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自 2023 年 10 月以来,加密货币交易者的看涨情绪大幅下降。然而,Santiment 分析师认为,长期乐观情绪的下降可能不会对价格产生不利影响。最近的市场调整导致基于 Solana 的 meme 币出现大幅调整,包括 Dogwifhat、Bonk、Slerf 和 Ponke。尽管如此,Santiment 分析师仍然认为,随着交易员乐观情绪持续存在,加密货币价格可能会继续走高。
Crypto Optimism Wanes, But Prices May Soar Higher
加密货币乐观情绪减弱,但价格可能飙升
Amidst the recent market correction, crypto traders' belief in an ongoing bull market has dwindled significantly since October 2023. However, on-chain analysts at Santiment assert that this waning long-term optimism does not necessarily portend a downturn in prices.
在最近的市场调整中,加密货币交易者对持续牛市的信心自 2023 年 10 月以来已大幅下降。然而,Santiment 的链上分析师断言,这种长期乐观情绪的减弱并不一定预示着价格的下跌。
Solana Meme Coins Lose Momentum
Solana Meme 币失去动力
Solana-based meme coins, including Dogwifhat, Bonk, Slerf, and Ponke, experienced precipitous corrections on Thursday. The rally that propelled these tokens to remarkable gains in the preceding week has lost steam as a result of the broader crypto market decline, with Bitcoin falling below $70,000.
基于 Solana 的 meme 代币,包括 Dogwifhat、Bonk、Slerf 和 Ponke,在周四经历了急剧调整。由于加密市场整体下滑,比特币跌破 70,000 美元,推动这些代币在前一周取得显着涨幅的涨势已失去动力。
Bullish Enthusiasm Fizzles, But Prices Predicted to Stay Elevated
看涨热情消退,但价格预计将保持高位
Despite the fading "bull market" enthusiasm, Santiment analysts maintain that crypto prices are likely to remain at elevated levels for an extended period as trader optimism lingers. While long-term optimism among market participants has waned since October, analysts emphasize that this decline has historically coincided with a higher probability of continued price increases in cryptocurrencies.
尽管“牛市”热情逐渐消退,但 Santiment 分析师仍然认为,随着交易员乐观情绪持续存在,加密货币价格可能会在较长一段时间内保持在较高水平。尽管市场参与者的长期乐观情绪自 10 月份以来有所减弱,但分析师强调,从历史上看,这种下降与加密货币价格持续上涨的可能性较高有关。
Solana Meme Coin Party Comes to an Abrupt Halt
Solana Meme 硬币派对突然停止
The recent market-wide sell-off, precipitated by Bitcoin's plunge near $66,000 on Thursday, sparked a widespread decline, with speculative assets such as meme coins leading the correction. Solana-based meme coins, which had garnered substantial gains in the preceding week, were particularly hard-hit.
周四,比特币暴跌至 66,000 美元附近,引发了近期的全市场抛售,引发了广泛的下跌,其中 Meme 币等投机资产引领了回调。基于 Solana 的模因币在前一周获得了大幅上涨,受到的打击尤其严重。
Analysts Remain Bullish Despite Waning Enthusiasm
尽管热情减弱,分析师仍然看好
Although the meme coin rally has come to an abrupt end, on-chain analysts at Santiment remain steadfast in their belief that the crypto market remains in a bull run. They observe that while trader optimism may have diminished in the wake of the recent price correction, less long-term optimism has historically been a positive indicator for continued price appreciation in cryptocurrencies.
尽管 meme 币的涨势突然结束,但 Santiment 的链上分析师仍然坚信加密货币市场仍处于牛市。他们观察到,虽然交易者的乐观情绪可能在最近的价格调整后有所减弱,但从历史上看,长期乐观情绪的减弱一直是加密货币价格持续升值的积极指标。
Bull Market Mention Declines, Signaling Reduced Optimism
牛市提及率下降,表明乐观情绪减弱
Santiment analysts gauge trader optimism by tracking the frequency of "bull market" mentions. The chart below illustrates a significant decline in such mentions, from a peak of 2,100 in February to a current level of 450. This decrease in bullish sentiment is one of the factors considered by analysts in their assessment of the market's overall outlook.
Santiment 分析师通过追踪“牛市”提及的频率来衡量交易者的乐观程度。下图显示此类提及次数显着下降,从 2 月份的峰值 2,100 次下降到当前的 450 次。看涨情绪的下降是分析师在评估市场整体前景时考虑的因素之一。
Historical Precedent Suggests Continued Price Growth
历史先例表明价格持续上涨
Despite the tempered optimism among traders, Santiment analysts draw parallels to previous historical periods when reduced long-term optimism actually increased the likelihood of sustained price increases in cryptocurrencies. They anticipate a similar pattern emerging in the current market cycle.
尽管交易员的乐观情绪有所减弱,但 Santiment 分析师将其与之前的历史时期进行了比较,当时长期乐观情绪的下降实际上增加了加密货币价格持续上涨的可能性。他们预计当前的市场周期中会出现类似的模式。
Conclusion
结论
While the waning belief in a bull market may raise concerns among some traders, on-chain analysts at Santiment underscore the resilience of crypto prices in the face of such sentiment shifts. They posit that the decline in long-term optimism observed historically correlates with periods of continued price appreciation in cryptocurrencies. Thus, despite the recent market correction and reduced bullish enthusiasm, the analysts remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the crypto market.
尽管对牛市的信心减弱可能会引起一些交易员的担忧,但 Santiment 的链上分析师强调,面对这种情绪变化,加密货币价格的弹性。他们认为,历史上观察到的长期乐观情绪的下降与加密货币价格持续升值的时期相关。因此,尽管近期市场出现调整,看涨热情有所减弱,但分析师仍对加密市场的长期前景持乐观态度。
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