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在技术指标和市场情绪数据的支撑下,狗狗币(DOGE)价格似乎已准备好出现重大看涨逆转。
Cryptocurrency markets have experienced a downturn in recent weeks, with several digital assets facing substantial selling pressure. However, amidst the broader bearish sentiment, some memecoins, such as Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE), appear to be presenting a case for a potential bullish reversal.
最近几周,加密货币市场经历了低迷,多种数字资产面临巨大的抛售压力。然而,在更广泛的看跌情绪中,一些模因币,例如狗狗币(加密货币:DOGE),似乎提供了潜在看涨逆转的理由。
Here are four key indicators suggesting a possible upward trajectory for DOGE:
以下四个关键指标表明 DOGE 可能呈上升趋势:
1. Bouncing Off Key Support Level
1. 从关键支撑位反弹
Technical indicators, highlighted by crypto analyst CRG, show resilience in both Dogecoin and PEPE, another prominent memecoin.
加密货币分析师 CRG 强调的技术指标显示了狗狗币和另一种著名模因币 PEPE 的弹性。
According to CRG, “DOGE + PEPE both bouncing from important areas. The memecoin demise is greatly exaggerated IMO. Next leg up gonna take many by surprise.”
CRG 表示,“DOGE + PEPE 均从重要区域反弹。在我看来,模因币的消亡被严重夸大了。下一步将会让很多人感到惊讶。”
A closer examination of Dogecoin’s price action reveals that it has maintained a daily close above the crucial support level of $0.385 for nine consecutive days, despite encountering significant selling pressure.
仔细研究狗狗币的价格走势就会发现,尽管遇到了巨大的抛售压力,但它仍连续 9 个交易日将收盘价维持在 0.385 美元的关键支撑位之上。
This sustained resilience above a key support level could be hinting at a potential reversal in the short-term price trend for DOGE.
这种高于关键支撑位的持续弹性可能暗示着 DOGE 短期价格趋势可能出现逆转。
2. Bullish Market Structure
2.看涨的市场结构
Further technical insight is provided by crypto analyst Gonzo, who offered a granular price analysis of Dogecoin.
加密货币分析师奇闻趣事提供了进一步的技术见解,他对狗狗币进行了精细的价格分析。
In Gonzo’s words, “DOGE 4H EMA100 -> acting as resistance4H EMA200 -> acting as support.
用 Gonzo 的话说,“DOGE 4H EMA100 -> 作为阻力位 4H EMA200 -> 作为支撑位。
Until we flip 4H EMA100 we will just chop in between, don’t want to see it lose 4H EMA200 tho.”
在我们翻转 4H EMA100 之前,我们只会在两者之间切入,但不想看到它失去 4H EMA200。”
This analysis highlights the role of the 4-hour exponential moving averages (EMAs) in determining short-term price movements.
该分析强调了 4 小时指数移动平均线 (EMA) 在确定短期价格走势中的作用。
The 4H EMA100 is currently acting as a resistance level, while the 4H EMA200 is providing support. A sustained breach above the 4H EMA100 could pave the way for an upward breakout, whereas a failure to maintain support above the 4H EMA200 might lead to further consolidation or decline.
4H EMA100 目前充当阻力位,而 4H EMA200 则提供支撑。持续突破 4 小时 EMA100 上方可能为向上突破铺平道路,而未能维持 4 小时 EMA200 上方的支撑可能会导致进一步盘整或下跌。
3. Trading Against the Crowd
3. 逆众交易
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez also shared a bullish perspective on DOGE’s immediate outlook.
加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 也对 DOGE 的近期前景表示乐观。
According to Martinez, “Market sentiment for Dogecoin has turned negative. It seems as if traders are getting impatient during the ongoing price consolidation!”
马丁内斯表示,“狗狗币的市场情绪已经转为负面。在持续的价格盘整过程中,交易者似乎变得不耐烦了!”
An analysis of Santiment data, as highlighted by Martinez, shows a sharp decline in both search volume and Weighted Sentiment for Dogecoin.
正如马丁内斯所强调的,对 Santiment 数据的分析显示,狗狗币的搜索量和加权情绪均急剧下降。
Specifically, Weighted Sentiment has plummeted to its lowest point since mid-October, while search volume has dropped to levels not seen since early November.
具体来说,加权情绪已跌至 10 月中旬以来的最低点,而搜索量也降至 11 月初以来的最低水平。
This sustained bearish sentiment among traders could be setting the stage for a potential contrarian move, as بازار often tends to overshoot in both directions, presenting opportunities for逆转交易.
交易者这种持续的看跌情绪可能会为潜在的逆势走势奠定基础,因为巴扎尔往往倾向于双向超调,从而提供逆转交易的机会。
4. Liquidation Dynamics Indicating Potential Upside
4. 清算动态表明潜在的上涨空间
Adding another layer to the bullish case, crypto analyst Carlos Garcia Tapia shared insights into the liquidation heatmap over the past three days.
加密货币分析师卡洛斯·加西亚·塔皮亚(Carlos Garcia Tapia)分享了对过去三天清算热图的见解,为看涨情况增添了另一层。
In Tapia’s words, “FOMO longs just got liquidated on the 3D chart. DOGE.”
用 Tapia 的话说,“FOMO 多头刚刚在 3D 图表上被清算。总督。”
The heatmap, provided by Coinglass, shows a significant liquidation of leveraged long positions, clustered between $0.393 and $0.385 over the past two days.
Coinglass 提供的热图显示,过去两天杠杆多头头寸出现大幅清算,集中在 0.393 美元至 0.385 美元之间。
However, there is a bullish caveat to this scenario. With the majority of longs now liquidated, the next cluster of liquidation orders is positioned around the $0.42 mark.
然而,对于这种情况有一个看涨的警告。由于大部分多头现已清算,下一批清算订单位于 0.42 美元关口附近。
This setup could lead to a bullish candle formation, potentially triggering further liquidations of bearish positions and propelling the price of DOGE upward.
这种设置可能会导致看涨蜡烛形成,可能引发看跌头寸的进一步清算并推动 DOGE 价格上涨。
At press time, DOGE was trading at $0.3843, having experienced a price decline of over 86% from its all-time high of $0.73 reached in May 2021.
截至发稿时,DOGE 的交易价格为 0.3843 美元,较 2021 年 5 月达到的历史高点 0.73 美元下跌了 86% 以上。
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