凯文（Kevin）分析的Dogecoin（Doge）价格动作：Meme Coin的下一个大举动将是什么？

加密货币凯文（Kevin）在他的最新直播中，对Dogecoin的价格行动进行了钻探，强调了对流行的Meme Coin的谨慎和乐观的态度。

Crypto chartist Kevin recently shared his insights on Dogecoin's price action during his latest livestream, highlighting both caution and optimism for the meme coin's next move.

Crypto Chartist Kevin最近分享了他对Dogecoin在最新直播中的价格行动的见解，强调了对Meme Coin的下一步行动的谨慎和乐观。

Speaking to his YouTube audience, Kevin acknowledged Dogecoin's history of dramatic price swings, noting that critical technical levels could spark the next substantial move for the cryptocurrency.

凯文（Kevin）在他的YouTube听众中说，Dogecoin的戏剧性价格波动的历史，并指出，关键的技术水平可能会引发加密货币的下一个实质性行动。

When Will Dogecoin’s Next Big Move Be?

Dogecoin的下一个大举动何时会？

Kevin pointed out Dogecoin's pattern of large retracements followed by new highs in previous bull markets. “Look at these moves, right? Every single pullback that Dogecoin got in the previous bull market—56%, 57%, 53%—all led to new highs,” he said, underscoring the coin's cyclical price behavior.

凯文（Kevin）指出了多霉素（Dogecoin）的大回曲模式，随后在以前的牛市中是新的高点。 “看看这些动作，对吗？他说：“狗狗币在以前的牛市中得到的每一次回调（56％，57％，53％）都导致了新的高点。”

He also compared Dogecoin's pullbacks from 2022 onward to what happened in its earlier cycles: “In this bull market so far, Dogecoin had a 65% correction, now it’s had a 58% correction. We're doing the same thing that we've always done.”

他还将Dogecoin从2022年开始的回调与较早的周期中发生的事情进行了比较：“到目前为止，Dogecoin在这个牛市上进行了65％的纠正，现在进行了58％的纠正。我们正在做与一直做的同样的事情。”

Despite Dogecoin's tendency to rebound from retracements, Kevin highlighted specific threshold levels that need to be recaptured for the next substantial move up. “Doge has a mission to accomplish, and that is to get back above the macro golden pocket and the weekly bull market support band, which is now at $0.30,” he explained. From his perspective, “If Dogecoin starts closing weekly candles above $0.30, I have no doubt in my mind that we will come back up to the macro 0.786 [Fibonacci level] … that $0.48-level, and then probably head higher from there.”

尽管Dogecoin倾向于从回溯中反弹，但Kevin强调了特定的阈值水平，这些阈值水平需要重新捕获以进行下一个实质性移动。他解释说：“ Doge的任务要完成，这是要回到宏观金袋和每周牛市支持乐队的范围上，该乐队现在为0.30美元。”从他的角度来看，“如果Dogecoin开始关闭每周蜡烛以上$ 0.30，我毫无疑问，我们会回到宏观0.786 [fibonacci级别]……那个$ 0.48级别，然后可能从那里高。”

When asked about Dogecoin's current outlook, Kevin cautioned that market conditions—and particularly Bitcoin's performance—would have the final say. “Dogecoin is not going to drive the market; it's going to go where Bitcoin's going.” If Bitcoin remains sideways or dips further, Dogecoin could stall below that $0.30 barrier.

当被问及Dogecoin目前的前景时，凯文警告说，市场状况，尤其是比特币的表现 - 将有最终决定权。 “狗狗币不会推动市场；比特币要去的地方。”如果比特币保持侧面或进一步倾斜，Dogecoin可能会低于$ 0.30的障碍。

His broader thesis is that the crypto market at large, including Dogecoin, is paused in a state of anticipation. Kevin believes key policy changes—such as an end to quantitative tightening (QT), improved inflation data, or interest-rate cuts—could serve as the catalyst for another altcoin rally. Because Dogecoin often closely tracks the general sentiment around Bitcoin and total market cap, broader macro shifts would likely dictate its trajectory.

他更广泛的论点是，包括Dogecoin在内的整个加密货币市场都处于期待状态。凯文（Kevin）认为，关键政策变化（例如定量收紧（QT），改善通货膨胀数据或削减利率的结局）可以作为另一山币集会的催化剂。由于Dogecoin经常密切跟踪比特币和总市值的普遍情绪，因此更广泛的宏观变化可能会决定其轨迹。

“Nothing's changed on Doge […] at any time, it can come down and take this wick down at the $0.20 level. For now, the path of least resistance is down,” Kevin added. Nonetheless, he stressed this could change abruptly if overall market sentiment improves and Bitcoin begins to rally.

“ Doge […]的任何东西都没有改变，它可以下降并以0.20美元的价格将其降低。目前，阻力最小的路径降低了。”凯文补充说。尽管如此，他强调，如果总体市场情绪改善，比特币开始集会，这可能会突然改变。

Overall, Kevin stressed that broader market factors—such as changes in US monetary policy or an overall jump in crypto market confidence—could “flip the switch” for Dogecoin. A strong macro tailwind, he believes, would likely pull DOGE decisively above $0.30, setting the stage for a run back toward $0.48.

总体而言，凯文（Kevin）强调，更广泛的市场因素（例如，美国货币政策的变化或加密市场信心的总体上升）可能会“翻转Dogecoin”。他认为，强大的宏观逆风可能会果断地超过$ 0.30，这使登上舞台返回了0.48美元。

At press time, DOGE trades at $0.232.

发稿时，Doge的交易价格为0.232美元。