以太坊在动荡和清算高峰中暴跌

以太坊最近的价格波动本周跌破 3,000 美元，归因于地缘政治紧张局势和监管担忧。尽管香港批准了以太坊 ETF 现货，但清算量仍激增超过 8190 万美元，其中 ETH 空头增加了 54%。多头清算量很大，在 ETF 获得批准后，围绕以太坊的讨论加剧。

Ethereum Plummets Amidst Turmoil and Liquidation Surge

以太坊在动荡和清算激增中暴跌

Hong Kong's groundbreaking approval of a spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) offered a glimmer of hope for the cryptocurrency market, but its impact has been fleeting as Ethereum (ETH) grapples with geopolitical tensions and regulatory concerns.

香港突破性地批准现货以太坊交易所交易基金（ETF），为加密货币市场带来了一线希望，但随着以太坊（ETH）应对地缘政治紧张局势和监管担忧，其影响转瞬即逝。

The world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has witnessed a precipitous decline in recent days, briefly dipping below the $3,000 mark. This sharp downturn has been largely attributed to a confluence of factors, including escalating tensions between Iran and Israel and growing apprehensions surrounding regulatory developments.

全球市值第二大的加密货币近几天急剧下跌，一度跌破 3000 美元大关。这种急剧下滑在很大程度上归因于多种因素的综合作用，包括伊朗和以色列之间的紧张局势升级以及对监管发展的担忧日益加剧。

Investors have exhibited heightened caution across the cryptocurrency landscape, with Bitcoin and other altcoins also experiencing losses. Ethereum, in particular, has witnessed a significant 20% decrease in risk reversals, indicating an elevated level of nervousness among investors.

投资者对加密货币领域表现出高度谨慎，比特币和其他山寨币也遭受了损失。尤其是以太坊，风险逆转大幅下降了 20%，表明投资者的紧张情绪加剧。

Amidst the market turmoil, data from Santiment has revealed a surge in Ethereum liquidations, totaling over $81.9 million within a 24-hour period. A staggering $67.4 million of these liquidations originated from long positions, including a single liquidation valued at $6 million.

在市场动荡的背景下，Santiment 的数据显示，以太坊清算量激增，24 小时内清算总额超过 8190 万美元。这些清算中高达 6740 万美元的资金来自多头头寸，其中单笔清算价值达 600 万美元。

The approval of the Hong Kong ETF initially sparked discussions and heightened the visibility of Ethereum, making it the most sought-after token among traders. However, bearish sentiment has persisted, as evidenced by a substantial 54% increase in ETH shorts.

香港ETF的批准最初引发了讨论并提高了以太坊的知名度，使其成为交易者中最受追捧的代币。然而，看跌情绪依然存在，ETH 空头大幅增加 54% 就证明了这一点。

Despite these recent setbacks, the Ethereum Foundation's proposal to reduce ETH issuance has garnered widespread attention. While the proposal aims to maintain Ethereum's status as a currency and balance governance power within the network, it has faced criticism.

尽管最近遇到了这些挫折，以太坊基金会减少 ETH 发行量的提议还是引起了广泛关注。虽然该提案旨在维持以太坊作为货币的地位并平衡网络内的治理权力，但它遭到了批评。

Furthermore, Glassnode's report has highlighted the increasing popularity of restaking and liquid restaking tokens, which have a significant impact on Ethereum's inflation rate and holders. These tokens, offering highly attractive yields, facilitate a wealth transfer from non-staked ETH holders to their staked counterparts.

此外，Glassnode 的报告强调了重新抵押和流动性重新抵押代币的日益普及，这对以太坊的通货膨胀率和持有者产生了重大影响。这些代币提供极具吸引力的收益率，促进财富从非质押 ETH 持有者向质押持有者转移。

Consequently, there is a potential shift in the "real yield" within the Ethereum ecosystem, potentially favoring projects that issue derivative tokens.

