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以太坊汽油费已暴跌至六个月低点,引发了加密货币分析师的猜测。 4 月 27 日,平均交易费跌至 1.12 美元,表明市场情绪可能发生转变,山寨币有可能上涨。费用下降是由于人们对 ERC-404 代币的兴趣激增,这使得 2 月份的 Gas 费达到了八个月来的最高点。目前的费用下降,加上 ETH 的小幅上涨和以太坊第二层代币的强劲表现,表明山寨币可能出现牛市。
Ethereum Gas Fees Plummet, Signaling Potential Altcoin Rally
以太坊汽油费暴跌,预示着山寨币潜在的反弹
Ethereum's transaction fees, a key indicator of network activity and market sentiment, have plummeted to their lowest levels in six months. This significant decline, which fell to $1.12 on April 27, has sparked speculation among crypto analysts about the possibility of an imminent altcoin rally.
以太坊的交易费用是网络活动和市场情绪的关键指标,已降至六个月来的最低水平。这一大幅下跌在 4 月 27 日跌至 1.12 美元,引发了加密货币分析师对山寨币即将上涨的可能性的猜测。
Historically, fluctuations in Ethereum gas fees have often mirrored market sentiment, with peaks coinciding with market tops and lows signaling potential market bottoms. The current decrease in gas fees suggests a shift in sentiment, potentially heralding the beginning of a bullish period for altcoins.
从历史上看,以太坊汽油费的波动往往反映了市场情绪,峰值与市场顶部一致,而低点则预示着潜在的市场底部。目前汽油费的下降表明市场情绪发生转变,可能预示着山寨币看涨时期的开始。
Altcoin Rally Imminent?
山寨币反弹即将来临?
Santiment, a leading crypto analytics platform, suggests that the drop in gas fees could indicate a shift in sentiment and the beginning of an altcoin rally. Despite recent market retracements, the decreased demand and network pressure could lead to a quicker bullishness for Ethereum and other altcoins than anticipated.
领先的加密分析平台 Santiment 表示,汽油费的下降可能表明情绪的转变和山寨币反弹的开始。尽管最近市场出现回调,但需求下降和网络压力可能会导致以太坊和其他山寨币的看涨速度比预期更快。
The decline in gas fees coincides with a modest rally in ETH, which has gained 0.7% in the past fourteen days. Additionally, tokens associated with Ethereum layer-2 networks, such as Optimism (OP), Arbitrum (ARB), and Polygon (MATIC), have been among the top-performing assets in the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization lately.
汽油费下降的同时,ETH 也小幅上涨,在过去 14 天里上涨了 0.7%。此外,与以太坊第 2 层网络相关的代币,例如 Optimism (OP)、Arbitrum (ARB) 和 Polygon (MATIC),最近已跻身市值排名前 50 的加密货币中表现最好的资产之列。
Surge in Ethereum Circulating Supply
以太坊流通供应量激增
Alongside the drop in gas fees, Ethereum has also experienced a surge in its circulating supply. Over the past month, 74,458 new ETH tokens were issued, while only 57,516 were burned, resulting in a net increase of 16,979 new Ether.
除了汽油费下降之外,以太坊的流通供应量也出现激增。过去一个月,新发行了 74,458 枚 ETH 代币,而仅销毁了 57,516 枚,净增加了 16,979 枚新以太币。
This increase in supply contrasts with the previous five months, which saw a steady deflationary trend. Nonetheless, over 437,000 ETH tokens have been burned since the Ethereum network transitioned to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism, known as the Merge, in September 2022.
供应量的增加与前五个月形成鲜明对比,前五个月出现了稳定的通货紧缩趋势。尽管如此,自 2022 年 9 月以太坊网络过渡到权益证明共识机制(称为合并)以来,已有超过 437,000 个 ETH 代币被销毁。
Analysts speculate that the combination of lower gas fees and increased supply could lead to heightened activity on the Ethereum network, benefiting other altcoins as well.
分析师推测,较低的汽油费和增加的供应量可能会导致以太坊网络上的活动加剧,从而使其他山寨币受益。
Cryptocurrency Market and Fed's Interest Rate Decision
加密货币市场与美联储利率决定
As the cryptocurrency market braces for a pivotal week – the release of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 1, BTC and altcoins brace up for mounting pressure. Over the past weekend, BTC's price experienced a 2.2% correction, slipping below $62,500, while some top altcoins declined by 4-10%.
随着加密货币市场即将迎来关键的一周——美联储将于 5 月 1 日发布利率决定,比特币和山寨币将面临越来越大的压力。过去的周末,BTC 的价格经历了 2.2% 的回调,跌破 62,500 美元,而一些顶级山寨币则下跌了 4-10%。
This downturn underscores the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic events and investor sentiment. Market analysts' expectations about the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision lean heavily towards maintaining current rates.
这种低迷凸显了市场对宏观经济事件和投资者情绪的敏感性。市场分析师对美联储即将做出的利率决定的预期很大程度上倾向于维持当前利率。
However, recent economic indicators from the United States have injected uncertainty. Weaker-than-expected GDP figures hint at a potential economic slowdown. In contrast, elevated Core PCE inflation figures suggest a growing concern about the possibility of stagflation, a combination of slow economic growth and rising inflation.
然而,美国近期的经济指标却带来了不确定性。 GDP数据弱于预期暗示经济可能放缓。相比之下,核心个人消费支出通胀数据的上升表明,人们越来越担心经济增长缓慢和通胀上升相结合的滞胀可能性。
While this is still speculative, it has already impacted market sentiment. As a result, expectations have changed, and investors now expect only one interest rate cut in 2024, a significant reduction from the initial forecast of seven cuts at the beginning of the year and three predicted in March.
虽然这仍然是推测性的,但它已经影响了市场情绪。因此,预期发生了变化,投资者目前预计 2024 年只会降息一次,较年初预计的七次降息和 3 月份预测的三次降息大幅下调。
Thus, cryptocurrency investors remain on edge as they await further developments. The outcome of the Federal Reserve's decision and subsequent economic data releases, including the April unemployment rate on May 3, will likely dictate market trends in the coming weeks.
因此,加密货币投资者在等待进一步发展时仍保持紧张状态。美联储的决定结果和随后发布的经济数据,包括 5 月 3 日的 4 月份失业率,可能会决定未来几周的市场趋势。
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrencies and digital tokens are highly volatile, and investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this article are solely the author's and do not necessarily reflect the views of Herald Sheets. Herald Sheets is not responsible for the accuracy or reliability of any information provided in this article.
免责声明:加密货币和数字代币波动性很大,投资者在做出任何投资决定之前应进行自己的研究。本文表达的观点仅代表作者的观点,并不一定反映先驱表的观点。 Herald Sheets 不对本文中提供的任何信息的准确性或可靠性负责。
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