在看跌图表中看涨 ETH 情绪：以太坊的下一步是什么？

以太坊期货市场正在发出情绪转变的信号。在 10 月 31 日星期四的一份报告中，CryptoQuant 分析师“ShayanBTC”认为，期货

2024 has seen the crypto market largely continue the resurgence that began in 2023. But while assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) have continued their strong performance, fellow market leader Ethereum (ETH) has seemingly lost momentum.

2024 年，加密市场在很大程度上延续了 2023 年开始的复苏势头。尽管比特币 (BTC) 和 Solana (SOL) 等资产继续保持强劲表现，但同为市场领导者的以太坊 (ETH) 似乎已经失去了动力。

Amid the asset’s continued underperformance, investor sentiment has taken a significant dip, but this sentiment may now be shifting, according to a recent analysis from CryptoQuant.

CryptoQuant 最近的一项分析显示，在该资产持续表现不佳的情况下，投资者情绪大幅下降，但这种情绪现在可能正在发生转变。

Bullish ETH Sentiment Building?

看涨 ETH 情绪正在建立？

The Ethereum futures market is signaling a shift in sentiment. In a Thursday, October 31 note, CryptoQuant analyst “ShayanBTC” argued that futures traders were becoming more optimistic about the asset’s price.

以太坊期货市场正在发出情绪转变的信号。在 10 月 31 日星期四的一份报告中，CryptoQuant 分析师“ShayanBTC”认为，期货交易员对该资产的价格变得更加乐观。

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Futures refer to contracts that allow traders to speculate on the price of an asset without having to hold it. According to ShayanBTC, funding rates, a metric used to gauge sentiment in the futures market, had flipped positive and were showing signs of an uptrend. This indicates that there are more bets on Ethereum’s price rising than on it falling.

期货是指允许交易者无需持有资产即可推测其价格的合约。据 ShayanBTC 称，用于衡量期货市场情绪的指标资金利率已转为正数，并显示出上升趋势的迹象。这表明对以太坊价格上涨的押注多于对以太坊价格下跌的押注。

Bullish Sentiment Builds in Ethereum Futures: Positive Funding Rates Signal Growing Optimism“For #Ethereum to overcome key resistance levels and sustain an upward trajectory, a higher funding rate would signal increased buying interest and confidence from futures traders.” – By… pic.twitter.com/sV31F8KWxX

以太坊期货看涨情绪：积极的融资利率预示着乐观情绪的增长“对于#Ethereum来说，要克服关键阻力位并维持上升轨迹，更高的融资利率将表明期货交易者的购买兴趣和信心增加。” – 作者... pic.twitter.com/sV31F8KWxX

The analyst suggested that the recent funding rate shift was likely sparked by ETH’s recent glimmers of strength. Over the past two weeks, the asset has threatened to break above two-month highs around the $2,800 price level.

该分析师表示，最近的资金利率变化可能是由 ETH 最近的走强引发的。过去两周，该资产有可能突破 2,800 美元左右的两个月高点。

ShayanBTC noted that ETH bulls want to see these positive funding rates trend significantly higher for a sustained rally.

ShayanBTC 指出，ETH 多头希望看到这些积极的资金利率趋势显着走高，从而实现持续反弹。

However, while funding rates are showing signs of market optimism, one leading analyst has contended that the price chart is still showing a bearish picture.

然而，尽管融资利率显示出市场乐观的迹象，但一位主要分析师认为，价格图表仍然显示出看跌的景象。

A Bearish Chart

看跌图表

According to veteran commodities trader Peter Brandt, ETH’s chart “remains bearish.” The view comes as the asset failed to validate a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern that had flashed on its daily chart. As things stand, the analyst contends that the asset is likely to fall as low as the $1,551 price point.

资深大宗商品交易员 Peter Brandt 表示，ETH 的图表“仍然看跌”。这一观点的出现是因为该资产未能验证其日线图上出现的看涨反向头肩形态。就目前情况而言，分析师认为该资产的价格可能会跌至 1,551 美元。

Interesting to note that there was not a buy signal in $ETHIn fact, chart remains bearish with unmet target at 1551 pic.twitter.com/sjkXyTQXU2

有趣的是，美元 ETH 没有买入信号。事实上，图表仍然看跌，未达到 1551 的目标 pic.twitter.com/sjkXyTQXU2

For context, at the time of writing, ETH is trading around the $2,490 price point. A fall to $1,551 would represent an over 60% decline.

作为上下文，在撰写本文时，ETH 的交易价格约为 2,490 美元。跌至 1,551 美元将意味着跌幅超过 60%。