加密货币市场处于血腥泥浆中，但多聚市场却没有。

根据Coingecko的链链数据，当今全球加密货币的立场为2.76万亿美元。在过去的24小时内，市场损失了8.0％。

The crypto market is in a bloodbath, but Polymarket is not. According to on-chain data from CoinGecko, the global crypto market cap today stands is $2.76 Trillion. The market has lost 8.0% value in the last 24 hours.

加密货币市场处于血腥泥浆中，但多聚市场却没有。根据Coingecko的链链数据，当今全球加密货币的立场为2.76万亿美元。在过去的24小时内，市场损失了8.0％。

This is a market pain, but traders on Polymarket are making a killing on predictions of what the future crypto market under Trump looks like.

这是一种市场痛苦，但是Polmoarket上的交易者正在杀害特朗普领导下未来的加密市场的预测。

Polymarket is a big part of the Trump market as is crypto. During the last American election cycle, the betting platform was a big part of the market sentiment towards Trump-Vance and Kamala-Waltz.

与加密货币一样，Polymarket是特朗普市场的重要组成部分。在上一个美国选举周期中，博彩平台是对特朗普万维斯和卡马拉·瓦尔茨市场情绪的重要组成部分。

Now, Bitcoin is down 21.8% in the last month. Ethereum is suffering the most. The coin is down 31.9% in the last month and 36.2% in the last year. On the other hand, XRP is down 33.5% in the last month, barely hanging on the $2 mark.

现在，比特币在上个月下降了21.8％。以太坊遭受最大的痛苦。硬币在上个月下降了31.9％，去年下降了36.2％。另一方面，XRP在上个月下降了33.5％，几乎没有挂在2美元上。

It’s a bloodbath for all. Gold extended its decline on Friday, falling over 1% to trade around $2,863, pressured by ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policies. Moreover, Oil prices slipped 1% on Friday, with both Brent and WTI benchmarks poised for their first monthly drop since November.

这是所有人的血腥疗法。戈德在周五的下降延长了下降，贸易下降了1％以上，约为2,863美元，受到美国贸易政策持续不确定性的压力。此外，油价在周五下跌了1％，布伦特和WTI基准都准备好自11月以来的第一次每月下降。

Lastly, stocks fell sharply, with the S&P 500 leading the decline, finishing the day clocked lower by almost 1.6% at 5,860. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 dropped nearly 2.75%, closing at 20,550. This decline was primarily driven by Nvidia, which fell 8.5% to end the day at 120.

最后，股票急剧下降，标准普尔500指数领先，这一天的时钟降低了近1.6％，为5,860。同时，纳斯达克100下降了近2.75％，收于20,550。这种下降主要是由NVIDIA驱动的，NVIDIA下降了8.5％，终于120次结束。

Will XRP reach $2.8 in February? It did

XRP在2月会达到2.8美元吗？做到了

The decentralized market betting platform had only foreseen the third-largest token by market cap to be reaching $2.80, 12% less than what the token clocked.

分散的市场博彩平台只预见到市场上限的第三大代币达到2.80美元，比令牌时钟少12％。

Now, over 98% of Polymarket participants see the token not reaching its all-time high values in March. Owing to the current market’s bearish outlook, we could say they aren’t making a prediction, they’ve made a spoiler.

现在，超过98％的聚合物参与者看到令牌在3月没有达到其历史最高值。由于当前市场的看跌前景，我们可以说他们没有做出预测，而是破坏了。

What price will Ethereum hit by March 31?

到3月31日，以太坊将达到什么价格？

The most “frowned upon” cryptocurrency in 2025 so far has counted losses on losses in the past few weeks- not many investors really want to be holding onto the crypto right now.

到目前为止，在2025年，最“皱眉”的加密货币算是过去几周损失的损失 - 并不是很多投资者现在真的想现在坚持加密货币。

Accusations of dumping, the lack of confidence from some developers in the Ethereum Foundation; it’s no question that most bets on Ethereum are all on the negative side.

指控倾销，以太坊基金会中一些开发商缺乏信心；毫无疑问，大多数对以太坊的下注都处于负面状态。

We have more bad news for hodlers; Polymarkets predicts ETH will not reach an all-time high value in February, and we don’t have to tell you the result. For the next two months, only 3% are head-strong, and the coin goes near $4,500, let alone hit a new all-time high value.

我们为霍德尔（Hodlers）有更多的坏消息。 Polymarkets预测，ETH将不会在2月达到历史上的高价值，我们不必告诉您结果。在接下来的两个月中，只有3％的人是头，而硬币的价格接近4,500美元，更不用说达到了新的高价值了。

Will Bitcoin hit $200K by March 31?

到3月31日，比特币会达到20万美元吗？

As earlier pointed out, Bitcoin is in a bit of a crisis. According to on-chain data, Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,113, down 14.4% in a week.

正如前面指出的那样，比特币正处于危机中。根据链数据，比特币目前的交易价格为84,113美元，一周中下跌14.4％。

Well, Polymarket traders have another thought in mind. There are predictions and bets put in that Bitcoin will hit $200k by the end of March.

好吧，多聚市场交易者考虑了另一个想法。到3月底，比特币的预测和赌注将达到200万美元。

There are other bets that BTC will clock $150K, 130K, 120K, and what looks like a realistic $110K. The one driving factor, Trump, is no longer a market factor for how the market outlook will play out.

还有其他赌注，BTC将售价$ 150K，130K，120K，而看起来像现实的$ 110K。特朗普的一个驱动因素不再是市场前景如何发挥的市场因素。

The SEC has been closing cases against crypto since the new administration handover, but that has done little to push a positive market sentiment. What else could push the crypto market to earlier market prediction? Perhaps Bitcoin believers who stand by Satoshi Nakamoto.

自新政府移交以来，SEC就一直在关闭针对加密货币的案件，但这并不是在推动积极的市场情绪。还有什么可以将加密货币市场推向较早的市场预测？也许比特币信徒站在萨氏中心。

AI models, what will happen before May?

AI模型，五月份会发生什么？

To say 2025 has been an eventful year for artificial intelligence is an understatement, but if you have experienced every model out there right now, the more the merrier, right?

要说2025年对于人工智能来说是一个艰巨的一年，这是一种轻描淡写，但是如果您现在经历了每种模型，那么越多，对吧？

Well, Polymarkets says that by March 31, all you will need is a model from Sam Altman’s OpenAI, Elon Musk’s xAI, and Anthropic’s Claude AI, in that specific order. Interestingly, only 12% of bettors predict that Chinese-made AI models will top efficiency and user charts by April.

好吧，Polymarkets说，到3月31日，您所需要的只是Sam Altman的Openai，Elon Musk的Xai和Anthropic的Claude AI，按照该特定顺序。有趣的是，只有12％的投注者预测，中国制造的AI模型将在4月之前提高效率和用户图表。

In addition to the “thumbs down” vote that Asian platforms have been given, 96% do not want DeepSeek to climb above the rank of any US-based AI chatbot. Grok isn’t the people’s choice either, with only 2

除了获得亚洲平台的“竖起大拇指”投票外，有96％的人不希望DeepSeek攀升到任何基于美国的AI Chatbot的排名。 Grok也不是人民的选择，只有2个