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MEME币源源不断,玩家们孜孜不倦地挖掘潜在的“金狗”。在一些 MEME 群组中,玩家共享他们刚刚购买的 MEME 币的 CA(合约地址)。
With an endless stream of MEME coins, players are tirelessly digging for potential "golden dogs." In some MEME groups, players share the CA (contract address) of the MEME coins they just bought. The emergence of new MEME launch platforms has lowered the difficulty of issuing coins, and KOLs continue to drive various MEME projects to dominate the screens.
MEME币源源不断,玩家们孜孜不倦地挖掘潜在的“金狗”。在一些 MEME 群组中,玩家共享他们刚刚购买的 MEME 币的 CA(合约地址)。新MEME发行平台的出现降低了发币难度,KOL不断带动各类MEME项目霸屏。
Although among the thousands of new MEMEs launched daily, only a few succeed, how can one identify potential stocks among the successful MEMEs? Is the rise of leading MEMEs coincidental, and what characteristics are worth noting?
尽管每天推出的数千个新MEME中,只有少数成功,但如何在成功的MEME中识别出潜力股呢?头部MEME的崛起是否是巧合,又有哪些特点值得关注?
To this end, PANews has sorted out 12 popular MEME coins with high market capitalization on Ethereum and Solana and their market performance (the selected targets are the highest market cap projects with the same name on each chain, as of October 18).
为此,PANews整理了以太坊和Solana上12个热门的高市值MEME币及其市场表现(选取的对象为各链上同名市值最高的项目,截至10月18日)。
Over 70% of MEMEs Became Popular This Year, Most Require Holding for at Least Five Months for Amazing Returns
今年超过70%的MEME爆红,多数需要持有至少5个月才能获得惊人回报
According to CoinGecko data, as of October 18, the market capitalization of the MEME sector has surpassed $61 billion, setting a new historical high. Among them, 10 MEME coins have entered the Top 100 of the crypto market, including not only established players like Doge, SHIB, and PEPE but also newcomers like WIF, BONK, and POPCAT.
据CoinGecko数据显示,截至10月18日,MEME板块市值已突破610亿美元,创下历史新高。其中,已有10个MEME币进入加密货币市场前100名,其中既有Doge、SHIB、PEPE等老牌币种,也有WIF、BONK、POPCAT等新晋币种。
The 12 popular MEME coins selected by PANews all emerged after 2023, with the vast majority being popular projects this year, accounting for over 70%. In terms of market size, these projects have a cumulative market capitalization exceeding $5.54 billion, accounting for nearly 9.1% of the overall MEME market capitalization, with POPCAT, Neiro, MOG, SPX, and GIGA having the largest market sizes. This sufficiently demonstrates the market participation of MEMEs.
PANews评选的12个热门MEME币均是2023年之后出现的,绝大多数是今年的热门项目,占比超过70%。从市场规模来看,这些项目累计市值超过55.4亿美元,占MEME整体市值的近9.1%,其中POPCAT、Neiro、MOG、SPX、GIGA市场规模最大。这充分体现了MEME的市场参与度。
Looking at the time it took for each MEME project to reach new highs, it averages 162.7 days. Projects like BITCOIN (HarryPotterObamaSonic10Inu), MOG, SPX, and GIGA took significantly longer, often requiring at least a year or more, indicating that MEMEs validated over a certain period are more likely to gain community recognition. In contrast, MOODENG, GOAT, and Daram surged to their peaks within a month, with the shortest taking only a few days, which is directly related to the current community enthusiasm.
从每个MEME项目创下新高所需的时间来看,平均为162.7天。像 BITCOIN (HarryPotterObamaSonic10Inu)、MOG、SPX 和 GIGA 这样的项目花费的时间明显更长,通常需要至少一年或更长时间,这表明在一定时期内验证的 MEME 更有可能获得社区认可。相比之下,MOODENG、GOAT、Daram 在一个月内就飙升至顶峰,最短只用了几天时间,这与当前社区的热情有直接关系。
From the change in the number of holding addresses after the coin price reached new highs, the average increase is 39.3%. Among these MEME coins, APU and MOODENG lead with address growth rates of 135.7% and 119.9%, respectively. In contrast, projects like BITCOIN, POPCAT, and Neiro showed no significant growth, with rates of only 5.3%, 3.2%, and 1.5%, which may be closely related to their listing on mainstream exchanges, prior accumulation of a sufficient user base, and the timing of price increases.
从币价创新高后的持有地址数量变化来看,平均涨幅为39.3%。在这些 MEME 币中,APU 和 MOODENG 领先,地址增长率分别为 135.7% 和 119.9%。相比之下,BITCOIN、POPCAT、Neiro 等项目却没有出现明显的增长,涨幅仅为 5.3%、3.2%、1.5%,这可能与它们在主流交易所上市、之前积累了足够的用户基础、以及涨价的时间。
Moreover, these MEMEs have generally brought astonishing returns. According to statistics, the average highest return of the 12 MEMEs exceeds 37,000 times. Excluding the extreme value of GIGA at 245,000 times, the average highest increase of other MEME coins is 18,000 times, with BITCOIN, SPX, MOODENG, and GOAT performing particularly well, while Daram and POPCAT lagged behind. Of course, these return rates are based on market capitalization data backtesting, and very few players can capture all the increases, but some players have indeed gained thousands or even tens of thousands of times in unrealized profits.
而且,这些 MEME 普遍带来了惊人的回报。据统计,12个MEME的平均最高回报超过37000次。剔除GIGA 245,000倍的极值,其他MEME币平均最高涨幅为18,000倍,其中BITCOIN、SPX、MOODENG、GOAT表现尤为出色,而Daram和POPCAT表现落后。当然,这些回报率是基于市值数据回测的,很少有玩家能够捕获全部涨幅,但有些玩家确实获得了数千甚至数万倍的未实现利润。
Most Experienced Significant Drawdowns, Average Holding Value Reaches Over $10,000
经历最多大幅下跌,平均持有价值超过 10,000 美元
When measuring the risk control ability of coin prices, the maximum drawdown rate is undoubtedly one of the commonly used indicators and a psychological test for holders. From the data, excluding GOAT and Daram, which have just become popular and are still in an upward channel, other MEME coins have experienced varying degrees of drawdown from their historical highs, with an average maximum drawdown rate of about 49.1%. Among them, MICHI, APU, MOG, and MOODENG saw the largest declines, at 87.7%, 87.5%, 71.1%, and 65.4%, respectively, indicating that their holders face significant loss risks if they bought at the peak. In contrast, GIGA, FWOG, POPCAT, and Neiro's maximum drawdown rates are all well below the average.
在衡量币价风控能力时,最大回撤率无疑是常用指标之一,也是对持有者的心理考验。从数据来看,除去刚刚火爆且仍处于上升通道的GOAT和Daram外,其他MEME币均较历史高位出现了不同程度的回撤,平均最大回撤率约为49.1%。其中,MICHI、APU、MOG、MOODENG跌幅最大,分别为87.7%、87.5%、71.1%、65.4%,表明其持有者如果在高峰时买入,将面临较大的损失风险。相比之下,GIGA、FWOG、POPCAT 和 Neiro 的最大回撤率均远低于平均水平。
Additionally, looking at the number of days required for drawdown recovery, these projects average about 23.9 days. Among them, MICHI, APU, MOG, and MOODENG, which had the highest drawdown
此外,从撤资恢复所需的天数来看,这些项目平均约为 23.9 天。其中回撤最高的是MICHI、APU、MOG、MOODENG
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