加密货币分析师预测，下一次比特币减半后，XRP 将飙升至 26 美元

加密货币市场分析师 Cryptobilbuwoo 的分析显示，XRP 价格走势与比特币减半相关的看涨趋势已经出现。

An analysis by crypto market analyst Cryptobilbuwoo has revealed a bullish trend that could propel XRP to reach a new all-time high of $26.

加密市场分析师 Cryptobilbuwoo 的分析揭示了看涨趋势，可能推动 XRP 达到 26 美元的历史新高。

The prediction is based on historical patterns observed around Bitcoin's halving cycles and its subsequent impact on Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) and XRP.

该预测基于围绕比特币减半周期观察到的历史模式及其对比特币主导地位（BTC.D）和 XRP 的后续影响。

The chart from Cryptobilbuwoo tracks XRP's price alongside Bitcoin dominance over an extensive timeframe. The pattern shows a unique 31-week cycle after each Bitcoin halving, in which XRP hits its lowest point.

Cryptobilbuwoo 的图表在很长的时间范围内跟踪了 XRP 的价格以及比特币的主导地位。该模式显示了每次比特币减半后的独特 31 周周期，其中 XRP 触及最低点。

According to the chart, following each halving, XRP consolidates for several weeks before bottoming out on the 31st week. At this juncture, Bitcoin dominance peaks while XRP begins an upward trend.

根据图表，每次减半后，XRP 都会盘整几周，然后在第 31 周触底。此时，比特币的主导地位达到顶峰，而 XRP 开始上升趋势。

The pink areas on the chart indicate the period in which Bitcoin dominance decreases while XRP rises, creating an inverse relationship. As Bitcoin's market control diminishes, XRP's price tends to climb, suggesting the possibility of substantial growth in the post-halving period.

图表上的粉色区域表示比特币主导地位下降而 XRP 上升的时期，形成反比关系。随着比特币市场控制力的减弱，XRP 的价格往往会上涨，这表明减半后可能会出现大幅增长。

This pattern played out after the Bitcoin halving in July 2016, with XRP eventually spiking to an all-time high of $3.31 in January 2018. It also occurred following the halving in May 2020, as XRP rallied to a $1.96 peak by April 2021.

这种模式在 2016 年 7 月比特币减半后上演，XRP 最终在 2018 年 1 月飙升至 3.31 美元的历史新高。2020 年 5 月减半后也出现了这种情况，2021 年 4 月 XRP 反弹至 1.96 美元的峰值。

Now, the pattern seems to be playing out again after the most recent Bitcoin halving in April 2024. Given that the next 31-week mark falls around late 2024, particularly mid next month, the stage could be set for XRP's next massive uptrend.

现在，在 2024 年 4 月最近一次比特币减半之后，这种模式似乎再次上演。鉴于下一个 31 周大关将在 2024 年末左右，特别是下个月中旬，XRP 的下一个大幅上涨趋势可能已经奠定了基础。

Once this upsurge begins, the analyst expects XRP to skyrocket to a $26 price. Another market commentator, EGRAG, also projected a $26 price for XRP using a linear regression theory.

一旦这种上涨开始，分析师预计 XRP 的价格将飙升至 26 美元。另一位市场评论员 EGRAG 也使用线性回归理论预测 XRP 的价格为 26 美元。

In the immediate term, XRP has been consistently forming higher lows since July 2024, showing resilience amid market uncertainties. Currently, XRP trades at $0.5161, just below its 20-day moving average (MA) of $0.5426.

短期内，XRP 自 2024 年 7 月以来一直持续形成更高的低点，在市场不确定性中表现出弹性。目前，XRP 交易价格为 0.5161 美元，略低于 0.5426 美元的 20 日移动平均线 (MA)。

For further bullish momentum, XRP needs to break past this 20-day MA. Breaching this level could provide strength for testing the upper Bollinger Band at $0.6419.

为了进一步看涨势头，XRP 需要突破 20 日均线。突破这一水平可能会为测试布林带上轨 0.6419 美元提供力量。

Analysts speculate that surpassing the $0.6 resistance could act as a launchpad for a stronger rally. Meanwhile, XRP boasts support at the lower Bollinger Band around $0.4434, which could help defend against any steeper declines.

分析师推测，突破 0.6 美元阻力位可能会成为更强劲反弹的起点。与此同时，XRP 在布林线下轨 0.4434 美元附近拥有支撑，这可能有助于抵御任何更大幅度的下跌。

On the directional movement index (DMI), the positive directional indicator (+DI) at 18.83 and the negative directional indicator (-DI) at 24.93 are both currently ranging, suggesting a lack of clear trend direction. The average directional index (ADX) stands at 11.35, indicating low trend strength.

方向运动指数（DMI）方面，正方向指标（+DI）为18.83，负方向指标（-DI）为24.93，目前均处于区间波动状态，表明缺乏明确的趋势方向。平均方向指数 (ADX) 为 11.35，表明趋势强度较低。