DOGE空头收紧控制：技术指标闪烁警告，价格修正迫在眉睫

技术分析表明，狗狗币 (DOGE) 可能呈下降趋势，EMA 上形成死亡交叉，EFI 持平，表明缺乏购买活动。 0.12 美元的 1.618 斐波那契水平是潜在的支撑位，但跌破可能导致进一步跌至 0.10 美元。尽管盈利持有者的供应量很大，但 90 天 MCA 表明存在抛售压力，可能导致价格跌破 0.12 美元。

Dogecoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amidst Technical Indicators Suggesting Steep Correction

技术指标显示大幅修正，狗狗币面临看跌压力

Introduction

介绍

Dogecoin [DOGE], once a prominent cryptocurrency known for its meme-inspired mascot, has encountered a series of challenges that have cast doubt over its future trajectory. Technical indicators currently point to a bearish outlook for the coin, raising concerns among investors and analysts alike.

狗狗币 [DOGE] 曾经是一种著名的加密货币，以其受迷因启发的吉祥物而闻名，但它遇到了一系列挑战，让人对其未来发展轨迹产生怀疑。目前的技术指标表明该代币前景看跌，引发了投资者和分析师的担忧。

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Signals a Bearish Cross

指数移动平均线 (EMA) 发出看跌交叉信号

An examination of Dogecoin's Exponential Moving Average (EMA) reveals a significant bearish cross that occurred on April 24th. The 50 EMA (yellow line) crossed over the 20 EMA (yellow line), indicating a shift in momentum towards a downtrend. Since then, the EMA positions have remained unchanged, further emphasizing the bearish sentiment.

对狗狗币指数移动平均线 (EMA) 的检查显示，4 月 24 日发生了一次显着的看跌交叉。 50 EMA（黄线）穿过 20 EMA（黄线），表明势头转向下降趋势。此后，EMA头寸保持不变，进一步强调了看跌情绪。

Death Cross Signals Potential Correction

死亡交叉信号潜在的修正

This EMA cross is commonly referred to as a "death cross" and is typically interpreted as a warning of an imminent steep correction in price. The Elder Force Index (EFI), which measures buying and selling activity, corroborates this potential decline. At the time of writing, the EFI on DOGE's 4-hour chart exhibits a flatline pattern, indicating a significant lack of trader activity and interest in the coin.

这种 EMA 交叉通常被称为“死亡交叉”，通常被解释为价格即将大幅调整的警告。衡量买卖活动的老年人力量指数（EFI）证实了这种潜在的下降。截至撰写本文时，DOGE 4 小时图表上的 EFI 呈现出持平模式，表明交易者活动严重缺乏，也缺乏对该代币的兴趣。

Fibonacci Indicator Suggests Support at $0.12

斐波那契指标显示支撑位为 0.12 美元

The Fibonacci indicator, a technical analysis tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels, further suggests a possible price crash for Dogecoin. The 1.618 Fib level, also known as the golden ratio, is currently positioned at $0.12. This suggests that Dogecoin's immediate support could lie around this level.

斐波那契指标是一种用于确定潜在支撑位和阻力位的技术分析工具，进一步表明狗狗币可能出现价格崩盘。 1.618 Fib 水平（也称为黄金比例）目前位于 0.12 美元。这表明狗狗币的直接支撑可能位于该水平附近。

Failure to Defend Support Could Lead to Further Losses

未能捍卫支持可能会导致进一步损失

If Dogecoin fails to maintain its support at $0.12, it could face further depreciation towards $0.10. However, it is worth noting that despite the coin's recent decline, on-chain data indicates that a substantial portion of the total supply (76.66%) is still profitable.

如果狗狗币未能维持在 0.12 美元的支撑位，它可能会面临进一步贬值至 0.10 美元的情况。然而，值得注意的是，尽管该币最近下跌，但链上数据表明总供应量的很大一部分（76.66％）仍然是有利可图的。

90-Day Performance and Mean Coin Age (MCA)

90 天表现和平均币龄 (MCA)

Dogecoin's 90-day performance, which has seen an 83.65% price increase, may be contributing to the high supply of profitable coins. However, in such scenarios, there is a risk that investors may decide to book profits, especially during periods of slowing bullish momentum.

狗狗币 90 天的表现，价格上涨了 83.65%，可能是导致盈利硬币供应量高的原因之一。然而，在这种情况下，投资者可能会决定获利了结，尤其是在看涨势头放缓期间。

An analysis of the coin's Mean Coin Age (MCA) metric reveals a recent spike, indicating that many older coins have been moved. This typically suggests selling pressure and could coincide with the liquidation of assets.

对代币平均代币年龄（MCA）指标的分析显示，最近出现了峰值，表明许多较旧的代币已被转移。这通常表明存在抛售压力，并且可能与资产清算同时发生。

Conclusion

结论

The current technical indicators for Dogecoin paint a concerning picture, with the death cross, flatline EFI, and Fibonacci indicator all suggesting a potential steep correction. While on-chain data shows a significant portion of the supply is still profitable, the high coin age and potential for profit-taking could further depress the price. Investors are advised to exercise caution and monitor the situation closely, as Dogecoin faces significant headwinds in the short term.

狗狗币当前的技术指标描绘了一幅令人担忧的景象，死亡交叉、平线 EFI 和斐波那契指标都表明可能出现大幅回调。虽然链上数据显示很大一部分供应仍然有利可图，但较高的币龄和获利回吐的潜力可能会进一步压低价格。建议投资者谨慎行事并密切关注事态发展，因为狗狗币短期内面临重大阻力。