卡尔达诺的修正、相关性和鲸鱼活动引发担忧

尽管最近出现调整，但卡尔达诺（ADA）由于与比特币（0.14）的相关性较弱，仍面临进一步的市场风险。市场分析师预测短期内将上涨至 0.55 美元，但由于鲸鱼余额下降且情绪仍然看跌，因此对长期表现表示担忧。

Cardano's Struggles: Correction, Correlation, and Whale Activity Raise Concerns

卡尔达诺的挣扎：修正、相关性和鲸鱼活动引发担忧

Amidst a recent market correction that has battered the cryptocurrency landscape, Cardano (ADA) stands out as a particularly hard-hit altcoin. Its recent 13.27% plunge to $0.50 marks a significant loss compared to its peers in the top 10 cryptocurrencies.

在最近的市场调整中，加密货币格局遭受重创，卡尔达诺（ADA）作为遭受特别严重打击的山寨币脱颖而出。其最近暴跌 13.27% 至 0.50 美元，与排名前 10 位的加密货币相比，其损失显着。

This underperformance has deepened the plight of ADA holders, with a staggering 57% now facing unrealized losses. The cryptocurrency's woes are compounded by its weak correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), the dominant force in the cryptocurrency market. At a correlation of 0.14, ADA's price movements diverge significantly from BTC's, making it less susceptible to the latter's bullish impetus.

这种表现不佳加剧了 ADA 持有者的困境，令人震惊的是，目前有 57% 的持有者面临未实现的损失。该加密货币的困境因其与加密货币市场主导力量比特币（BTC）的相关性较弱而雪上加霜。 ADA 的价格走势与 BTC 的相关性为 0.14，明显背离，使其不易受到后者看涨推动力的影响。

Furthermore, an analysis of on-chain data reveals a troubling trend: the whales, or large holders of ADA, have been steadily liquidating their positions. The cohort holding 1 million to 1 billion tokens has reduced its holdings from 16.70% to 16.20%, while the 100 million to 1 billion group has seen its stake dwindle from 7.01% to 5.92%.

此外，对链上数据的分析揭示了一个令人不安的趋势：鲸鱼或 ADA 的大持有者一直在稳步清算其头寸。持有100万至10亿代币的群体持股比例从16.70%减少至16.20%，而持有1亿至10亿代币的群体持股比例从7.01%减少至5.92%。

This whale activity signals declining confidence in Cardano's long-term potential. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a technical indicator that gauges market momentum, has fallen to 31.76, indicating that bears are still in control.

这种鲸鱼活动标志着人们对卡尔达诺长期潜力的信心下降。衡量市场动能的技术指标相对强弱指数（RSI）已跌至31.76，表明空头仍在掌控之中。

Short-term prospects for ADA appear somewhat brighter, with bulls attempting to push the price above the oversold region. However, a lack of sufficient buying pressure could invalidate this rally, sending ADA into a trading range between $0.49 and $0.52.

ADA 的短期前景似乎更加光明，多头试图将价格推高至超卖区域之上。然而，缺乏足够的购买压力可能会导致本次反弹无效，从而导致 ADA 的交易区间介于 0.49 美元至 0.52 美元之间。

Beyond these immediate concerns, several other factors will influence ADA's trajectory in the coming months. The price action following Bitcoin's upcoming halving event will be crucial in determining the token's long-term viability.

除了这些迫在眉睫的问题之外，其他几个因素也将影响 ADA 未来几个月的发展轨迹。比特币即将到来的减半事件之后的价格走势对于决定该代币的长期生存能力至关重要。

In conclusion, Cardano faces an uphill battle in the current market environment. Its weak correlation with Bitcoin, combined with whale liquidations and a bearish technical outlook, raises serious questions about its recovery prospects. Short-term gains are possible, but the long-term outlook remains uncertain, hinging heavily on external factors such as Bitcoin's halving and wider market sentiment.

总而言之，卡尔达诺在当前的市场环境下面临着一场艰苦的战斗。它与比特币的弱相关性，加上鲸鱼清算和看跌的技术前景，引发了对其复苏前景的严重质疑。短期上涨是可能的，但长期前景仍然不确定，很大程度上取决于比特币减半和更广泛的市场情绪等外部因素。