暂时不要购买比特币！

如果您现在正在考虑购买比特币，请退后一步——这可能不是介入的理想时机。

If you’re considering buying Bitcoin right now, take a step back—this might not be the ideal time to jump in. When an asset like Bitcoin reaches an all-time high, it often faces a natural pullback as early investors start locking in their profits. This means the price could suddenly drop, and if you buy in at the peak, you risk falling into what’s known as a “bull trap.”

如果您现在正在考虑购买比特币，请退后一步 - 这可能不是介入的理想时机。当像比特币这样的资产达到历史新高时，随着早期投资者开始锁定，它通常会面临自然回调他们的利润。这意味着价格可能会突然下跌，如果您在高峰时买入，您就有可能陷入所谓的“牛市陷阱”。

A bull trap happens when the price initially spikes, drawing in new buyers, only to reverse direction as those who bought at lower prices begin selling to secure their gains. This scenario can be risky, as you might buy high and watch the value fall right after.

当价格最初飙升，吸引新买家，但当那些以较低价格买入的人开始抛售以确保收益时，牛市陷阱就会发生。这种情况可能存在风险，因为您可能会高价买入，但随后就会看到价值下跌。

A more strategic approach is to wait for what traders call a “retracement”—a temporary price pullback to a more stable support level. This type of pullback often follows a significant surge in price and can present a more favorable entry point.

更具战略性的方法是等待交易者所说的“回调”——价格暂时回调至更稳定的支撑位。这种类型的回调通常发生在价格大幅上涨之后，并且可以提供更有利的切入点。

Looking at Bitcoin’s previous price movements, we can see a buildup of selling orders between the $72,000 to $73,000 range. This indicates that Bitcoin’s price might eventually pull back to this level, which could offer a better opportunity to buy. Once a resistance level where investors previously sold, this range could soon transform into a support level where new buyers start stepping in. By waiting for the price to retrace to this support level, you reduce the risk of buying high and allow your investment a better chance to grow over time.

观察比特币之前的价格走势，我们可以看到卖单在 72,000 美元至 73,000 美元范围内积累。这表明比特币的价格最终可能会回落至这一水平，这可能提供更好的购买机会。一旦投资者之前卖出的阻力位，该范围可能很快就会转变为新买家开始介入的支撑位。通过等待价格回撤至该支撑位，您可以降低高位买入的风险，并让您的投资获得更好的收益随着时间的推移，有机会成长。

If you’re serious about buying Bitcoin, it’s wise to wait until it retraces to around the $72,000 to $73,000 range. We can’t predict exactly when this will happen, but looking at historical trends, it’s a likely scenario. Bitcoin, like most financial assets, tends to move in waves. After a strong upward movement, it’s common to see a period of retracement and consolidation, where the price stabilizes before potentially rising again. By waiting for this retracement, you avoid the risk of getting in at the peak and benefit from entering at a more balanced point.

如果您真的想购买比特币，那么明智的做法是等到它回升至 72,000 美元至 73,000 美元左右的范围。我们无法准确预测这种情况何时会发生，但从历史趋势来看，这是一种可能的情况。与大多数金融资产一样，比特币往往呈波浪状波动。在强劲的上涨之后，通常会出现一段回调和盘整期，价格在可能再次上涨之前稳定下来。通过等待这次回调，您可以避免在峰值时入场的风险，并从更平衡的点入场中受益。

Another reason buying Bitcoin at this all-time high is risky is due to some upcoming fundamental news that could impact the market in the short term. Major economic events, highlighted in red on financial calendars, often increase market volatility. High-impact news can influence not only traditional stock markets but also the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin. If the news is negative, it could cause the price of Bitcoin to dip as investors turn cautious. However, if the news is positive and supports economic growth, it could strengthen investor confidence, stabilizing or even boosting Bitcoin’s price. Either way, this news adds a layer of uncertainty, so it might be wise to wait and see how the market responds before making buying decisions.

在如此历史高位购买比特币存在风险的另一个原因是，即将发布的一些基本面消息可能会在短期内影响市场。财经日历上以红色突出显示的重大经济事件往往会增加市场波动。高影响力的新闻不仅可以影响传统股票市场，还可以影响包括比特币在内的加密货币市场。如果消息是负面的，随着投资者变得谨慎，可能会导致比特币价格下跌。然而，如果消息是积极的并支持经济增长，则可能会增强投资者的信心，稳定甚至提振比特币的价格。无论哪种方式，这一消息都增加了一层不确定性，因此在做出购买决定之前等待并观察市场如何反应可能是明智之举。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

In summary, patience and strategy are your best allies when investing in Bitcoin. Rather than rushing in at an all-time high, consider waiting for a retracement to around $72,000 to $73,000. Monitor the market news and be mindful of potential price movements due to economic factors. Setting up a stop-loss for your investments and only investing what you’re comfortable losing will protect you and rationalize your trading decisions. With a thoughtful approach, you can maximize your investment when the timing is right.

总之，耐心和策略是投资比特币时最好的盟友。与其冲入历史高点，不如考虑等待回调至 72,000 美元至 73,000 美元左右。关注市场新闻并注意经济因素导致的潜在价格变动。为您的投资设置止损并仅投资您愿意​​损失的金额，这将保护您并使您的交易决策合理化。通过深思熟虑的方法，您可以在时机成熟时最大化您的投资。

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