因此，以太坊生态系统内的“实际收益率”可能会发生变化，可能有利于发行衍生代币的项目。

Amidst the uncertainty, a recent analysis conducted by Changelly, a prominent cryptocurrency data provider, has provided a glimmer of optimism for Ethereum investors. The analysis predicts that Ethereum could experience a remarkable surge in price following the Bitcoin halving event.

在不确定性中，著名加密货币数据提供商 Changelly 最近进行的一项分析为以太坊投资者带来了一线乐观情绪。该分析预测，在比特币减半事件之后，以太坊的价格可能会出现显着上涨。

Changelly forecasts that on April 21, 2024, just one day after the halving, Ethereum could reach a price of $3,171.61. This prediction has ignited anticipation among Ethereum investors, who eagerly look forward to the potential for substantial growth.

Changelly 预测，2024 年 4 月 21 日，也就是减半后的第二天，以太坊的价格可能会达到 3,171.61 美元。这一预测引发了以太坊投资者的期待，他们热切期待其大幅增长的潜力。

Changelly's analysis extends beyond the immediate aftermath of the Bitcoin halving, offering a bullish long-term outlook for Ethereum. By June 2025, Changelly suggests that Ethereum could surpass its previous all-time high and reach an impressive price of $4,964.07. Such a milestone would mark a new record for the cryptocurrency and signal continued growth and potential for further appreciation.

Changelly 的分析超出了比特币减半后的影响范围，为以太坊提供了看涨的长期前景。 Changelly 表示，到 2025 年 6 月，以太坊可能会超越之前的历史高点，达到 4,964.07 美元的令人印象深刻的价格。这样的里程碑将标志着加密货币的新纪录，并标志着持续增长和进一步升值的潜力。

However, Ethereum continues to face challenges in overcoming key resistance levels, particularly the $3,200 mark. The cryptocurrency remains below this significant threshold, along with the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, indicating persistent bearish pressure.

然而，以太坊在克服关键阻力位方面继续面临挑战，特别是 3,200 美元大关。该加密货币与 100 小时简单移动平均线一起仍低于这一重要阈值，表明持续的看跌压力。

Additionally, a notable bearish trend line has formed with resistance at $3,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Following a brief period of consolidation, Ethereum attempted a minor recovery, briefly exceeding the $3,000 resistance zone.

此外，在 ETH/USD 小时图上，一条显着的看跌趋势线已形成，阻力位为 3,120 美元。经过短暂的盘整后，以太坊尝试小幅复苏，短暂突破 3,000 美元阻力区。

However, this upward momentum was short-lived as bears reasserted control near the $3,280 resistance zone, resulting in a subsequent downturn. The price retraced below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, underscoring the prevailing bearish sentiment.

然而，这种上涨势头是短暂的，因为空头重新控制了 3,280 美元阻力区，导致随后的低迷。价格回落至 23.6% 斐波那契回撤位下方，凸显了普遍的看跌情绪。

Overall, Ethereum finds itself at a critical juncture, grappling with geopolitical tensions, regulatory concerns, and technical resistance levels. While the Hong Kong ETF approval offered a brief respite, its impact has been overshadowed by the broader market turmoil.

总体而言，以太坊发现自己正处于一个关键时刻，正在应对地缘政治紧张局势、监管担忧和技术阻力水平。虽然香港 ETF 的批准提供了短暂的喘息机会，但其影响已被更广泛的市场动荡所掩盖。

Ethereum investors must remain vigilant, closely monitoring geopolitical developments and regulatory updates that could further influence the cryptocurrency's trajectory. Technical analysis suggests that Ethereum faces resistance at key levels, but long-term predictions by Changelly offer a glimmer of hope for a bullish future.

以太坊投资者必须保持警惕，密切关注可能进一步影响加密货币走势的地缘政治发展和监管更新。技术分析表明，以太坊在关键水平面临阻力，但 Changelly 的长期预测为看涨的未来带来了一线希望。