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TechDev 强调,山寨币在超越之前的周期峰值后,继比特币创下六个月高点之后也出现了繁荣。
A prominent crypto analyst, TechDev, has observed rare market signals that could lead to a highly anticipated altcoin season, according to a recent analysis.
根据最近的一项分析,著名的加密货币分析师 TechDev 观察到了罕见的市场信号,这些信号可能会导致备受期待的山寨币季节。
These signals have historically preceded significant periods of altcoin outperformance, suggesting that altcoins could rally substantially in the coming months.
从历史上看,这些信号出现在山寨币表现优异之前,表明山寨币可能在未来几个月大幅上涨。
TechDev's analysis highlights several key indicators that have been present before previous altcoin booms.
TechDev 的分析强调了之前山寨币繁荣之前就存在的几个关键指标。
One of these indicators is a period of six months of relative strength for Bitcoin, followed by a strong move to the upside, ultimately surpassing the previous cycle peak.
其中一个指标是比特币在六个月的相对强势时期,随后强劲上行,最终超过上一个周期的峰值。
This occurrence has been observed around 1,280 days after the Bitcoin cycle top, and it has historically been accompanied by a sharp decline in Bitcoin's market dominance (BTC.D).
这种情况发生在比特币周期见顶后 1,280 天左右,历史上伴随着比特币市场主导地位 (BTC.D) 的急剧下降。
As altcoins tend to appreciate faster than Bitcoin during this time, this drop in BTC.D marks the beginning of altcoin season.
由于在此期间,山寨币的升值速度往往快于比特币,因此 BTC.D 的下跌标志着山寨币季节的开始。
Another indicator that TechDev points out is Bitcoin touching the upper range of its Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart.
TechDev 指出的另一个指标是比特币触及周线图上的布林带上限。
These Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool used to measure market volatility, and their upper and lower limits can indicate areas of support and resistance.
这些布林线是用于衡量市场波动性的技术分析工具,其上限和下限可以指示支撑和阻力区域。
According to TechDev's analysis, periods of Bitcoin being squeezed into the upper Bollinger Band have historically aligned with steep six-month altcoin runs, signaling periods of heightened activity and price surges in the altcoin market.
根据 TechDev 的分析,从历史上看,比特币被挤入布林带上轨的时期与山寨币六个月的急剧上涨是一致的,这标志着山寨币市场活动加剧和价格飙升的时期。
Finally, TechDev's analysis also considers the performance of the TOTAL2 chart, which tracks the combined market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and stablecoins.
最后,TechDev 的分析还考虑了 TOTAL2 图表的表现,该图表跟踪除比特币和稳定币之外的所有加密货币的总市值。
According to TechDev, if these patterns continue to hold, we can expect to see a substantial growth in TOTAL2 over the coming months, indicating a strong performance by altcoins as a whole.
据 TechDev 称,如果这些模式继续保持下去,我们预计未来几个月 TOTAL2 将大幅增长,这表明山寨币整体表现强劲。
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