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过去一周,加密货币总市值下降了 11.53%,至 3.2 万亿美元。在大规模崩盘中,模因币经历了下跌。
Over the past week, the total crypto market cap has dropped by 11.53% to $3.2 trillion. Amid the massive crash, meme coins witnessed a downfall from a peak of $120 billion to the current valuation of $93.26 billion.
过去一周,加密货币总市值下降了 11.53%,至 3.2 万亿美元。在这场大规模崩盘中,meme 币的估值从 1200 亿美元的峰值跌至目前的 932.6 亿美元。
Among the top meme coins, Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) took a 22% hit, dropping to $0.3135. It currently has a market cap of $46.18 billion and has recorded a 32% downfall over the past 30 days.
在顶级 meme 代币中,狗狗币 (CRYPTO: DOGE) 遭受了 22% 的打击,跌至 0.3135 美元。目前其市值为 461.8 亿美元,过去 30 天下跌了 32%。
Amid such bearish conditions, Dogecoin’s crucial support at $0.30 remains solid. Will Dogecoin leap into bullish action as Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) holds the fort at $95K?
在如此看跌的情况下,狗狗币 0.30 美元的关键支撑位仍然稳固。随着比特币(加密货币:BTC)坚守 9.5 万美元,狗狗币会跳入看涨行动吗?
Dogecoin Floating Above $0.30 Aims A Rebound Run
狗狗币浮动在 0.30 美元上方,目标是反弹
In the daily chart, the DOGE price action showcases a bullish failure to hold the rising channel pattern. With a bearish engulfing candle on December 9, the DOGE price fell by 11.13%, resulting in a breakdown rally. The breakdown rally extended to a $0.30 psychological mark amid the broader market correction.
在日线图中,DOGE 价格走势显示看涨未能守住上升通道模式。 12 月 9 日,随着一根看跌吞没蜡烛,DOGE 价格下跌 11.13%,导致反弹反弹。在大盘调整期间,突破反弹延伸至 0.30 美元的心理关口。
Currently, the DOGE price is fluctuating between the 50-day EMA line and the 100-day EMA line. With rejections from the dynamic levels, the meme coin consolidates over the weekend. Currently, Dogecoin is trading at $0.3141 with a minor growth of 0.5%.
目前,DOGE价格在50日EMA线和100日EMA线之间波动。由于动态水平的拒绝,模因币在周末进行了盘整。目前,狗狗币的交易价格为 0.3141 美元,小幅上涨 0.5%。
Amid the consolidation, the daily RSI line has flattened slightly above the oversold boundary level. This increases the chances of a reversal if the meme coin regains momentum.
在盘整过程中,日线 RSI 线已趋于略高于超卖边界水平。如果模因币恢复势头,这会增加逆转的机会。
Furthermore, the recovery run is trading close to a long-coming support trendline. This adds to the underlying support for Dogecoin, increasing the chances of upside.
此外,复苏运行接近长期的支撑趋势线。这增加了对狗狗币的潜在支持,增加了上涨的机会。
Based on the price action levels, Dogecoin’s immediate resistance is $0.38 and the $0.40 psychological mark. Conversely, a breakdown below the support elements of the local trendline and the 100-day EMA line could drop to the 200-day EMA at $0.2198. Hence, in the current situation, the downside risk for Dogecoin remains nearly 30%.
根据价格走势水平,狗狗币的直接阻力位为 0.38 美元和 0.40 美元的心理关口。相反,如果跌破当地趋势线和 100 日均线的支撑位,则可能会跌至 0.2198 美元的 200 日均线。因此,在目前的情况下,狗狗币的下行风险仍然接近30%。
Analyst Projects Parabolic Rise To $20
分析师预计抛物线将上涨至 20 美元
Despite the increase in price volatility in the short term, the larger trend anticipates a parabolic rise. In a recent tweet by an independent technical analyst Ali Martinez, a rising channel in Dogecoin highlighted a similar pattern last seen in 2017 and 2021.
尽管短期内价格波动加剧,但更大的趋势预计将呈抛物线式上涨。在独立技术分析师 Ali Martinez 最近的一条推文中,狗狗币的上涨通道凸显了 2017 年和 2021 年出现的类似模式。
Back then, Dogecoin began a parabolic run of 220%, retraced by 40%, and then rallied 5000%. This pattern repeated in 2021 when the Dogecoin price surged 476%, retraced 56% and then skyrocketed by 12,000%. With history potentially repeating itself, Dogecoin surged 240% in 2024 and has witnessed a retracement of 46%.
当时,狗狗币开始了 220% 的抛物线运行,回撤 40%,然后反弹 5000%。这种模式在 2021 年再次出现,当时狗狗币价格飙升 476%,回撤 56%,然后飙升 12,000%。随着历史可能重演,狗狗币在 2024 年飙升了 240%,并出现了 46% 的回撤。
Considering the parabolic history, Dogecoin’s upside potential marks a price target of $20. While this target seems optimistic, the rising channel’s overhead trendline brings it under the bullish radar.
考虑到抛物线历史,狗狗币的上涨潜力标志着 20 美元的价格目标。虽然这个目标看起来很乐观,但上升通道的上方趋势线使其受到看涨的关注。
Dogecoin OI Drop And High Liquidations Warns A Crash
狗狗币 OI 下跌和高清算警告崩盘
With the increase in price volatility last week, the Dogecoin open interest has dropped to $1.95 billion, crashing under the $2 trillion mark. This marks a lack of interest among Dogecoin.
随着上周价格波动加剧,狗狗币未平仓合约已降至 19.5 亿美元,跌破 2 万亿美元大关。这标志着狗狗币缺乏兴趣。
Furthermore, the long-to-short ratio has turned bearish, dropping to 0.981. The liquidations over the past 24 hours in Dogecoin have reached $19.33 million.
此外,多空比率已转为看跌,跌至0.981。过去 24 小时,狗狗币的清算额已达到 1933 万美元。
With the bulls suffering $11.45 million in long liquidations, the bearish sentiments are on the rise. Further adding to the declining sentiments, the Dogecoin OI-weighted funding rate has dropped from 0.0497% to 0.0053%.
随着多头遭受 1145 万美元的多头平仓,看空情绪正在上升。狗狗币 OI 加权融资利率从 0.0497% 降至 0.0053%,进一步加剧了市场情绪的下滑。
Conclusion
结论
The OI crash and drop in funding rates reveal a massive turnaround in derivative sentiments, with sellers taking control. Hence, the short-term derivatives market is extremely bearish, with sellers anticipating that the trend will continue.
OI 暴跌和融资利率下降揭示了衍生品情绪的巨大转变,卖方占据了主导地位。因此,短期衍生品市场极度悲观,卖家预计这一趋势将持续下去。
However, the technical signals and historical patterns are projecting a bounce-back rally, and with the market as a witness, the meme coins are known for their high fluctuations. Hence, the ongoing correction could be considered healthy if it sustains above the support trendline.
然而,技术信号和历史模式都预示着反弹行情,并且在市场的见证下,米姆币以高波动着称。因此,如果持续的修正维持在支撑趋势线之上,则可以被认为是健康的。
In short, optimistic buyers could find the dip as a potential entry opportunity.
简而言之,乐观的买家可能会发现下跌是一个潜在的入场机会。
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