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比特币和狗狗币是加密货币中相关性最大的货币之一,尤其是在市场周期转变期间。
Bitcoin and Dogecoin have shown one of the strongest correlations among cryptocurrencies, especially during market cycle transitions. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin's movements into and out of the crypto market have historically mirrored Dogecoin's price trends very closely.
比特币和狗狗币显示出加密货币中相关性最强的货币之一,尤其是在市场周期转变期间。作为领先的加密货币,比特币进出加密市场的走势在历史上与狗狗币的价格趋势非常接近。
Now, as Bitcoin rallies towards new all-time highs in 2023, technical analysis is presenting an interesting case for where Dogecoin could be headed next year.
现在,随着比特币在 2023 年升至历史新高,技术分析为狗狗币明年的发展方向提供了一个有趣的案例。
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800-Day Trend: Dogecoin Surges To $5 In Coming Months?
800 天趋势:狗狗币在未来几个月飙升至 5 美元?
According to a crypto analyst on social media platform X, these patterns often extend beyond immediate price movements. For instance, the number of days between Bitcoin's cyclical bottoms and Dogecoin's subsequent peaks has shown a consistent rhythm.
根据社交媒体平台 X 上的一位加密货币分析师的说法,这些模式通常超出了即时的价格变动范围。例如,比特币的周期性底部和狗狗币随后的峰值之间的天数表现出一致的节奏。
Specifically, technical analysis shows that there's been a consistent pattern of roughly 800 days between Bitcoin's bottom and Dogecoin's next major peak. The historical data supporting this theory is compelling.
具体来说,技术分析表明,比特币的底部和狗狗币的下一个主要峰值之间存在大约 800 天的一致模式。支持这一理论的历史数据令人信服。
The first time this pattern showed up was in 2017, when the Dogecoin price peaked 868 days after Bitcoin's bottom of the preceding bear phase in 2015. Once again, the 2021 bull rally exhibited this same phenomenon, with Dogecoin peaking at its current all-time high of $0.7316 875 days after Bitcoin's bottom in 2019.
这种模式首次出现是在 2017 年,当时狗狗币价格在 2015 年比特币触底后 868 天达到峰值。2021 年的牛市反弹再次展现了同样的现象,狗狗币价格达到了当前的历史最高点比特币在 2019 年触底 875 天后达到 0.7316 美元的高点。
This ongoing market cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory. Bitcoin reached its most recent bottom at $15,422 during the first half of 2023, following a long bear market that saw significant declines across the crypto industry in 2022 and early 2023. Since then, Bitcoin has entered a new bullish phase, gaining momentum in the second half of 2023 and throughout 2024.
当前的市场周期似乎遵循类似的轨迹。在经历了 2022 年和 2023 年初整个加密货币行业大幅下跌的长期熊市之后,比特币在 2023 年上半年触及了最近的底部 15,422 美元。此后,比特币进入了一个新的看涨阶段,并在第二个阶段获得了势头。 2023 年下半年和 2024 年全年。
Keeping the 800-day trend in mind, Dogecoin's next major peak could align with a timeline of roughly 800 days from Bitcoin's 2023 bottom. This projection places Dogecoin's potential peak around March Or April 2024.
考虑到 800 天的趋势,狗狗币的下一个主要峰值可能与比特币 2023 年触底约 800 天的时间线一致。该预测将狗狗币的潜在峰值置于 2024 年 3 月或 4 月左右。
In terms of price targets, the analysis provides an optimistic outlook for Dogecoin. Based on historical price performance and the scale of previous rallies, a price of $5 has been identified as a realistic target for Dogecoin around the projected timeline.
就价格目标而言,分析为狗狗币提供了乐观的前景。根据历史价格表现和之前反弹的规模,5 美元的价格已被确定为狗狗币在预计时间内的现实目标。
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.32, down 1.8% in the past 24 hours. If this trend repeats itself, Dogecoin's price could soar by 1,460% from its current levels to new all-time highs.
截至撰写本文时,狗狗币的交易价格为 0.32 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌了 1.8%。如果这种趋势重演,狗狗币的价格可能会从当前水平飙升 1,460% 至历史新高。
While this seems ultra bullish, it pales in comparison to other predictions of Dogecoin price peaks. Several analysts have speculated that Dogecoin could hit as high as $20 in 2025.
虽然这看起来非常乐观,但与狗狗币价格峰值的其他预测相比,它显得相形见绌。一些分析师推测狗狗币的价格可能会在 2025 年达到 20 美元。
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