium to long-term trend remains bearish. On the other hand, in the short term, a break above $17 should take HYPE towards the range between $26 and $22. This represents a rise of 39 to 60%.

目前,只要26美元的主要抵抗力保持不变,中长期趋势仍然是看跌。另一方面,在短期内,休息时间高于17美元,应炒作26至22美元之间的范围。这表示39%至60%。

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