卡尔达诺不确定的未来：它会在 2024 年达到增长潜力吗？

卡尔达诺（ADA）是按市值计算的第十大加密货币，由于其 2024 年的增长潜力，最近受到了密切关注。福布斯分析师马克·胡森（Mark Hooson）和劳拉·霍华德（Laura Howard）最近发布了一份分析报告，探讨了卡尔达诺的独特主张及其在竞争性区块链格局中的演变。他们深入研究了代币供应、需求、市场情绪和竞争等因素，强调了卡尔达诺在来年面临的挑战和机遇。

Cardano's Uncertain Future: Forbes Analysis Examines Potential for Growth

卡尔达诺不确定的未来：福布斯分析审视其增长潜力

Cardano's Evolving Landscape

卡尔达诺不断变化的格局

Cardano (ADA), the tenth largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has drawn increasing attention in the cryptocurrency community. A recent analysis by Forbes editors Mark Hooson and Laura Howard delves into Cardano's potential trajectory for the remainder of 2024.

卡尔达诺（ADA）作为市值第十大加密货币，越来越受到加密货币社区的关注。 《福布斯》编辑马克·胡森 (Mark Hooson) 和劳拉·霍华德 (Laura Howard) 最近的一项分析深入探讨了卡尔达诺在 2024 年剩余时间内的潜在发展轨迹。

Cardano initially aimed to address limitations within the Ethereum network. However, the emergence of layer-2 scaling solutions for Ethereum has diminished Cardano's once-unique selling proposition. This heightened competition could hinder Cardano's adoption rate.

卡尔达诺最初的目标是解决以太坊网络内的限制。然而，以太坊第 2 层扩展解决方案的出现削弱了卡尔达诺曾经独特的销售主张。这种加剧的竞争可能会阻碍卡尔达诺的采用率。

Cardano's Price Performance and Influencing Factors

卡尔达诺的性价比及影响因素

Cardano's current price performance has been marked by a significant decline from its 2021 peak of $3.10. To elucidate ADA's potential for growth in 2024, Forbes analysts dissect various factors that influence its price, including supply, demand, market sentiment, and competition.

卡尔达诺目前的价格表现较 2021 年 3.10 美元的峰值大幅下跌。为了阐明 ADA 在 2024 年的增长潜力，《福布斯》分析师剖析了影响其价格的各种因素，包括供应、需求、市场情绪和竞争。

Supply Dynamics

供应动态

Cardano's token issuance mechanism enables a gradual release of tokens into circulation. Currently, over 35.25 billion ADA are in circulation, representing approximately 78% of the total supply capped at 45 billion. This indicates ample room for future token distribution without immediate price pressure.

卡尔达诺的代币发行机制可以使代币逐步进入流通。目前，ADA 流通量超过 352.5 亿枚，约占总供应量 450 亿枚的 78%。这表明未来代币分配有足够的空间，而不会立即产生价格压力。

Demand Indicators

需求指标

The analysis notes a correlation between transaction volume and demand for ADA. Nevertheless, Google Trends data signifies a decline in search volume for Cardano since a surge in early March, potentially indicating diminished public interest.

分析指出了交易量和 ADA 需求之间的相关性。尽管如此，谷歌趋势数据表明，自 3 月初搜索量激增以来，卡尔达诺的搜索量有所下降，这可能表明公众兴趣减弱。

Active Addresses and Market Sentiment

活跃地址和市场情绪

Messari tracks the number of active ADA addresses, which has declined by nearly 50% since April 15th, 2023. While not a definitive indicator of buying pressure, this data, combined with the aforementioned observations, suggests a potential lack of substantial demand growth for ADA in the future.

Messari 跟踪活跃 ADA 地址的数量，自 2023 年 4 月 15 日以来，该地址数量已下降近 50%。虽然不是购买压力的明确指标，但该数据与上述观察相结合，表明 ADA 的需求可能缺乏实质性增长将来。

Market sentiment toward Cardano is predominantly pessimistic, reflected in public statements from founder Charles Hoskinson defending the project.

市场对卡尔达诺的情绪主要是悲观的，这反映在创始人查尔斯霍斯金森为该项目辩护的公开声明中。

Competitive Landscape

竞争格局

The report highlights ongoing discussions about Cardano's long-term viability. Some proponents advocate for Cardano's superiority over Solana (SOL) due to similar functionalities and a stronger network uptime record.

该报告强调了有关卡尔达诺长期生存能力的持续讨论。一些支持者主张卡尔达诺优于 Solana (SOL)，因为它具有相似的功能和更强的网络正常运行时间记录。

2024 Outlook

2024年展望

Based on their analysis, Forbes editors conclude that current market conditions do not signal a bullish trend for Cardano in the immediate future. However, they also assert that there is no evidence of an imminent decline.

根据他们的分析，福布斯编辑得出的结论是，当前的市场状况并不预示着卡尔达诺在不久的将来会出现看涨趋势。然而，他们也断言，没有证据表明经济即将下降。

It is more probable that ADA's price will remain influenced by the broader cryptocurrency market, which is largely driven by Bitcoin's price movements.

ADA 的价格更有可能继续受到更广泛的加密货币市场的影响，而加密货币市场很大程度上是由比特币的价格走势驱动的。

Uncertain Trajectory

不确定的轨迹

While Times Tabloid previously reported that Cardano may reach $1 before the next Bitcoin halving, the future trajectory of Cardano in 2024 remains uncertain. Despite the stability provided by a capped token supply, the absence of significant demand growth and ongoing competition pose challenges.

尽管《泰晤士报》此前报道称，卡尔达诺可能在下一次比特币减半之前达到 1 美元，但卡尔达诺在 2024 年的未来轨迹仍不确定。尽管代币供应上限提供了稳定性，但缺乏显着的需求增长和持续的竞争带来了挑战。

Continued development, community engagement, and potential market shifts will all be pivotal factors in determining Cardano's performance for the rest of the year.

持续的发展、社区参与和潜在的市场变化都将是决定卡尔达诺今年剩余时间表现的关键因素。