Dogecoin（Doge）导航至关重要的技术关头，为未来的价格行动奠定了基础

Dogecoin（Doge）是转变为文化现象的纪念物，最近在一个关键的技术关键时期导航，上周关闭了一张可以决定其未来轨迹的音符。

Dogecoin (DOGE) price closed last week testing the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which could be critical for the memecoin’s future direction.

Dogecoin（Doge）价格上周关闭，测试了0.786斐波那契回回的水平，这对于Memecoin的未来方向可能至关重要。

The weekly chart on Binance (DOGE/USDT) shows that DOGE is now trading at around $0.167, which is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the all-time high to the peak of 2021. This level is a key support zone, and it could be a make-or-break point for DOGE.

Binance（Doge/USDT）的每周图表显示，Doge现在的交易价格约为0.167美元，这是0.786 FibonAcci回撤水平，从历史高峰到2021年的峰值。此水平是一个关键支撑区，并且可能是Doge的Make-Ore-Own-Opk of Doge。

If bulls manage to hold this level, then DOGE could continue to rise and retest the 2021 all-time high. However, if bears sink lower, then DOGE could slide to new lows.

如果公牛设法保持这一水平，那么Doge可能会继续上升并重新测试2021年的历史最高水平。但是，如果熊降低，那么Doge可能会滑到新的低点。

The Importance of the 0.786 Fibonacci Level

0.786斐波那契水平的重要性

The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level is a significant technical indicator. It is used to measure the magnitude of a price move and to identify potential levels of support or resistance.

0.786斐波那契回缩水平是重要的技术指标。它用于测量价格移动的大小，并确定潜在的支持或阻力水平。

In the case of DOGE, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.167 is a critical level to watch. It is the last major level of support before the 2021 all-time low.

如果是Doge，则为0.167美元的0.786斐波那契回撤水平是关键的关键水平。这是2021年历史最低水平之前的最后一个主要支持。

This level is also psychologically important. Traders and investors are likely to pay close attention to this level, and it could have a significant impact on price action.

这个水平在心理上也很重要。贸易商和投资者可能会密切关注这一水平，这可能会对价格行动产生重大影响。

The Descending Trendline

下降趋势线

Another important technical factor to consider is the long-standing descending trendline, which is extending from the May 2021 all-time high.

要考虑的另一个重要技术因素是长期降临的趋势线，该趋势线从2021年5月的历史最高水平延伸。

This trendline has been acting as resistance since November 2024, when DOGE broke out of a bullish pennant pattern. However, the price has now pulled back and is testing the trendline as support.

自2024年11月，当Doge脱颖而出以来，这种趋势线一直是抵抗。但是，价格现在已经退缩，并正在测试趋势线作为支持。

A breakout of this trendline could be bullish for DOGE, signaling that the long-term trend is shifting. However, a breakdown of this trendline could be bearish, signaling that the bears are back in control.

这种趋势线的突破可能是看涨的，这表明长期趋势正在发生变化。但是，这种趋势线的细分可能是看跌，这表明熊已经恢复控制。

The Hammer Candle

锤子蜡烛

Last week, DOGE formed a Hammer candle, which is a bullish reversal pattern. This pattern is characterized by a small real body and a long lower shadow.

上周，Doge形成了锤子蜡烛，这是看涨的逆转模式。这种模式的特征是一个小的真实身体和长长的下阴影。

The Hammer candle suggests that sellers were in control early in the week, but buyers returned later in the week to push the price higher.

锤子蜡烛建议卖家在本周初处于控制状态，但买家在本周晚些时候返回以提高价格。

The Hammer candle is a psychological pattern. It signals to traders that the sellers may be getting tired and that the bulls are beginning to exert more influence.

锤子蜡烛是一种心理模式。它向交易者表示卖家可能会累，公牛开始发挥更大的影响力。

This could lead to a wave of buying pressure, which could help to fuel a bullish reversal.

这可能导致购买压力浪潮，这可能有助于助长看涨的逆转。

Dogecoin Price Speculative Scenarios

Dogecoin价格投机方案

Given the technical indicators and the psychological factors, here are some speculative price action scenarios for DOGE:

鉴于技术指标和心理因素，以下是Doge的一些投机价格动作方案：

Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout and Sustained Uptrend

方案1：看涨爆发和持续上升趋势

If the bulls manage to hold the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $0.167 and generate strong volume, then DOGE could breakout to the upside.

如果公牛设法将0.786的斐波那契水平保持在0.167美元并产生强劲的体积，那么多克可能会突破上涨空间。

The next level of resistance to watch is the 2021 all-time high. If DOGE manages to pierce this level, then it could spark a sustained uptrend.

观看的下一个阻力是2021年历史最高水平。如果Doge设法刺穿了这个水平，那么它可能会引发持续的上升趋势。

This scenario would be favored by traders who are bullish on DOGE and who believe that the memecoin’s best days are yet to come.

这种情况将受到看涨的商人的青睐，他们认为纪念者的最佳时光尚未到来。

Scenario 2: Consolidation and Range-Bound Trading

方案2：合并和界限交易

If the bears and bulls are evenly matched, then DOGE could consolidate in a tight range.

如果熊和公牛均匀地匹配，那么Doge可以在紧密的范围内巩固。

The price could ping pong between the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $0.167 and the 2021 all-time high.

价格可能在0.786斐波那契水平为0.167和2021年历史最高水平之间ping pong。

This scenario would be favored by traders who are neutral on DOGE and who are waiting for a clear signal from the market.

这种情况会受到在Doge中中立并且正在等待市场明确信号的交易者的青睐。

Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown and Deeper Correction

方案3：看跌崩溃和更深的更正

If the bears manage to sink the price lower from the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $0.167, then DOGE could breakdown to new lows.

如果熊队设法从0.786斐波那契水平降低价格为0.167美元，那么总督可能会分解为新的低点。

The next level of support to watch is the 2020 all-time low.

要观看的下一个支持水平是2020年历史最低水平。

This scenario would be favored by traders who are bearish on DOGE and who believe that the memecoin’s bull run has come to an end.

这种情况将受到看不见的交易者的青睐，他们认为Memecoin的公牛奔跑已经结束。

The Importance of Volume and Market Sentiment

数量和市场情绪的重要性

Volume and market sentiment will also be important factors to consider in the coming days and weeks.

在接下来的几天和几周内，数量和市场情绪也将是要考虑的重要因素。

Strong volume during a breakout or breakdown can confirm the validity of the move. For example, if DOGE breaks out of the trendline on high volume, then this would be a bullish signal.

突破或崩溃期间的强量可以确认移动的有效性。例如，如果Doge在高音量上突破了趋势线，那么这将是看涨的信号。

Positive market sentiment can attract buying pressure and fuel a bullish reversal. For example, if there is a lot of interest in DOGE on social media, then this could help to drive the price higher.

积极的市场情绪会吸引购买压力，并助长看涨的逆转。例如，如果在社交媒体上对Doge有很多兴趣，那么这可能有助于提高价格。

Conversely, low volume and negative sentiment can lead to further declines. For example, if there is no interest in DOGE and the price is slipping, then this

相反，低容量和负面情绪可能会导致进一步下降。例如，如果对Doge没有兴趣，价格正在下滑，那么