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长期交易者的重点是104.990的200天移动平均线。这意味着他们期望更多的弱点,这意味着他们将寻求出售当前的集会。
Longer-term traders are focusing on the 200-day moving average at 104.990. This means they expect more weakness, which means they’ll be looking to sell the current rally.
长期交易者的重点是104.990的200天移动平均线。这意味着他们期望更多的弱点,这意味着他们将寻求出售当前的集会。
Traders should also look for increased volatility since we’re in a news-driven market.
由于我们处于新闻驱动的市场,交易者还应该寻找增加的波动性。
At 15:11 GTM, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading 108.182, up 0.239 or +0.22%.
在15:11 GTM时,美元指数的交易为108.182,上升0.239或 +0.22%。
U.S. PCE Inflation Remains Sticky
美国PCE通货膨胀仍然很粘
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3 percent in January and increased by 2.5 percent year-over-year, decreasing from December’s 2.6 percent. The core PCE, which excludes food and energy and is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, also rose 0.3 percent and decreased to 2.6 percent annually, compared to an upwardly revised 2.9 percent. These readings aligned with economists’ predictions and indicated that while inflation is diminishing, it remains elevated above the Fed’s 2 percent target.
经济分析局报告说,一月份的个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数上涨0.3%,同比增长2.5%,比12月的2.6%下降。不包括粮食和能源的核心PCE受到美联储密切监视的核心PCE,也增长了0.3%,每年下降至2.6%,而向上修订的2.9%。这些读数与经济学家的预测保持一致,并表明,尽管通货膨胀率在减少,但它仍然高于美联储2%的目标。
Moreover, market participants continued to price in 61 basis points of rate cuts this year, with the first cut not fully anticipated until July, according to LSEG data. Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, mentioned that while inflation showed signs of cooling and the PCE reading came in as expected, the Fed could face a dilemma as broader economic indicators hint at a slowing economy.
此外,根据LSEG数据,市场参与者继续以61个基准降低速度的降低点,直到7月才完全削减。斯巴达资本证券(Spartan Capital Securities)的首席市场经济学家彼得·迪迪洛(Peter Cardillo)提到,尽管通货膨胀表现出冷却的迹象,而PCE阅读的迹象如预期的那样,但由于更广泛的经济指标暗示了经济缓慢,美联储可能会面临困境。
"The Fed has a tough decision to make because while inflation is coming down slowly, the economic indicators are showing a slowing economy," Cardillo stated.
Cardillo说:“美联储做出了艰难的决定,因为当通货膨胀缓慢下降时,经济指标表现出缓慢的经济状况。”
Tariff Threats Increase Market Pressures
关税威胁增加了市场压力
Furthermore, investor sentiment faced pressure from renewed tariff threats by U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump announced that 25 percent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico would take effect on March 4, which is earlier than previously announced.
此外,投资者的情绪面临着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)新的关税威胁的压力。特朗普宣布,从加拿大和墨西哥进口的25%的关税将于3月4日生效,这比先前宣布的要早。
Additionally, 10 percent duties on Chinese goods and proposed 25 percent tariffs on European Union imports contributed to market jitters, increasing fears of an escalating global trade war.
此外,对中国商品的10%关税,并提出对欧盟进口的25%的关税导致了市场烦恼,这增加了人们对全球贸易战不断升级的担忧。
The Canadian Dollar fell sharply, with USD/CAD rising by 0.6 percent to trade at 1.3808. Meanwhile, the Euro remained largely unchanged, trading at 1.1171.
加拿大美元急剧下跌,贸易量急剧下降0.6%,至1.3808。同时,欧元在很大程度上保持不变,交易量为1.1171。
In other economic news, the University of Michigan’s preliminary reading of the consumer sentiment index for March fell to 63.0, compared to February’s reading of 67.0 and economists’ estimate of 66.0. This decline in sentiment could dampen consumer spending in the coming months.output: Longer-term traders are focusing on the 200-day moving average at 104.990.
在其他经济新闻中,密歇根大学对3月份消费者情感指数的初步阅读降至63.0,而2月份的阅读67.0和经济学家的估计值为66.0。这种情绪下降可能会在未来一个月内削弱消费者的支出。出口:长期交易者的重点是104.990的200天移动平均线。
This means they expect more weakness, which means they’ll be looking to sell the current rally.
这意味着他们期望更多的弱点,这意味着他们将寻求出售当前的集会。
Traders should also look for increased volatility since we’re in a news-driven market.
由于我们处于新闻驱动的市场,交易者还应该寻找增加的波动性。
At 15:11 GMT, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading 108.182, up 0.239 or +0.22%.
格林尼治标准时间15:11,美元指数的交易为108.182,上升0.239或 +0.22%。
Inflation Data in Focus
焦点中的通货膨胀数据
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% in January and increased by 2.5% year-over-year, down from December’s 2.6%. The core PCE, which excludes food and energy and is closely watched by the Fed, also rose 0.3% month-over-month and eased to 2.6% annually, down from an upwardly revised 2.9%. These readings met economists’ expectations and suggested that while inflation is easing, it remains sticky above the Fed’s 2% target.
经济分析局报告说,一月份的个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数上涨0.3%,同比增长2.5%,比12月的2.6%下降。核心PCE不包括食物和能源,并受到美联储密切关注的核心,也增加了0.3%的月份,每年降至每年2.6%,低于向上修订的2.9%。这些读物达到了经济学家的期望,并建议在通货膨胀缓解时,它仍然高于美联储的2%目标。
Moreover, market participants continued to price in 61 basis points of rate cuts this year, with the first cut not fully expected until July, according to LSEG data. Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, noted that while inflation showed signs of cooling and the PCE reading came in as expected, the Fed could face a dilemma as broader economic indicators point to a slowing economy.
此外,根据LSEG数据,市场参与者继续以61个基准降低速度降低的价格,直到7月才完全削减。斯巴达资本证券的首席市场经济学家彼得·迪迪洛(Peter Cardillo)指出,尽管通货膨胀显示出冷却的迹象,而PCE读数则如预期的那样,但由于更广泛的经济指标指出经济缓慢,美联储可能会面临困境。
“The Fed has a tough decision to make because while inflation is coming down slowly and the PCE reading came in as expected, the economic indicators are showing a slowing economy,” Cardillo said.
Cardillo说:“美联储做出了艰难的决定,因为当通货膨胀缓慢而PCE的阅读量逐渐下降时,经济指标表现出缓慢的经济状况。”
Tariff Threats Weigh on Sentiment
关税威胁对情感压力
Additionally, investor sentiment was pressured by renewed tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump announced that 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico would take effect on March 4, which is earlier than previously indicated.
此外,投资者的情绪受到美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的新关税威胁的压力。特朗普宣布,从加拿大和墨西哥进口的25%关税将于3月4日生效,这比以前所指出的要早。
Furthermore, 10% duties on Chinese goods and proposed 25% tariffs on European Union imports added to market jitters, reviving fears of an escalating global trade war.
此外,对中国商品的10%关税,并提出了对欧盟进口的25%关税,增加了市场上的烦恼,恢复了对全球贸易战不断升级的担忧。
The
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