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在经历了调整期后的看涨复苏中,比特币和以太坊在衍生品市场上展现出轧空潜力。卖空者以更高的价格积累了大量平仓,可能会推动 BTC 价格飙升至 75,000 美元,ETH 价格飙升至 4,150 美元。即将到来的比特币减半和以太坊的代币化举措增加了四月份轧空的可能性。然而,市场动态仍存在不确定性,投资者在做出投资决定前应谨慎行事。
Cryptocurrencies Poised for Uptrend, Bitcoin and Ethereum Signal Short Squeeze Potential
加密货币有望上涨,比特币和以太坊预示着可能被轧空
After a period of sustained correction, the cryptocurrency landscape is exhibiting signs of a potential uptrend, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) leading the recovery. Notably, these two crypto behemoths have accumulated significant future liquidations at elevated price levels, creating an environment conducive to a short squeeze.
经过一段时间的持续调整后,加密货币格局显示出潜在上涨趋势的迹象,其中比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)引领复苏。值得注意的是,这两个加密货币巨头在价格水平较高的情况下积累了大量的未来清算,创造了有利于轧空的环境。
Bearish Sentiment Yields Opportunity for Short Squeeze
看跌情绪带来了轧空机会
The recent bearish sentiment that pervaded the market has prompted traders to adopt short positions against Bitcoin and Ethereum, resulting in a meaningful accumulation of future liquidations at higher prices. When short-sellers initiate these positions, they specify a liquidation price. If the underlying asset's price rises above this predetermined price, the trader's positions are forcibly closed, triggering the liquidation of their collateral and the purchase of the asset at the liquidation price.
最近市场弥漫的看跌情绪促使交易者对比特币和以太坊采取空头头寸,导致未来以更高的价格进行大量清算。当卖空者发起这些头寸时,他们会指定清算价格。如果标的资产的价格上涨至高于该预定价格,交易者的头寸将被强制平仓,从而触发其抵押品的清算并以清算价格购买资产。
This phenomenon, known as a short squeeze, can ignite a surge in cryptocurrency prices. As the price of the underlying asset increases, it forces the closure of short positions, which in turn leads to the liquidation of collateral and the repurchase of the asset. This cycle can create a positive feedback loop, driving the price of cryptocurrencies even higher.
这种现象被称为轧空,可能会引发加密货币价格飙升。随着标的资产价格上涨,迫使空头头寸平仓,进而导致抵押品清算和资产回购。这个循环可以创造一个正反馈循环,推动加密货币的价格更高。
Bitcoin's Potential Skyrocket to $75,000
比特币的潜力飙升至 75,000 美元
A liquidation heatmap for Bitcoin indicates substantial liquidity pools above the $74,000 mark. Should a short squeeze liquidate these positions, BTC could potentially rally to a new high of $75,000. This would represent a 7% increase from the current price of approximately $70,000.
比特币的清算热图显示大量流动资金池高于 74,000 美元大关。如果轧空平仓,BTC 可能会上涨至 75,000 美元的新高。这将比目前约 70,000 美元的价格上涨 7%。
The heatmap suggests that these liquidity pools could expand further before a short squeeze occurs, potentially leading to a period of consolidation and lower prices as traders increase their short positions in anticipation of a larger profit margin. However, the impending Bitcoin halving on April 20 could trigger the initial liquidations through a sudden price increase.
热图表明,这些流动性池可能会在轧空发生之前进一步扩大,可能会导致一段时间的盘整和价格下跌,因为交易者预计会获得更大的利润率而增加空头头寸。然而,即将到来的 4 月 20 日比特币减半可能会因价格突然上涨而引发最初的清算。
Ethereum's Even Stronger Short Squeeze Case
以太坊更强劲的轧空案例
In comparison to Bitcoin, Ethereum has proportionally higher liquidity pools in the monthly timeframe, making its native token, ETH, a more compelling candidate for a short squeeze. The potential target for ETH is around $4,150, representing a potential 17% rally from its current price of approximately $3,550.
与比特币相比,以太坊在每月时间范围内的流动性池比例更高,这使得其原生代币 ETH 成为空头挤压的更有吸引力的候选者。 ETH 的潜在目标约为 4,150 美元,较目前约 3,550 美元的价格潜在上涨 17%。
The recent interest expressed by BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) in establishing a tokenization fund on Ethereum could provide further impetus for the token's upward movement. However, market makers may choose to hold ETH at current levels to maximize their potential profits from a future short squeeze.
贝莱德(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BLK)最近表达了在以太坊上建立代币化基金的兴趣,这可能会进一步推动该代币的上涨。然而,做市商可能会选择在当前水平持有 ETH,以最大限度地提高未来轧空的潜在利润。
Conclusion: High Odds of Short Squeeze in April
结论:4月份轧空的可能性很大
Current data suggests that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have a high probability of experiencing a short squeeze in April. If realized, such a squeeze could yield investors potential gains of 7% for Bitcoin and 17% for Ethereum. However, it is crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and other factors could influence short-term price movements.
目前的数据表明,比特币和以太坊在四月份都大概率会经历轧空。如果实现的话,这种挤压可能会给投资者带来比特币 7% 和以太坊 17% 的潜在收益。然而,重要的是要记住,加密货币市场本质上是不稳定的,其他因素可能会影响短期价格走势。
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